Minnesota Twins @ Los Angeles Angels · V1 (legacy)
Sep 19, 2026, 9:38 PM EST · final score 5-6 · duration 3h 37m · 124 plays · 870 snapshots · 40 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 11 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (20)
10:21:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.25
kalshi+6.5%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
10:22:10 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.25
polymarket+3.0%partial_reversion
Leader: polymarket
10:32:14 PM · inning 3 (early) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.15
kalshi-1.0%sustained_move
polymarket-0.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 0%
10:51:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.38
kalshi+15.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket+2.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag)
10:56:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.17
kalshi-3.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket-2.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (14s lag)
11:09:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.17
kalshi+7.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
11:10:10 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.17
polymarket+6.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
12:17:00 AM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.14
kalshi-7.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket-5.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 0%
12:23:00 AM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.45
kalshi-6.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
12:24:09 AM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.45
polymarket-3.0%partial_reversion
Leader: polymarket
12:29:12 AM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.45
kalshi-3.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-2.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 0%
12:41:00 AM · inning 9 (final) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi+5.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
12:42:12 AM · inning 9 (final) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
polymarket-28.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
12:47:00 AM · inning 10 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+6.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
12:48:12 AM · inning 10 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket+8.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
12:57:00 AM · inning 10 (final) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+10.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+9.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (13s lag)
01:04:12 AM · inning 11 (final) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket-10.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
01:07:00 AM · inning 11 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+10.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
01:08:12 AM · inning 11 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket+11.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
01:15:00 AM · inning 11 (final) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshin/achoppy_indeterminate
polymarketn/achoppy_indeterminate
Leader: kalshi (13s lag) · gap closed 0%
Play-by-play (124 real plays)
09:39:45 PMT10-0Keaschall popped out to second.
09:41:11 PMT10-0Martin struck out swinging.
09:42:44 PMT10-0Jeffers grounded out to second.
09:46:20 PMB10-0Neto struck out swinging.
09:47:16 PMB10-0Trout singled to right.
09:47:55 PMB10-0Trout to second on passed ball by Jeffers.
09:48:42 PMB10-0Meckler hit by pitch.
09:50:42 PMB10-0Grissom grounded into fielder's choice to pitcher, Meckler to second, Trout out at third.
09:53:06 PMB10-0Ballesteros flied out to left.
09:56:24 PMT20-0Bell struck out swinging.
09:58:06 PMT20-0Lee popped out to second.
10:00:25 PMT20-0Lewis doubled to left.
10:02:08 PMT20-0Caratini struck out looking.
10:05:51 PMB20-0Guzman popped out to second.
10:07:32 PMB20-0Lowe struck out swinging.
10:10:03 PMB20-0Siri singled to right.
10:10:46 PMB20-0Siri stole second.
10:12:34 PMB20-0Heineman grounded out to second.
10:15:48 PMT30-0Jenkins singled to left.
10:17:30 PMT30-0Kreidler grounded out to third, Jenkins to second.
10:20:08 PMT31-0Keaschall doubled to left, Jenkins scored.
10:21:48 PMT31-0Keaschall stole third.
10:22:30 PMT32-0Martin grounded out to shortstop, Keaschall scored.
10:25:28 PMT32-0Jeffers fouled out to right.
10:28:40 PMB32-0Neto hit by pitch.
10:29:53 PMB32-0Trout singled to left, Neto to second.
10:31:19 PMB32-0Meckler flied out to right, Neto to third.
10:31:51 PMB32-0Grissom grounded into double play, third to second to first, Trout out at second.
10:35:24 PMT42-0Bell grounded out to first.
10:37:33 PMT42-0Lee doubled to left.
10:39:44 PMT42-0Lewis struck out swinging.
10:40:26 PMT43-0Caratini singled to left, Lee scored.
10:41:24 PMT43-0Jenkins flied out to left.
10:44:44 PMB43-0Ballesteros fouled out to left.
10:46:52 PMB43-0Guzman singled to center.
10:48:25 PMB43-0Lowe struck out swinging.
10:49:39 PMB43-2Siri homered to right center (376 feet), Guzman scored.
10:50:55 PMB43-2Heineman singled to right.
10:52:59 PMB43-2Neto struck out looking.
10:55:31 PMT54-2Kreidler homered to left (383 feet).
10:57:38 PMT54-2Keaschall flied out to left.
10:59:30 PMT54-2Martin struck out swinging.
11:00:55 PMT54-2Jeffers lined out to pitcher.
11:04:33 PMB54-2Trout walked.
11:06:40 PMB54-2Meckler singled to center, Trout to second.
11:08:13 PMB54-2Grissom struck out swinging.
11:08:56 PMB54-2Ballesteros flied out to right.
11:12:23 PMB54-2Guzman flied out to right.
11:14:11 PMT64-2Weiman relieved Detmers
11:18:39 PMT64-2Bell singled to left.
11:21:03 PMT64-2Lee grounded out to third, Bell to second.
11:21:57 PMT64-2Lewis flied out to center, Bell to third.
11:25:35 PMT64-2Caratini struck out looking.
11:28:04 PMB64-2Morris relieved Ryan
11:29:17 PMB64-2Lowe grounded out to pitcher.
11:31:36 PMB64-2Siri struck out swinging.
11:33:59 PMB64-2Heineman safe at first on fielding error by shortstop Kreidler.
11:34:20 PMB64-2Neto grounded out to second.
11:36:05 PMT74-2Bachman relieved Weiman
11:37:28 PMT74-2Jenkins singled to right.
11:39:47 PMT74-2Kreidler walked, Jenkins to second.
11:40:33 PMT74-2Keaschall grounded out to pitcher, Kreidler to second, Jenkins to third.
11:41:43 PMT74-2Rodriguez hit for Martin
11:42:27 PMT74-2Rodriguez struck out looking.
11:44:10 PMT74-2Jeffers lined out to right.
11:45:33 PMB74-2Hoffman relieved Morris
11:46:26 PMB74-2Rodriguez in left field.
11:47:34 PMB74-2Trout popped out to second.
11:48:47 PMB74-2Meckler flied out to left.
11:51:22 PMB74-2Grissom walked.
11:53:42 PMB74-2Ballesteros struck out swinging.
11:55:07 PMT84-2Watson relieved Bachman
11:56:47 PMT84-2Bell singled to right.
11:58:31 PMT84-2Lee struck out swinging.
12:00:06 AMT84-2Lewis singled to left, Bell to second.
12:00:52 AMT84-2Ross ran for Bell
12:02:11 AMT85-2Caratini singled to right, Ross scored, Lewis to third.
12:05:48 AMT85-2Jenkins walked, Caratini to second.
12:08:28 AMT85-2Kreidler struck out swinging.
12:10:35 AMT85-2Keaschall struck out swinging.
12:11:57 AMB85-2Ross as designated hitter.
12:11:57 AMB85-2Gómez relieved Hoffman
12:14:58 AMB85-2Guzman walked.
12:17:13 AMB85-2Lowe doubled to left, Guzman to third.
12:20:53 AMB85-2Siri struck out looking.
12:22:13 AMB85-2Frazier hit for Heineman
12:22:13 AMB85-4Frazier doubled to right, Guzman scored and Lowe scored.
12:24:53 AMB85-4Neto walked.
12:27:38 AMB85-4Funderburk relieved Gómez
12:28:36 AMB85-4Trout grounded into double play, third to second to first, Neto out at second.
12:30:54 AMT95-4Grissom at first base.
12:30:54 AMT95-4Ballesteros catching.
12:30:54 AMT95-4Frazier at second base.
12:30:54 AMT95-4Farris relieved Watson
12:32:03 AMT95-4Rodriguez grounded out to first.
12:32:44 AMT95-4Jeffers grounded out to shortstop.
12:34:49 AMT95-4Ross fouled out to first.
12:37:56 AMB95-4Minter relieved Funderburk
12:38:34 AMB95-4Meckler grounded out to shortstop.
12:39:18 AMB95-5Grissom homered to center (400 feet).
12:40:27 AMB95-5Ballesteros grounded out to second.
12:41:41 AMB95-5Guzman grounded out to second.
12:44:26 AMT105-5Joyce relieved Farris
12:44:26 AMT105-5Lee lined out to right, Ross to third.
12:46:59 AMT105-5Lewis flied into double play, right to catcher, Ross thrown out at home.
12:48:33 AMB105-5Rogers relieved Minter
12:49:16 AMB105-5Teodosio ran for Guzman
12:51:12 AMB105-5Lowe struck out bunting foul.
12:51:34 AMB105-5Siri intentionally walked.
12:53:05 AMB105-5Peraza hit for Frazier
12:54:04 AMB105-5Siri stole second, Teodosio stole third.
12:55:53 AMB105-5Peraza struck out swinging.
12:57:39 AMB105-5Neto struck out looking.
12:59:26 AMT115-5Moore at second base.
12:59:26 AMT115-5Peraza at third base.
12:59:26 AMT115-5Saucedo relieved Joyce
01:01:42 AMT115-5Caratini struck out swinging.
01:05:19 AMT115-5Jenkins grounded out to second, Lewis to third.
01:06:42 AMT115-5Kreidler struck out swinging.
01:09:03 AMB115-5Trout intentionally walked.
01:09:38 AMB115-5Meckler flied out to right.
01:11:17 AMB115-5Grissom hit by pitch, Trout to second, Neto to third.
01:13:18 AMB115-5Clemens in center field.
01:14:56 AMB115-5Ballesteros struck out swinging.