Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies · V1 (legacy)
Sep 1, 2026, 8:40 PM EST · final score 2-4 · duration 2h 51m · 90 plays · 685 snapshots · 11 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (5)
09:15:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi-4.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
10:10:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.29
kalshi-2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
10:29:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: CAUGHT_STEALING · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.29
kalshi+3.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
10:54:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-11.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
11:03:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi+3.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
Play-by-play (90 real plays)
08:41:15 PMT10-0Holliday singled to right.
08:43:00 PMT10-0Alonso struck out swinging.
08:45:20 PMT10-0Henderson lined out to third.
08:47:43 PMT10-0Encarnacion-Strand lined out to right.
08:50:43 PMB10-0McCarthy doubled to center.
08:51:18 PMB10-0Moniak grounded out to second, McCarthy to third.
08:53:42 PMB10-0Goodman struck out swinging.
08:56:20 PMB10-0Rumfield walked.
08:58:51 PMB10-0Carrigg lined out to center.
09:01:27 PMT20-0Beavers flied out to shortstop.
09:03:00 PMT20-0Basallo safe at first on fielding error by first baseman Rumfield.
09:04:15 PMT20-0Taveras flied out to center.
09:06:44 PMT20-0Cowser grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Basallo out at second.
09:11:26 PMB20-0Norby struck out swinging.
09:12:01 PMB20-0B. Sullivan flied out to left.
09:13:35 PMB20-1Amador homered to right (396 feet).
09:16:28 PMB20-1Veen tripled to center. Umpire review: call on the field was upheld.
09:20:43 PMB20-2McCarthy singled to center, Veen scored.
09:21:22 PMB20-2Moniak flied out to center.
09:24:54 PMT30-2Narváez singled to center.
09:27:10 PMT30-2Holliday struck out looking. Colorado Rockies challenged: call on the field was overturned.
09:28:20 PMT30-2Alonso singled to right, Narváez to third.
09:29:31 PMT31-2Henderson grounded into double play, first to shortstop to first, Narváez scored, Alonso out at second.
09:33:00 PMB31-2Goodman flied out to left.
09:33:47 PMB31-2Rumfield flied out to center.
09:35:43 PMB31-2Carrigg flied out to left.
09:38:40 PMT41-2Encarnacion-Strand grounded out to third.
09:39:29 PMT41-2Beavers grounded out to second.
09:40:49 PMT41-2Basallo struck out swinging.
09:44:45 PMB41-2Norby grounded out to third.
09:46:13 PMB41-2B. Sullivan doubled to center.
09:48:49 PMB41-2Amador flied out to left.
09:51:41 PMB41-2Veen walked.
09:53:09 PMB41-2McCarthy flied out to left.
09:56:17 PMT51-2Taveras struck out swinging.
09:58:23 PMT51-2Cowser lined out to right.
10:00:10 PMT51-2Narváez walked.
10:02:27 PMT51-2Holliday singled to center, Narváez to third.
10:05:19 PMT51-2Alonso walked, Holliday to second.
10:06:10 PMT51-2Bernardino relieved Hughes
10:09:41 PMT51-2Henderson popped out to second.
10:12:38 PMB51-2Moniak singled to right.
10:16:30 PMB51-2Goodman struck out swinging.
10:20:06 PMB51-2Rumfield struck out looking.
10:22:41 PMB51-2Carrigg flied out to center.
10:23:13 PMT61-2Agnos relieved Bernardino
10:26:24 PMT61-2Encarnacion-Strand singled to left.
10:27:02 PMT61-2Encarnacion-Strand caught stealing second, catcher to shortstop.
10:28:05 PMT61-2Beavers flied out to center.
10:29:52 PMT61-2Basallo walked.
10:31:37 PMT61-2Taveras struck out swinging.
10:32:16 PMB61-2Walker relieved Bradish
10:35:20 PMB61-2Norby flied out to right.
10:36:28 PMB61-2B. Sullivan singled to right.
10:38:29 PMB61-2Amador singled to right, B. Sullivan to third.
10:38:45 PMB61-2Beck hit for Veen
10:41:12 PMB61-2Beck struck out swinging.
10:45:14 PMB61-2McCarthy flied out to shortstop.
10:46:57 PMT71-2McCarthy in left field.
10:46:57 PMT71-2Carrigg in center field.
10:46:57 PMT71-2Tovar at shortstop.
10:46:57 PMT71-2Hill relieved Agnos
10:50:17 PMT71-2Cowser struck out looking.
10:50:28 PMT71-2Kjerstad hit for Narváez
10:51:44 PMT71-2Kjerstad flied out to left.
10:52:55 PMT72-2Holliday homered to right (401 feet).
10:54:55 PMT72-2Alonso grounded out to shortstop.
10:57:11 PMB72-2Pozo catching.
10:57:11 PMB72-2De León relieved Walker
10:58:09 PMB72-2Moniak safe at first on fielding error by second baseman Holliday, Moniak safe at second on error.
11:00:20 PMB72-2Goodman struck out swinging.
11:01:18 PMB72-4Rumfield homered to right center (404 feet), Moniak scored.
11:03:33 PMB72-4Carrigg grounded out to shortstop.
11:04:05 PMB72-4Norby flied out to right.
11:06:37 PMT82-4Mejia relieved Hill
11:07:48 PMT82-4Henderson grounded out to first.
11:08:50 PMT82-4Encarnacion-Strand grounded out to second.
11:10:09 PMT82-4Beavers doubled to left.
11:11:18 PMT82-4Basallo hit by pitch.
11:13:54 PMT82-4Taveras struck out swinging.
11:14:48 PMB82-4Sanders relieved De León
11:17:30 PMB82-4B. Sullivan walked.
11:18:52 PMB82-4Amador flied out to left.
11:19:46 PMB82-4Tovar singled to left, B. Sullivan to second.
11:21:55 PMB82-4McCarthy grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Tovar out at second.
11:22:29 PMT92-4Romano relieved Mejia
11:23:25 PMT92-4Ritter at second base.
11:25:51 PMT92-4Cowser struck out swinging.
11:26:01 PMT92-4Alexander hit for Pozo
11:28:31 PMT92-4Alexander struck out swinging.