Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians · V1 (legacy)
Sep 4, 2026, 7:45 PM EST · final score 3-4 · duration 2h 51m · 102 plays · 684 snapshots · 16 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 10 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (9)
07:57:12 PM · inning 2 (early) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_real_event · leverage 0.50
polymarket-5.0%partial_reversion
Leader: polymarket
08:19:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.15
kalshi-11.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-11.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket (-47s lag) · gap closed 100%
08:54:12 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.17
polymarket-3.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
09:26:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.19
kalshi+4.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+2.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 0%
10:01:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi+12.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
10:02:12 PM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
polymarket+9.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
10:25:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-14.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-14.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (73s lag)
10:31:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-7.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
10:34:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshin/achoppy_indeterminate
Leader: kalshi
Play-by-play (102 real plays)
07:46:01 PMT10-0Torres singled to right.
07:47:16 PMT10-0Lee grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Torres out at second.
07:47:44 PMT10-0McGonigle singled to left.
07:48:28 PMT10-0Valencia grounded out to third.
07:51:59 PMB10-0Kwan singled to left.
07:52:32 PMB10-0DeLauter grounded out to shortstop, Kwan to second.
07:53:41 PMB10-0Ramírez flied out to right, Kwan to third.
07:54:07 PMB10-0Adell flied out to left.
07:57:18 PMT20-0Torkelson lined out to third.
07:58:28 PMT20-0Clark grounded out to second.
08:00:58 PMT20-0Malgeri walked.
08:02:55 PMT20-0Peck struck out swinging.
08:06:15 PMB20-0Martínez struck out swinging.
08:07:28 PMB20-0Fry singled to center.
08:08:50 PMB20-0Genao lined out to center.
08:10:15 PMB20-0Hedges struck out swinging.
08:13:08 PMT30-0McKinstry singled to center.
08:15:43 PMT30-0Torres walked, McKinstry to second.
08:17:32 PMT31-0Lee singled to center, McKinstry scored, Torres to second.
08:18:27 PMT32-0McGonigle doubled to right, Torres scored, Lee to third.
08:21:26 PMT32-0Valencia grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Valencia to second, McGonigle out at third in rundown.
08:22:37 PMT32-0Torkelson grounded into fielder's choice to third, Lee out at home.
08:24:20 PMT32-0Clark grounded out to shortstop.
08:28:16 PMB32-0Rocchio doubled to right, Rocchio out stretching at third.
08:30:39 PMB32-0Kwan walked.
08:32:24 PMB32-0DeLauter struck out swinging.
08:33:23 PMB32-0Ramírez fouled out to left.
08:35:56 PMT42-0Malgeri grounded out to third.
08:38:13 PMT42-0Peck grounded out to pitcher.
08:39:48 PMT42-0McKinstry popped out to shortstop.
08:44:54 PMB42-0Adell grounded out to third.
08:46:33 PMB42-0Martínez struck out looking. Cleveland Guardians challenged: call on the field was upheld.
08:47:58 PMB42-0Fry flied out to left.
08:49:36 PMT52-0Lowe at first base.
08:49:37 PMT52-0Fry in left field.
08:51:36 PMT52-0Torres singled to left.
08:52:40 PMT52-0Dingler hit for Lee
08:53:11 PMT52-0Dingler doubled to left, Torres to third.
08:55:04 PMT52-0McGonigle grounded out to second.
08:56:12 PMT53-0Valencia singled to right, Torres scored, Dingler to third.
08:58:32 PMT53-0Torkelson struck out looking.
08:59:27 PMT53-0Clark grounded out to shortstop.
09:01:59 PMB53-0Dingler as designated hitter.
09:02:38 PMB53-0Genao grounded out to third.
09:06:35 PMB53-0Hedges flied out to right.
09:07:52 PMB53-0Rocchio walked.
09:10:13 PMB53-0Kwan lined out to shortstop.
09:13:15 PMT63-0Malgeri grounded out to second.
09:14:17 PMT63-0Peck struck out swinging.
09:15:17 PMT63-0McKinstry grounded out to first.
09:17:58 PMB63-0Bazzana hit for DeLauter
09:17:58 PMB63-0Bazzana flied out to left.
09:18:40 PMB63-0Ramírez hit by pitch.
09:21:45 PMB63-0Adell popped out to second.
09:25:36 PMB63-1Lowe doubled to center, Ramírez scored.
09:27:30 PMB63-1Brieske relieved Sears
09:29:30 PMB63-1Schneemann hit for Fry
09:31:56 PMB63-1Schneemann struck out swinging.
09:34:30 PMT73-1Bazzana as designated hitter.
09:34:30 PMT73-1Adell in left field.
09:34:30 PMT73-1Schneemann in right field.
09:34:30 PMT73-1Espino relieved Griffin
09:34:56 PMT73-1Torres grounded out to second.
09:36:36 PMT73-1Dingler struck out swinging.
09:38:24 PMT73-1McGonigle grounded out to second.
09:41:26 PMB73-1Genao grounded out to pitcher.
09:42:56 PMB73-1Hedges struck out swinging.
09:45:25 PMB73-1Rocchio struck out swinging.
09:48:44 PMT83-1Valencia grounded out to third.
09:49:59 PMT83-1Torkelson singled to left.
09:51:38 PMT83-1Clark struck out looking.
09:52:20 PMT83-1Callahan hit for Malgeri
09:53:53 PMT83-1Callahan struck out swinging.
09:56:07 PMB83-1Callahan in left field.
09:56:07 PMB83-1Waguespack relieved Brieske
09:59:15 PMB83-1Kwan walked.
10:00:40 PMB83-3Bazzana homered to right center (389 feet), Kwan scored.
10:02:12 PMB83-3Ramírez grounded out to shortstop.
10:03:44 PMB83-3Adell popped out to second.
10:05:06 PMB83-3Lowe struck out swinging.
10:07:31 PMT93-3Gaddis relieved Espino
10:07:58 PMT93-3Keith hit for Peck
10:09:51 PMT93-3Keith struck out looking.
10:11:45 PMT93-3McKinstry struck out swinging.
10:12:54 PMT93-3Torres grounded out to second.
10:15:07 PMB93-3McGonigle at shortstop.
10:15:07 PMB93-3Keith at third base.
10:15:07 PMB93-3Jansen relieved Waguespack
10:17:38 PMB93-3Schneemann struck out swinging.
10:19:07 PMB93-3Genao grounded out to second.
10:19:47 PMB93-3Bailey hit for Hedges
10:21:01 PMB93-3Bailey struck out swinging.
10:23:41 PMT103-3Báez ran for Torres
10:23:41 PMT103-3Bailey catching.
10:23:41 PMT103-3Dingler grounded out to first.
10:26:05 PMT103-3McGonigle grounded out to first, Báez to third.
10:28:12 PMT103-3Valencia grounded out to third.
10:31:18 PMB103-3Báez at second base.
10:31:18 PMB103-3Rocchio bunted into fielder's choice to third, Bailey out at third.
10:31:40 PMB103-3Rocchio stole second.
10:32:19 PMB103-3Kwan flied out to center.
10:34:57 PMB103-3Rocchio stole third.