Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays · V1 (legacy)
Sep 13, 2026, 1:37 PM EST · final score 1-8 · duration 2h 51m · 101 plays · 686 snapshots · 15 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (8)
01:52:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi-8.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
01:54:12 PM · inning 1 (early) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
polymarket+3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
02:14:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi+4.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+4.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 0%
02:53:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+5.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+4.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket (-47s lag) · gap closed 100%
03:01:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-5.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
03:02:12 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket+3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
03:08:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.29
kalshi-11.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
03:09:12 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.29
polymarket-11.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (101 real plays)
01:41:09 PMT10-0Beavers walked.
01:43:23 PMT10-0Alonso singled to left, Beavers to second.
01:46:15 PMT10-0Henderson walked, Alonso to second, Beavers to third.
01:50:27 PMT10-0Mayo struck out looking. Toronto Blue Jays challenged: call on the field was overturned.
01:51:46 PMT10-0Basallo struck out swinging.
01:53:35 PMT10-0Encarnacion-Strand struck out swinging.
01:56:59 PMB10-0Bateman grounded out to second.
01:58:15 PMB10-0Springer lined out to third.
01:59:05 PMB10-0Guerrero Jr. singled to right.
01:59:59 PMB10-0Okamoto flied out to right.
02:03:30 PMT20-0Holliday struck out swinging.
02:04:39 PMT20-0Taveras grounded out to pitcher.
02:06:10 PMT20-0Cowser struck out swinging.
02:08:44 PMB20-0McAdoo singled to left.
02:09:20 PMB20-0McAdoo stole second.
02:10:01 PMB20-0Clement flied out to right.
02:13:15 PMB20-1Giménez doubled to left, McAdoo scored.
02:14:37 PMB20-1Valenzuela struck out swinging.
02:16:02 PMB20-1Straw lined out to center.
02:19:06 PMT30-1Beavers struck out swinging.
02:20:23 PMT30-1Alonso grounded out to pitcher.
02:23:02 PMT30-1Henderson walked.
02:24:35 PMT30-1Mayo walked, Henderson to second.
02:25:23 PMT30-1Basallo popped out to shortstop.
02:28:22 PMB30-1Bateman lined out to shortstop.
02:29:59 PMB30-1Springer struck out swinging.
02:31:08 PMB30-1Guerrero Jr. doubled to right.
02:33:02 PMB30-1Okamoto walked.
02:35:13 PMB30-1McAdoo struck out swinging.
02:37:36 PMT40-1Encarnacion-Strand singled to left.
02:38:34 PMT40-1Holliday flied out to left.
02:40:56 PMT40-1Taveras struck out swinging.
02:42:18 PMT40-1Cowser struck out swinging.
02:45:15 PMB40-1Clement lined out to right.
02:46:19 PMB40-1Giménez fouled out to third.
02:47:19 PMB40-1Valenzuela struck out swinging.
02:50:48 PMT50-1Beavers doubled to right.
02:52:21 PMT51-1Alonso singled to right, Beavers scored.
02:55:40 PMT51-1Henderson walked, Alonso to second.
02:59:22 PMT51-1Mayo struck out swinging.
03:00:46 PMT51-1Basallo grounded into fielder's choice to second, Henderson out at second, Alonso to third.
03:01:39 PMT51-1Encarnacion-Strand lined out to pitcher.
03:04:16 PMB51-1Straw flied out to center.
03:06:07 PMB51-1Bateman struck out swinging.
03:07:10 PMB51-2Springer homered to right center (375 feet).
03:09:25 PMB51-3Guerrero Jr. homered to left (350 feet).
03:13:25 PMB51-4Okamoto homered to left (410 feet).
03:15:32 PMB51-4McAdoo grounded out to pitcher.
03:17:21 PMT61-4Bateman in center field.
03:17:21 PMT61-4Lukes in right field.
03:17:21 PMT61-4Straw in left field.
03:17:21 PMT61-4Tiedemann relieved Cease
03:18:36 PMT61-4Holliday flied out to center.
03:20:46 PMT61-4Taveras struck out swinging.
03:21:12 PMT61-4Hinds hit for Cowser
03:22:42 PMT61-4Hinds walked.
03:25:00 PMT61-4Beavers singled to left, Hinds to third.
03:25:17 PMT61-4Fisher relieved Tiedemann
03:29:41 PMT61-4Alonso struck out looking.
03:31:09 PMB61-4Hinds in center field.
03:31:59 PMB61-4Clement flied out to center.
03:33:12 PMB61-4Giménez flied out to right.
03:35:01 PMB61-4Valenzuela grounded out to third.
03:37:05 PMT71-4Fluharty relieved Fisher
03:38:20 PMT71-4Henderson struck out looking.
03:39:19 PMT71-4Mayo singled to left.
03:39:28 PMT71-4Jackson hit for Basallo
03:41:22 PMT71-4Jackson struck out swinging.
03:43:18 PMT71-4Encarnacion-Strand grounded out to second.
03:45:39 PMB71-4Pozo catching.
03:45:52 PMB71-4Hiraldo relieved Rogers
03:46:57 PMB71-4Straw popped out to shortstop.
03:50:20 PMB71-4Bateman walked.
03:52:00 PMB71-4Springer flied out to right.
03:53:09 PMB71-4Guerrero Jr. singled to left, Bateman to second.
03:53:46 PMB71-4Okamoto fouled out to first.
03:55:57 PMT81-4Rogers relieved Fluharty
03:56:30 PMT81-4Holliday grounded out to third.
03:58:21 PMT81-4Taveras singled to center.
03:59:12 PMT81-4Kjerstad hit for Hinds
03:59:12 PMT81-4Kjerstad grounded out to third, Taveras to second.
04:00:32 PMT81-4Beavers struck out looking.
04:01:50 PMB81-4Taveras in center field.
04:01:50 PMB81-4Kjerstad in right field.
04:03:58 PMB81-4Lukes walked.
04:05:10 PMB81-4Clement flied out to center.
04:05:50 PMB81-4Giménez fouled out to first.
04:10:04 PMB81-4Valenzuela singled to right, Lukes to third.
04:12:03 PMB81-4Valenzuela stole second.
04:12:45 PMB81-4Straw walked.
04:15:11 PMB81-5Bateman walked, Lukes scored, Straw to second, Valenzuela to third.
04:17:46 PMB81-5Sanders relieved Hiraldo
04:18:48 PMB81-8Springer doubled to center, Bateman scored, Valenzuela scored and Straw scored.
04:19:13 PMB81-8Keys ran for Springer
04:20:36 PMB81-8Guerrero Jr. struck out looking.
04:22:01 PMT91-8Keys as designated hitter.
04:22:01 PMT91-8Lorenzen relieved Rogers
04:24:27 PMT91-8Alonso singled to right.
04:25:34 PMT91-8Henderson singled to right, Alonso to second.
04:27:09 PMT91-8Mayo struck out swinging.
04:28:20 PMT91-8Pozo grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Henderson out at second.