Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds · V1 (legacy)
Sep 6, 2026, 12:10 PM EST · final score 8-12 · duration 3h 18m · 113 plays · 791 snapshots · 21 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (12)
12:39:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi+3.0%partial_reversion
polymarket+3.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi (15s lag)
12:47:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_SACRIFICE_FLY · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.10
kalshi+3.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
01:11:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.29
kalshi+26.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
01:12:15 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.29
polymarket+16.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
01:16:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.29
kalshi-18.0%sustained_move
polymarket-17.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (15s lag) · gap closed 50%
01:23:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.23
kalshi-2.5%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (15s lag) · gap closed 0%
01:46:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-9.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
01:54:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-21.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
01:57:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi+4.0%sustained_move
polymarket+4.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag)
02:23:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.14
kalshi-2.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
02:47:14 PM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.23
polymarket-30.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
02:51:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.23
kalshi+2.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
Play-by-play (113 real plays)
12:14:08 PMT10-0Frelick grounded out to first.
12:15:21 PMT10-0Yelich flied out to center.
12:16:18 PMT10-0Chourio struck out looking.
12:20:03 PMB10-0Myers doubled to right.
12:21:26 PMB10-0De La Cruz walked.
12:22:57 PMB10-0Stewart grounded out to pitcher, De La Cruz to second, Myers to third.
12:23:36 PMB10-1Stephenson singled to left, Myers scored, De La Cruz to third.
12:25:27 PMB10-1Suárez popped out to second.
12:27:08 PMB10-1Bleday popped out to shortstop.
12:31:19 PMT20-1Bauers walked.
12:32:36 PMT20-1Bauers picked off and caught stealing second.
12:34:06 PMT20-1Mitchell grounded out to shortstop.
12:34:38 PMT20-1Turang grounded out to second.
12:37:22 PMB20-1McLain singled to left.
12:38:53 PMB20-1Brito singled to left, Brito to second, McLain to third.
12:41:05 PMB20-1Rodríguez struck out looking.
12:42:26 PMB20-1Myers walked.
12:46:06 PMB20-2De La Cruz grounded into fielder's choice to third, McLain scored on throwing error by third baseman Hamilton, Myers to second, Brito to third.
12:46:57 PMB20-3Stewart hit sacrifice fly to right, Brito scored, Myers to third.
12:47:54 PMB20-3Stephenson lined out to center.
12:50:43 PMT30-3Pratt grounded out to second.
12:51:52 PMT30-3Naylor struck out swinging.
12:52:58 PMT30-3Hamilton walked.
12:54:02 PMT30-3Frelick flied out to left.
12:57:11 PMB30-3Suárez walked.
12:58:15 PMB30-3Bleday struck out swinging.
01:00:48 PMB30-3McLain struck out swinging.
01:02:55 PMB30-4Brito doubled to center, Suárez scored.
01:03:42 PMB30-4Rodríguez reached on infield single to shortstop, Brito out at home on runner's fielder's choice.
01:06:35 PMT40-4Yelich walked.
01:08:58 PMT40-4Chourio grounded into fielder's choice to third, Yelich out at second.
01:09:57 PMT42-4Bauers homered to right center (408 feet), Chourio scored.
01:11:44 PMT42-4Mitchell tripled to center.
01:13:40 PMT42-4Turang walked.
01:15:29 PMT43-4Pratt hit sacrifice bunt, Mitchell scored, Pratt to second, Turang to second, Turang safe at third on throwing error by pitcher Singer.
01:17:28 PMT43-4Naylor struck out swinging.
01:18:42 PMT43-4Hamilton lined out to right.
01:21:27 PMB43-4Myers singled to left.
01:23:18 PMB43-6De La Cruz homered to right center (402 feet), Myers scored.
01:24:16 PMB43-6Stewart singled to left.
01:25:36 PMB43-6Stewart stole second.
01:26:40 PMB43-6Stephenson struck out swinging.
01:28:11 PMB43-6Stewart stole third.
01:29:13 PMB43-6Suárez walked.
01:30:04 PMB43-6Suárez stole second.
01:31:30 PMB43-6Bleday popped out to first.
01:32:20 PMB43-6Senzatela relieved Harrison
01:35:24 PMB43-6McLain struck out looking.
01:39:00 PMT53-6Frelick popped out to first.
01:40:06 PMT53-6Yelich flied out to left.
01:41:07 PMT53-6Chourio walked.
01:43:03 PMT53-6Bauers walked, Chourio to second. Cincinnati Reds challenged: call on the field was upheld.
01:45:01 PMT54-6Mitchell singled to center, Chourio scored, Bauers to second.
01:45:54 PMT56-6Turang doubled to right, Mitchell scored and Bauers scored.
01:47:17 PMT56-6Pratt lined out to right.
01:50:46 PMB56-6Brito walked.
01:52:46 PMB56-6Rodríguez reached on infield single to shortstop, Brito to second.
01:54:33 PMB56-6Myers walked, Rodríguez to second, Brito to third.
01:56:44 PMB56-8De La Cruz doubled to center, Brito scored and Rodríguez scored, Myers to third.
01:59:17 PMB56-8Stewart lined out to first.
02:01:52 PMB56-8Anderson relieved Senzatela
02:03:00 PMB56-9Stephenson reached on infield single to shortstop, Myers scored.
02:04:34 PMB56-9Suárez struck out looking.
02:06:59 PMB56-9Bleday flied out to right.
02:07:31 PMT66-9Mey relieved Singer
02:10:04 PMT66-9Naylor flied out to left.
02:10:43 PMT66-9Hamilton lined out to right.
02:12:38 PMT66-9Frelick struck out looking.
02:15:00 PMB66-9McLain flied out to right.
02:16:24 PMB66-9Brito grounded out to first.
02:18:08 PMB66-9Rodríguez grounded out to second.
02:18:37 PMT76-9Burke relieved Mey
02:20:38 PMT76-9Yelich singled to center.
02:21:35 PMT76-9Chourio lined out to right.
02:22:13 PMT76-9Bauers popped out to third.
02:23:20 PMT76-9Vaughn hit for Mitchell
02:23:44 PMT76-9Vaughn flied out to right.
02:27:54 PMB76-9Frelick in center field.
02:27:54 PMB76-9Bauers in right field.
02:27:54 PMB76-9Vaughn at first base.
02:29:00 PMB76-9Myers grounded out to third.
02:30:34 PMB76-9De La Cruz walked.
02:32:08 PMB76-9Stewart flied out to right, De La Cruz to second.
02:34:47 PMB76-9Stephenson walked.
02:38:35 PMB76-9Suárez struck out looking.
02:39:25 PMT86-9Ashcraft relieved Burke
02:42:22 PMT86-9Turang walked.
02:44:22 PMT86-9Pratt walked, Turang to second.
02:46:20 PMT87-9Naylor singled to left, Turang scored, Pratt to second.
02:48:52 PMT87-9Hamilton struck out looking.
02:50:03 PMT87-9Frelick grounded into fielder's choice to second, Naylor out at second, Pratt to third.
02:50:56 PMT87-9Yelich struck out swinging.
02:51:45 PMB87-9Romero relieved Anderson
02:54:48 PMB87-9Bleday flied out to right.
02:58:40 PMB87-9McLain walked.
03:00:46 PMB87-9Brito singled to center, McLain to second.
03:02:01 PMB87-10Rodríguez singled to right, McLain scored, Rodríguez to second, Brito to third.
03:04:15 PMB87-12Myers singled to left, Brito scored and Rodríguez scored.
03:05:54 PMB87-12De La Cruz struck out swinging.
03:07:33 PMB87-12Stewart walked, Myers to second.
03:08:51 PMB87-12Uribe relieved Romero
03:11:34 PMB87-12Stephenson struck out looking.
03:13:28 PMT97-12Bleday in right field.
03:13:28 PMT97-12Friedl in left field.
03:13:28 PMT97-12Johnson relieved Ashcraft
03:14:42 PMT97-12Chourio flied out to center.
03:16:29 PMT97-12Bauers walked.
03:18:35 PMT97-12Vaughn walked, Bauers to second.
03:19:39 PMT98-12Turang singled to right, Bauers scored, Vaughn to second.
03:22:06 PMT98-12Pratt grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Turang out at second, Vaughn to third. Milwaukee Brewers challenged: call on the field was overturned.
03:26:30 PMT98-12Sánchez hit for Naylor
03:26:30 PMT98-12Pagán relieved Johnson
03:26:30 PMT98-12Pratt to second on fielder's indifference.