Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins · V1 (legacy)
Sep 2, 2026, 7:40 PM EST · final score 11-6 · duration 4h 11m · 140 plays · 1006 snapshots · 42 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 12 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (21)
08:05:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi-6.5%sustained_move
polymarket-7.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 100%
08:52:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.29
kalshi+14.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
09:02:11 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.17
polymarket-3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
09:09:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.11
kalshi-6.0%sustained_move
polymarket-6.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (73s lag)
09:38:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.14
kalshi+8.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
09:39:13 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.14
polymarket+7.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
10:10:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.17
kalshi+7.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
10:11:10 PM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.17
polymarket+10.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
10:20:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-44.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
10:23:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+17.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
10:30:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-7.0%sustained_move
polymarket-8.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag)
10:39:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+7.5%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+6.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
10:53:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-11.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-8.5%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (13s lag) · gap closed 100%
10:59:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+17.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
11:02:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+25.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
11:05:00 PM · inning 11 (final) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi-11.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
11:06:10 PM · inning 11 (final) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
polymarket-7.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
11:21:00 PM · inning 11 (final) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-17.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
11:32:09 PM · inning 12 (final) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-2.5%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-3.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi (9s lag) · gap closed 0%
11:42:00 PM · inning 12 (final) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.29
kalshi+2.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
11:43:09 PM · inning 12 (final) · 3 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.29
polymarket+0.9%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (140 real plays)
07:43:20 PMT10-0McGonigle grounded out to third.
07:44:35 PMT10-0Lee struck out swinging.
07:47:01 PMT10-0Keith singled to center.
07:47:54 PMT10-0Greene popped out to shortstop.
07:50:23 PMB10-0Keaschall hit by pitch.
07:52:40 PMB10-0Lee flied out to center.
07:54:16 PMB10-0Clemens reached on infield single to second, Keaschall to second.
07:55:49 PMB10-0Jeffers grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Clemens out at second.
07:58:40 PMT20-0Valencia singled to center.
08:00:21 PMT20-0Callahan struck out swinging.
08:01:36 PMT20-0Clark doubled to right, Valencia to third.
08:04:34 PMT22-0Peck doubled to center, Clark scored and Valencia scored.
08:06:31 PMT22-0McKinstry grounded out to first, Peck to third.
08:07:59 PMT22-0McGonigle popped out to catcher.
08:10:30 PMB22-0Bell grounded out to second.
08:12:03 PMB22-0Larnach grounded out to first.
08:14:36 PMB22-0Lewis struck out looking.
08:17:36 PMT32-0Lee struck out swinging.
08:19:05 PMT32-0Keith flied out to center.
08:21:18 PMT32-0Greene struck out swinging.
08:25:51 PMB32-0Culpepper struck out swinging.
08:28:08 PMB32-0Jenkins walked.
08:29:30 PMB32-0Jenkins caught stealing second, catcher to second. Detroit Tigers challenged: call on the field was overturned.
08:31:48 PMB32-0Keaschall hit by pitch.
08:33:54 PMB32-0Lee grounded out to second.
08:37:25 PMT42-0Valencia doubled to center.
08:39:07 PMT42-0Callahan struck out swinging.
08:41:42 PMT42-0Clark walked.
08:44:36 PMT42-0Peck lined out to center.
08:45:24 PMT42-0McKinstry grounded out to shortstop.
08:48:38 PMB42-0Clemens walked.
08:50:24 PMB42-1Jeffers doubled to left, Clemens scored.
08:52:19 PMB42-1Bell struck out swinging.
08:52:50 PMB42-1Larnach grounded out to first, Jeffers to third.
08:54:36 PMB42-1Lewis struck out swinging.
08:59:19 PMT52-1McGonigle walked.
09:00:34 PMT53-1McGonigle to second on wild pitch by Kremer.
09:01:47 PMT53-1Lee singled to center, McGonigle scored.
09:04:55 PMT53-1Torkelson hit for Keith
09:04:55 PMT53-1Funderburk relieved Kremer
09:05:34 PMT53-1Torkelson lined out to left.
09:07:15 PMT54-1Greene doubled to center, Lee scored.
09:08:41 PMT54-1Greene to third on wild pitch by Funderburk.
09:09:51 PMT54-1Valencia struck out swinging.
09:10:43 PMT54-1Malgeri hit for Callahan
09:11:36 PMT54-1Malgeri struck out looking.
09:13:45 PMB54-1Torkelson at first base.
09:13:45 PMB54-1Malgeri in left field.
09:14:39 PMB54-1Culpepper grounded out to shortstop.
09:15:44 PMB54-1Jenkins struck out swinging.
09:16:59 PMB54-1Keaschall popped out to second.
09:20:17 PMT64-1Clark doubled to center.
09:21:02 PMT65-1Peck singled to right, Clark scored.
09:22:09 PMT65-1McKinstry lined out to third.
09:22:39 PMT65-1Peck to second on wild pitch by Funderburk.
09:23:38 PMT65-1McGonigle flied out to left.
09:26:28 PMT65-1Adams relieved Funderburk
09:27:31 PMT65-1Lee grounded out to second.
09:31:25 PMB65-1Lee grounded out to pitcher.
09:32:06 PMB65-1Clemens lined out to right.
09:35:08 PMB65-1Jeffers safe at first on throwing error by third baseman McGonigle.
09:36:12 PMB65-1Bell singled to right, Jeffers to second.
09:37:42 PMB65-2Larnach doubled to right, Jeffers scored, Bell to third.
09:40:12 PMB65-2Kinley relieved Anderson
09:41:02 PMB65-2Lewis grounded out to pitcher.
09:43:30 PMT75-2Hoffman relieved Adams
09:44:17 PMT75-2Torkelson struck out swinging.
09:45:41 PMT75-2Greene struck out swinging.
09:47:35 PMT75-2Valencia struck out looking.
09:50:43 PMB75-2Culpepper flied out to center.
09:53:46 PMB75-2Jenkins struck out swinging.
09:54:57 PMB75-2Keaschall struck out swinging.
09:57:33 PMT85-2Minter relieved Hoffman
09:58:00 PMT85-2Malgeri singled to center.
09:58:53 PMT85-2Clark lined out to shortstop.
10:01:00 PMT85-2Peck struck out swinging.
10:02:20 PMT85-2Malgeri stole second, Malgeri safe at third on throwing error by catcher Jeffers.
10:03:21 PMT85-2McKinstry flied out to left.
10:05:49 PMB85-2Sommers relieved Kinley
10:08:27 PMB85-2Lee singled to center.
10:09:01 PMB85-2Clemens hit by pitch, Lee to second.
10:12:41 PMB85-2Jeffers struck out looking.
10:13:32 PMB85-2Bell singled to left, Clemens to second, Lee to third.
10:16:57 PMB85-2Ross ran for Bell
10:16:57 PMB85-2Gonzalez hit for Larnach
10:16:57 PMB85-2Caratini hit for Gonzalez
10:16:57 PMB85-2Jansen relieved Sommers
10:19:00 PMB85-3Caratini walked, Lee scored, Ross to second, Clemens to third.
10:19:49 PMB85-3Kreidler ran for Caratini
10:22:52 PMB85-5Lewis singled to center, Clemens scored and Ross scored, Lewis to second, Kreidler to third.
10:25:21 PMB85-5Culpepper struck out looking. Minnesota Twins challenged: call on the field was upheld.
10:28:16 PMB85-5Holton relieved Jansen
10:29:09 PMB85-5Jenkins struck out swinging.
10:31:29 PMT95-5Clemens in left field.
10:31:29 PMT95-5Ross as designated hitter.
10:31:29 PMT95-5Kreidler at second base.
10:32:37 PMT95-5McGonigle popped out to catcher.
10:35:27 PMT95-5Gómez relieved Minter
10:36:47 PMT95-5Lee walked. Minnesota Twins challenged: call on the field was upheld.
10:37:34 PMT95-5Torkelson grounded into double play, third to second to first, Lee out at second.
10:40:51 PMB95-5Keaschall lined out to right.
10:43:40 PMB95-5Lee singled to center.
10:45:28 PMB95-5Clemens grounded into fielder's choice to first, Lee out at second.
10:48:31 PMB95-5Waguespack relieved Holton
10:49:09 PMB95-5Jeffers flied out to left.
10:51:35 PMT105-5Greene flied out to left.
10:52:10 PMT105-5Valencia grounded out to shortstop.
10:54:32 PMT105-5Malgeri struck out swinging.
10:57:37 PMB105-5Ross bunt grounded out to third.
10:59:34 PMB105-5Kreidler walked.
11:00:52 PMB105-5Lewis struck out swinging.
11:01:50 PMB105-5Culpepper flied out to right.
11:04:45 PMT115-5Rogers relieved Gómez
11:04:45 PMT116-5Clark doubled to left, Malgeri scored.
11:05:42 PMT116-5Peck lined out to left.
11:06:52 PMT116-5Torres hit for McKinstry
11:06:54 PMT116-5Torres intentionally walked.
11:07:20 PMT116-5Báez ran for Torres
11:08:13 PMT116-5McGonigle struck out swinging.
11:10:59 PMT116-5Nance relieved Rogers
11:12:24 PMT116-5Lee flied out to center.
11:15:11 PMB116-5Malgeri in right field.
11:15:11 PMB116-5Báez in left field.
11:15:11 PMB116-5Finnegan relieved Waguespack
11:18:20 PMB116-5Jenkins grounded out to shortstop, Culpepper to third.
11:20:42 PMB116-6Keaschall singled to right, Culpepper scored.
11:22:35 PMB116-6Lee singled to right, Keaschall to third.
11:27:41 PMB116-6Clemens struck out swinging.
11:28:35 PMB116-6Jeffers grounded out to shortstop.
11:31:47 PMT128-6Torkelson homered to left (382 feet), Lee scored.
11:33:37 PMT128-6Greene struck out swinging.
11:34:28 PMT128-6Valencia grounded out to third.
11:37:09 PMT128-6Malgeri singled to right.
11:37:53 PMT128-6Malgeri stole second.
11:38:55 PMT128-6Clark intentionally walked.
11:40:16 PMT128-6Peck hit by pitch, Clark to second, Malgeri to third.
11:41:46 PMT1211-6Báez doubled to right, Malgeri scored, Peck scored and Clark scored.
11:43:12 PMT1211-6McGonigle grounded out to second.
11:46:51 PMB1211-6Ross struck out swinging.
11:50:06 PMB1211-6Kreidler struck out swinging.