Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins · V1 (legacy)
Sep 6, 2026, 1:40 PM EST · final score 3-10 · duration 2h 47m · 91 plays · 670 snapshots · 16 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (8)
02:17:25 PM · inning 3 (early) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.15
kalshi-10.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-10.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket (-35s lag)
02:34:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_real_event · leverage 0.29
kalshi-8.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-8.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (13s lag) · gap closed 100%
02:42:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-4.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
02:43:12 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
polymarket+4.5%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
02:51:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-12.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
02:52:12 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
polymarket-12.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
02:56:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-26.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
03:02:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.23
kalshi+3.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+4.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (13s lag) · gap closed 100%
Play-by-play (91 real plays)
01:42:54 PMT10-0Crow-Armstrong grounded out to pitcher.
01:44:10 PMT10-0Suzuki doubled to left.
01:46:27 PMT10-0Busch flied out to center, Suzuki to third.
01:47:44 PMT10-0Bregman grounded out to third.
01:50:58 PMB10-0Stowers struck out swinging.
01:51:48 PMB10-0Conine grounded out to second.
01:53:53 PMB10-0Caissie grounded out to first.
01:56:18 PMT20-0Conforto grounded out to first.
01:57:55 PMT20-0Hoerner grounded out to third.
01:59:03 PMT20-0Ramirez popped out to third.
02:01:19 PMB20-0Marsee singled to left.
02:03:04 PMB20-0Hernández walked, Marsee to second.
02:05:05 PMB20-0Hernández stole second, Marsee stole third.
02:07:27 PMB20-1Mack grounded out to second, Marsee scored, Hernández to third.
02:08:28 PMB20-2Lopez singled to left, Hernández scored.
02:09:45 PMB20-2Lopez stole second.
02:10:44 PMB20-2Pauley grounded out to second, Lopez to third.
02:12:27 PMB20-2Sanoja grounded out to third.
02:14:57 PMT30-2Kelly singled to left.
02:17:05 PMT30-2Taylor doubled to left, Kelly to third.
02:18:26 PMT31-2Crow-Armstrong hit sacrifice fly to left, Kelly scored.
02:20:47 PMT31-2Suzuki struck out swinging.
02:22:33 PMT31-2Busch fouled out to left.
02:24:55 PMB31-2Stowers lined out to center.
02:26:21 PMB31-2Conine grounded out to second.
02:27:57 PMB31-2Caissie struck out swinging.
02:31:26 PMT41-2Bregman walked. Chicago Cubs challenged: call on the field was overturned.
02:34:06 PMT41-2Conforto singled to right, Bregman to third.
02:35:34 PMT42-2Hoerner grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Bregman scored, Conforto out at second.
02:37:53 PMT42-2Ramirez struck out swinging.
02:40:30 PMB42-2Marsee lined out to left.
02:41:20 PMB42-3Hernández homered to left (372 feet).
02:41:54 PMB42-3Mack grounded out to first.
02:43:26 PMB42-3Lopez flied out to left.
02:47:27 PMT52-3Kelly struck out swinging.
02:48:53 PMT52-3Taylor grounded out to shortstop.
02:50:00 PMT53-3Crow-Armstrong homered to right (403 feet).
02:50:51 PMT53-3Suzuki flied out to center.
02:54:45 PMB53-3Pauley walked.
02:55:38 PMB53-3Sanoja singled to left, Pauley to second.
02:57:41 PMB53-3Stowers walked, Sanoja to second, Pauley to third.
02:59:56 PMB53-4Conine hit by pitch, Pauley scored, Stowers to second, Sanoja to third.
03:01:08 PMB53-6Caissie singled to right, Sanoja scored and Stowers scored, Conine to third.
03:03:48 PMB53-6Marsee lined out to right.
03:06:22 PMB53-7Hernández singled to center, Conine scored, Caissie to second.
03:08:52 PMB53-7Rea relieved Holmes
03:09:19 PMB53-8Mack singled to right, Caissie scored, Hernández to second.
03:11:58 PMB53-8Lopez flied out to left.
03:15:04 PMB53-8Pauley walked, Mack to second, Hernández to third.
03:16:31 PMB53-8Sanoja popped out to second.
03:18:43 PMT63-8Vodnik relieved Phillips
03:20:45 PMT63-8Busch flied out to left.
03:22:31 PMT63-8Bregman grounded out to third.
03:24:27 PMT63-8Conforto grounded out to pitcher. Miami Marlins challenged: call on the field was overturned.
03:28:57 PMB63-8Stowers struck out swinging.
03:30:45 PMB63-8Conine singled to left.
03:33:12 PMB63-8Caissie struck out swinging.
03:36:17 PMB63-8Marsee reached on infield single to shortstop, Conine to second.
03:37:02 PMB63-8Hernández flied out to center.
03:39:11 PMT73-8Ekness relieved Vodnik
03:41:17 PMT73-8Hoerner reached on infield single to third.
03:43:03 PMT73-8Ramirez lined out to center.
03:44:18 PMT73-8Kelly popped out to second.
03:45:38 PMT73-8Taylor grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Hoerner out at second.
03:50:54 PMB73-8Mack flied out to center.
03:51:33 PMB73-8Lopez reached on bunt single to third.
03:53:14 PMB73-8Pauley grounded out to second, Lopez to second.
03:54:05 PMB73-10Sanoja homered to left (388 feet), Lopez scored.
03:55:12 PMB73-10Stowers walked.
03:57:04 PMB73-10Conine flied out to center.
03:59:25 PMT83-10Gibson relieved Ekness
04:01:46 PMT83-10Crow-Armstrong grounded out to shortstop.
04:04:41 PMT83-10Suzuki walked.
04:05:18 PMT83-10Shaw hit for Busch
04:07:09 PMT83-10Shaw grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Shaw out at second on runner's fielder's choice, Suzuki out at second. Chicago Cubs challenged: call on the field was upheld.
04:09:47 PMB83-10Palencia relieved Rea
04:10:20 PMB83-10Shaw at third base.
04:10:20 PMB83-10Murray Jr. at first base.
04:11:47 PMB83-10Caissie struck out looking. Chicago Cubs challenged: call on the field was overturned.
04:13:42 PMB83-10Marsee walked.
04:15:37 PMB83-10Hernández grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Marsee out at second.
04:18:07 PMT93-10De Los Santos at first base.
04:18:07 PMT93-10Navarreto catching.
04:18:07 PMT93-10Serna at second base.
04:18:07 PMT93-10Sanoja at shortstop.
04:18:07 PMT93-10Ralston relieved Gibson
04:18:27 PMT93-10Murray Jr. flied out to right.
04:20:36 PMT93-10Conforto walked.
04:21:03 PMT93-10Arias hit for Hoerner
04:22:30 PMT93-10Arias singled to center, Conforto to second.
04:25:16 PMT93-10Ramirez struck out looking.