San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies · V1 (legacy)
Sep 15, 2026, 8:40 PM EST · final score 3-9 · duration 2h 32m · 97 plays · 608 snapshots · 13 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (6)
09:14:12 PM · inning 2 (early) · 3 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_real_event · leverage 0.15
kalshi-4.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 100%
09:27:12 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
kalshi+3.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket-2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 100%
09:47:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-2.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (12s lag)
10:20:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_TRIPLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-12.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-12.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (11s lag) · gap closed 0%
10:24:12 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket+6.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
10:36:11 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.26
kalshi-4.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (11s lag) · gap closed 0%
Play-by-play (97 real plays)
08:40:24 PMT11-0Tatis Jr. homered to left (455 feet).
08:41:33 PMT11-0Hays lined out to right.
08:43:14 PMT11-0Machado reached on infield single to shortstop.
08:45:10 PMT11-0France struck out swinging.
08:46:33 PMT11-0Merrill singled to center, Machado to third.
08:47:12 PMT11-0Bogaerts grounded out to shortstop.
08:49:24 PMB11-0McCarthy lined out to center.
08:52:11 PMB11-0Amador grounded out to second.
08:53:52 PMB11-0Carrigg singled to right.
08:56:04 PMB11-0Carrigg caught stealing second, catcher to shortstop.
08:58:22 PMT22-0Campusano homered to left (386 feet).
08:59:12 PMT22-0Taylor bunt grounded out to pitcher.
09:00:00 PMT22-0Cronenworth singled to center.
09:00:59 PMT22-0Tatis Jr. grounded into fielder's choice to third, Cronenworth out at second.
09:02:04 PMT22-0Hays reached on infield single to third, Tatis Jr. to second.
09:02:39 PMT22-0Machado flied out to left.
09:06:12 PMB22-0Rumfield singled to left.
09:08:12 PMB22-0Karros walked, Rumfield to second.
09:10:09 PMB22-0Moniak flied out to center, Rumfield to third.
09:11:45 PMB22-0Johnston hit by pitch, Karros to second.
09:14:33 PMB22-0B. Sullivan flied into double play, left to center to shortstop, Karros thrown out at second.
09:16:30 PMT32-0France lined out to center.
09:17:00 PMT32-0Merrill lined out to center.
09:18:09 PMT32-0Bogaerts singled to center.
09:19:01 PMT32-0Campusano grounded out to third.
09:22:39 PMB32-0Veen flied out to left.
09:24:16 PMB32-0McCarthy grounded out to first.
09:25:44 PMB32-0Amador reached on infield single to shortstop.
09:27:10 PMB32-2Carrigg homered to right (407 feet), Amador scored.
09:29:55 PMB32-2Rumfield singled to center.
09:31:33 PMB32-2Karros grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Rumfield out at second.
09:34:13 PMT42-2Taylor flied out to center.
09:35:30 PMT42-2Cronenworth flied out to left.
09:37:25 PMT42-2Tatis Jr. flied out to right.
09:40:22 PMB42-2Moniak struck out swinging.
09:41:13 PMB42-2Johnston singled to left.
09:43:12 PMB42-2B. Sullivan fouled out to first.
09:44:19 PMB42-2Veen grounded out to second.
09:46:47 PMT53-2Hays homered to left (379 feet).
09:49:34 PMT53-2Feltner relieved Freeland
09:50:15 PMT53-2Machado grounded out to second.
09:53:18 PMT53-2France struck out swinging.
09:54:28 PMT53-2Merrill singled to left.
09:55:28 PMT53-2Merrill caught stealing second, catcher to second.
09:59:24 PMB53-2McCarthy grounded out to first.
10:02:11 PMB53-2Amador grounded out to shortstop.
10:02:47 PMB53-2Carrigg doubled to right.
10:03:18 PMB53-2Peralta relieved Buehler
10:05:30 PMB53-2Rumfield hit by pitch.
10:08:33 PMB53-2Karros lined out to shortstop.
10:11:54 PMT63-2Bogaerts struck out swinging.
10:12:44 PMT63-2Campusano singled to center.
10:13:53 PMT63-2Harris hit for Taylor
10:14:23 PMT63-2Harris grounded out to first, Campusano to second.
10:15:48 PMT63-2Cronenworth grounded out to first.
10:17:49 PMB63-2Harris in left field.
10:18:27 PMB63-2Moniak tripled to right.
10:19:34 PMB63-3Johnston doubled to center, Moniak scored.
10:22:42 PMB63-4B. Sullivan singled to right, Johnston scored.
10:24:46 PMB63-4Veen struck out swinging.
10:26:03 PMB63-4McCarthy singled to right, B. Sullivan to second.
10:26:43 PMB63-4Vásquez relieved Peralta
10:29:09 PMB63-4Amador flied out to right.
10:35:56 PMB63-7Carrigg homered to right (415 feet), B. Sullivan scored and McCarthy scored.
10:36:27 PMB63-7Rumfield flied out to center.
10:39:44 PMT73-7Tatis Jr. struck out swinging.
10:40:15 PMT73-7Salas hit for Hays
10:41:10 PMT73-7Salas struck out swinging.
10:43:47 PMT73-7Machado walked.
10:45:23 PMT73-7France lined out to center.
10:47:10 PMB73-7Salas as designated hitter.
10:48:21 PMB73-7Karros singled to left.
10:49:09 PMB73-7Moniak flied out to center.
10:51:11 PMB73-8Johnston doubled to left, Karros scored.
10:51:36 PMB73-8Tovar ran for Johnston
10:51:36 PMB73-8B. Sullivan grounded out to second, Tovar to third.
10:53:12 PMB73-9Veen singled to right, Tovar scored.
10:53:50 PMB73-9McCarthy singled to center, Veen to second.
10:55:46 PMB73-9Amador grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, McCarthy out at second.
10:56:55 PMT83-9Carrigg in center field.
10:56:55 PMT83-9Tovar at shortstop.
10:57:45 PMT83-9
10:57:45 PMT83-9Veen in right field.
10:58:01 PMT83-9McCarthy in left field.
10:58:17 PMT83-9Merrill flied out to left.
10:59:50 PMT83-9Bogaerts struck out swinging.
11:01:17 PMT83-9Campusano flied out to right.
11:03:13 PMB83-9Song at third base.
11:03:13 PMB83-9Harris in center field.
11:03:13 PMB83-9Bowen in left field.
11:03:36 PMB83-9
11:04:24 PMB83-9Carrigg struck out looking. Colorado Rockies challenged: call on the field was upheld.
11:06:00 PMB83-9Rumfield grounded out to second.
11:06:43 PMB83-9Karros lined out to shortstop.
11:11:01 PMT93-9Harris reached on infield single to shortstop.
11:11:17 PMT93-9Cronenworth flied out to center.
11:11:55 PMT93-9Tatis Jr. grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Harris out at second.