Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros · V1 (legacy)
Sep 5, 2026, 7:15 PM EST · final score 4-3 · duration 3h 17m · 95 plays · 790 snapshots · 19 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 10 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (10)
08:01:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.50
kalshi+14.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
08:02:13 PM · inning 3 (early) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.50
polymarket+16.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
08:08:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi+3.5%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+4.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 100%
08:53:10 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_real_event · leverage 0.29
kalshi+3.0%sustained_move
polymarket+4.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (10s lag)
09:24:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 3 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.34
kalshi-5.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
09:46:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi-11.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-10.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (17s lag) · gap closed 100%
09:56:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_real_event · leverage 1.00
kalshi+16.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
10:23:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-9.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-8.5%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (16s lag) · gap closed 0%
10:31:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshin/achoppy_indeterminate
Leader: kalshi
10:32:13 PM · inning 10 (final) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarketn/achoppy_indeterminate
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (95 real plays)
07:17:42 PMT10-0Nootbaar walked.
07:20:28 PMT10-0Perdomo flied out to left.
07:22:55 PMT10-0Moreno flied out to right.
07:23:53 PMT10-0Marte flied out to left.
07:27:26 PMB10-0Peña struck out swinging.
07:28:07 PMB10-0Alvarez lined out to second.
07:30:30 PMB10-0Paredes popped out to third.
07:35:21 PMT20-0Carroll doubled to center.
07:36:22 PMT20-0Arenado singled to left, Carroll to third.
07:37:13 PMT20-0Kepler popped out to first.
07:38:26 PMT20-0Tawa struck out swinging.
07:40:44 PMT20-0Waldschmidt grounded out to third.
07:43:29 PMB20-0Altuve fouled out to first.
07:44:54 PMB20-0Varsho flied out to shortstop.
07:46:02 PMB20-0Walker lined out to center.
07:50:00 PMT30-0Nootbaar flied out to left.
07:51:49 PMT30-0Perdomo struck out swinging.
07:53:40 PMT30-0Moreno doubled to left.
07:54:42 PMT30-0Marte grounded out to second.
07:57:45 PMB30-0Diaz singled to center.
07:59:39 PMB30-0Trammell doubled to right, Diaz to third.
08:03:05 PMB30-0Smith fouled out to first.
08:05:03 PMB30-0Peña struck out swinging.
08:05:25 PMB30-0Alvarez intentionally walked.
08:07:59 PMB30-2Paredes singled to right, Diaz scored and Trammell scored, Alvarez to second.
08:08:57 PMB30-2Altuve lined out to shortstop.
08:12:38 PMT40-2Carroll flied out to center.
08:14:49 PMT40-2Arenado grounded out to third.
08:18:23 PMT40-2Kepler popped out to second.
08:21:30 PMB40-2Varsho grounded out to second.
08:22:40 PMB40-2Walker fouled out to first.
08:25:08 PMB40-2Diaz struck out swinging.
08:29:37 PMT50-2Tawa singled to right.
08:33:17 PMT50-2Waldschmidt grounded out to pitcher, Tawa to second.
08:34:54 PMT50-2Nootbaar singled to right, Tawa to third.
08:37:54 PMT50-2De Los Santos relieved Pecko
08:39:02 PMT51-2Perdomo hit sacrifice fly to center, Tawa scored.
08:42:09 PMT51-2Moreno grounded out to third.
08:45:35 PMB51-2Trammell struck out swinging.
08:46:49 PMB51-2Smith tripled to left.
08:47:41 PMB51-2Peña grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Smith out at third.
08:50:13 PMB51-2Alvarez walked, Peña to second.
08:53:18 PMB51-3Paredes reached on infield single to second, Peña scored, Alvarez to third.
08:55:45 PMB51-3Altuve flied out to center.
08:59:23 PMT61-3Marte flied out to left.
09:01:40 PMT61-3Carroll struck out swinging.
09:03:04 PMT61-3Arenado struck out swinging.
09:05:55 PMB61-3Varsho singled to center.
09:06:51 PMB61-3Walker grounded into double play, third to second to first, Varsho out at second.
09:08:44 PMB61-3Diaz grounded out to shortstop.
09:10:42 PMT71-3Teng relieved De Los Santos
09:13:22 PMT71-3Kepler struck out swinging.
09:14:59 PMT71-3Tawa walked.
09:17:38 PMT71-3Waldschmidt walked, Tawa to second.
09:20:29 PMT71-3Blubaugh relieved Teng
09:21:31 PMT72-3Nootbaar doubled to right, Tawa scored, Waldschmidt to third.
09:22:30 PMT72-3Perdomo popped out to third.
09:26:33 PMT72-3Moreno struck out swinging.
09:29:32 PMB72-3Trammell flied out to right.
09:32:52 PMB72-3Smith singled to center.
09:35:32 PMB72-3Ginkel relieved Pfaadt
09:37:38 PMB72-3Peña popped out to first.
09:40:12 PMB72-3Alvarez struck out swinging.
09:45:36 PMT83-3Marte homered to right (388 feet).
09:47:58 PMT83-3Carroll grounded out to shortstop.
09:48:32 PMT83-3Arenado popped out to third.
09:49:30 PMT83-3Kepler struck out swinging.
09:51:30 PMB83-3Morillo relieved Ginkel
09:53:55 PMB83-3Paredes flied out to center.
09:56:04 PMB83-3Altuve doubled to right.
09:58:23 PMB83-3Varsho flied out to center.
10:00:43 PMB83-3Walker struck out swinging.
10:03:17 PMT93-3Hader relieved Blubaugh
10:04:28 PMT93-3Tawa struck out swinging.
10:05:55 PMT93-3Waldschmidt grounded out to first.
10:07:22 PMT93-3Vargas hit for Nootbaar
10:08:02 PMT93-3Vargas flied out to left.
10:10:27 PMB93-3Vargas as designated hitter.
10:10:27 PMB93-3Loaisiga relieved Morillo
10:11:45 PMB93-3Diaz singled to center.
10:11:59 PMB93-3Meyers ran for Diaz
10:14:19 PMB93-3Trammell struck out swinging.
10:16:26 PMB93-3Smith struck out swinging.
10:18:34 PMB93-3Peña fouled out to second.
10:21:14 PMT103-3Vázquez catching.
10:21:14 PMT103-3King relieved Hader
10:21:50 PMT103-3Perdomo hit sacrifice bunt to first, Vargas to third.
10:22:49 PMT104-3Moreno singled to center, Vargas scored.
10:23:15 PMT104-3Marte popped out to shortstop.
10:24:53 PMT104-3Carroll grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Moreno out at second.
10:27:04 PMB104-3Garcia relieved Loaisiga
10:27:42 PMB104-3Lawlar in center field.
10:27:42 PMB104-3Waldschmidt in left field.
10:29:31 PMB104-3Alvarez struck out looking.
10:30:51 PMB104-3Paredes fouled out to first.