Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals · V1 (legacy)
Sep 2, 2026, 7:40 PM EST · final score 9-6 · duration 3h 5m · 101 plays · 740 snapshots · 19 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (9)
07:44:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_TRIPLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.15
kalshi-5.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-4.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 25%
07:54:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.25
kalshi-13.0%partial_reversion
polymarket-13.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket (-105s lag) · gap closed 76%
09:02:11 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_GROUND_RULE_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.19
kalshi-7.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-8.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (11s lag) · gap closed 100%
09:36:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-4.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-2.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag)
09:44:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-10.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-6.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 100%
09:58:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-4.0%sustained_move
polymarket-4.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
10:13:10 PM · inning 7 (late) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+0.0%choppy_indeterminate
polymarket+4.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (10s lag)
10:30:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+3.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket+2.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 100%
10:39:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.16
kalshi+3.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+1.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket (-46s lag) · gap closed 50%
Play-by-play (101 real plays)
07:41:20 PMT10-0Hernández hit by pitch.
07:42:43 PMT11-0Lopez tripled to left, Hernández scored.
07:43:14 PMT12-0Stowers singled to center, Lopez scored.
07:45:08 PMT12-0Ramírez flied out to left.
07:47:10 PMT12-0Sanoja struck out looking.
07:48:57 PMT12-0Marsee struck out swinging.
07:52:02 PMB12-1Jensen homered to right (414 feet).
07:53:07 PMB12-1Witt Jr. singled to right.
07:54:09 PMB12-2Caglianone doubled to right, Witt Jr. scored.
07:56:46 PMB12-4Perez homered to left center (392 feet), Caglianone scored.
07:59:40 PMB12-4Pasquantino popped out to third.
08:01:51 PMB12-4Loftin walked.
08:04:29 PMB12-5Massey doubled to center, Loftin scored.
08:04:59 PMB12-5Massey stole third.
08:06:03 PMB12-5Rave struck out swinging.
08:06:55 PMB12-5Isbel flied out to right.
08:10:31 PMT22-5Ruiz struck out swinging.
08:12:27 PMT22-5Serna grounded out to third.
08:13:19 PMT22-5Mack grounded out to third.
08:17:11 PMB22-5Jensen flied out to center.
08:19:21 PMB22-5Witt Jr. walked.
08:20:03 PMB22-5Caglianone flied out to center.
08:21:05 PMB22-5Witt Jr. stole second. Miami Marlins challenged: call on the field was upheld.
08:27:12 PMB22-5Perez struck out swinging.
08:29:34 PMT32-5Hernández grounded out to shortstop.
08:30:37 PMT32-5Lopez lined out to left.
08:33:18 PMT33-5Stowers homered to center (410 feet).
08:34:53 PMT33-5Ramírez struck out looking.
08:37:54 PMB33-5Pasquantino flied out to left.
08:39:06 PMB33-5Loftin flied out to right.
08:40:31 PMB33-5Massey singled to center.
08:41:59 PMB33-5Rave singled to right, Massey to second.
08:42:38 PMB33-5Isbel flied out to left.
08:44:57 PMT43-5Sanoja grounded out to third.
08:46:30 PMT43-5Marsee flied out to left.
08:47:34 PMT43-5Ruiz flied out to left.
08:50:20 PMB43-6Jensen homered to right (398 feet).
08:51:25 PMB43-6Witt Jr. flied out to shortstop.
08:52:28 PMB43-6Caglianone struck out swinging.
08:53:45 PMB43-6Perez flied out to center.
08:57:52 PMT53-6Serna walked.
08:59:44 PMT53-6Mack singled to right, Serna to second.
09:02:09 PMT54-6Hernández hit a ground rule double, Serna scored, Mack to third.
09:04:42 PMT54-6Lopez struck out swinging.
09:07:11 PMT54-6Stowers struck out looking. Miami Marlins challenged: call on the field was upheld.
09:09:44 PMT54-6Ramírez struck out swinging.
09:14:10 PMB54-6Pasquantino flied out to third.
09:15:17 PMB54-6Loftin reached on infield single to second.
09:15:54 PMB54-6Loftin stole second.
09:17:36 PMB54-6Massey lined out to center.
09:22:21 PMB54-6Rave walked.
09:23:09 PMB54-6Gibson relieved Pérez
09:26:13 PMB54-6Isbel struck out looking.
09:27:54 PMT64-6Cuas relieved Cameron
09:29:57 PMT64-6Sanoja singled to center.
09:32:58 PMT64-6Marsee walked, Sanoja to second.
09:33:53 PMT64-6Conine hit for Ruiz
09:35:35 PMT65-6Conine singled to right, Sanoja scored, Marsee to third.
09:37:31 PMT66-6Serna hit sacrifice fly to center, Marsee scored.
09:38:41 PMT66-6Thomas relieved Cuas
09:41:35 PMT66-6Mack struck out swinging.
09:42:07 PMT66-6Conine to second on passed ball by Jensen. Kansas City Royals challenged: call on the field was overturned.
09:43:48 PMT67-6Hernández doubled to center, Conine scored.
09:45:21 PMT67-6Lopez grounded out to second.
09:46:34 PMB67-6Conine in right field.
09:46:34 PMB67-6Ekness relieved Gibson
09:48:52 PMB67-6Jensen walked.
09:50:47 PMB67-6Witt Jr. flied out to left.
09:51:12 PMB67-6Jensen to second on passed ball by Mack.
09:53:41 PMB67-6Caglianone struck out looking.
09:55:22 PMB67-6Perez walked, Jensen to third on wild pitch by Ekness.
09:57:12 PMB67-6Pasquantino lined out to right.
09:59:12 PMT77-6Kimbrel relieved Thomas
10:00:13 PMT77-6Stowers flied out to right.
10:01:16 PMT77-6Ramírez struck out looking.
10:01:50 PMT77-6Sanoja reached on infield single to second.
10:03:47 PMT77-6Marsee grounded out to pitcher.
10:07:01 PMB77-6Loftin walked.
10:07:50 PMB77-6Ralston relieved Ekness
10:11:19 PMB77-6Massey flied out to right.
10:12:28 PMB77-6Rave grounded into fielder's choice to second, Loftin out at second.
10:13:23 PMB77-6Isbel grounded out to second.
10:15:31 PMT87-6Pearson relieved Kimbrel
10:18:48 PMT87-6Conine singled to right.
10:20:33 PMT87-6Serna reached on infield single to shortstop, Conine to second.
10:20:53 PMT87-6Mack lined out to right.
10:22:52 PMT87-6Hernández lined out to center.
10:24:09 PMT87-6Lopez struck out swinging.
10:25:56 PMB87-6Petersen relieved Ralston
10:28:28 PMB87-6Jensen struck out swinging.
10:29:26 PMB87-6Witt Jr. lined out to right.
10:30:03 PMB87-6Caglianone grounded out to second.
10:32:26 PMT97-6Lange relieved Pearson
10:33:08 PMT97-6Stowers grounded out to second.
10:35:20 PMT97-6Ramírez lined out to second.
10:37:12 PMT98-6Sanoja homered to left center (394 feet).
10:38:44 PMT99-6Marsee homered to right center (392 feet).
10:40:15 PMT99-6Conine struck out swinging.
10:42:48 PMB99-6Faucher relieved Petersen
10:43:33 PMB99-6Perez grounded out to shortstop.
10:44:21 PMB99-6Pasquantino grounded out to shortstop.