Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals · V1 (legacy)
Sep 15, 2026, 6:45 PM EST · final score 3-6 · duration 2h 27m · 84 plays · 589 snapshots · 23 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (12)
07:04:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi-12.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
07:05:12 PM · inning 1 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
polymarket-12.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
07:08:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi+4.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
07:34:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
kalshi-4.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 0%
07:43:11 PM · inning 3 (early) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
polymarket+14.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
07:47:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi-4.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
08:02:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi-7.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-2.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 0%
08:14:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: PICKOFF_CAUGHT_STEALING · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-5.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-6.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (9s lag) · gap closed 0%
08:41:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-31.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
08:42:08 PM · inning 7 (late) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket-28.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
08:45:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi+1.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
08:46:09 PM · inning 7 (late) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
polymarket+3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (84 real plays)
06:48:15 PMT10-0Schwarber walked.
06:50:06 PMT10-0Schwarber to second on wild pitch by Kent.
06:51:00 PMT10-0Turner fouled out to catcher.
06:52:25 PMT10-0Harper grounded out to second, Schwarber to third.
06:54:00 PMT10-0Arraez walked.
06:55:10 PMT11-0Bohm singled to center, Schwarber scored, Arraez to second.
06:56:32 PMT11-0De La Cruz struck out looking.
06:59:08 PMB11-0Crews flied out to center.
07:01:32 PMB11-0Chaparro flied out to right.
07:02:22 PMB11-0House doubled to left.
07:03:48 PMB11-1Morales doubled to center, House scored.
07:04:35 PMB11-1Young hit by pitch.
07:07:28 PMB11-2Vivas singled to left, Morales scored, Young to second.
07:11:25 PMB11-2Ford struck out looking.
07:13:59 PMT21-2Stott struck out swinging.
07:15:46 PMT21-2Realmuto lined out to shortstop.
07:17:48 PMT21-2Hill flied out to center.
07:20:57 PMB21-2Pinckney struck out looking.
07:22:31 PMB21-2Nuñez walked.
07:23:20 PMB21-2Crews grounded into double play, third to second to first, Nuñez out at second.
07:28:16 PMT31-2Schwarber flied out to left.
07:30:25 PMT31-2Turner singled to left.
07:31:06 PMT31-2Harper grounded out to pitcher, Turner to second.
07:32:21 PMT32-2Arraez doubled to left, Turner scored.
07:34:53 PMT32-2Bohm walked.
07:38:10 PMT32-2De La Cruz lined out to right.
07:41:04 PMB32-2Chaparro doubled to left.
07:42:24 PMB32-2House walked.
07:45:07 PMB32-2Morales struck out swinging.
07:46:14 PMB32-2Chaparro picked off second.
07:46:14 PMB32-2Young flied out to right.
07:48:33 PMT42-2Stott grounded out to first.
07:49:52 PMT42-2Realmuto struck out looking.
07:51:40 PMT42-2Hill struck out swinging.
07:54:53 PMB42-2Vivas struck out swinging.
07:56:08 PMB42-2Ford grounded out to shortstop.
07:57:48 PMB42-2Pinckney struck out swinging.
08:01:16 PMT53-2Schwarber homered to right (366 feet).
08:02:04 PMT53-2Turner popped out to shortstop.
08:02:43 PMT53-2Harper grounded out to second.
08:03:20 PMT53-2Arraez grounded out to first.
08:06:51 PMB53-2Nuñez reached on infield single to third.
08:10:20 PMB53-2Nuñez picked off and caught stealing second. Philadelphia Phillies challenged: call on the field was overturned.
08:10:51 PMB53-2Crews flied out to center.
08:12:51 PMB53-3Chaparro homered to center (422 feet).
08:13:15 PMB53-3House grounded out to second.
08:15:33 PMT63-3Cruz relieved Kent
08:16:17 PMT63-3Bohm grounded out to third.
08:17:18 PMT63-3De La Cruz flied out to right.
08:19:15 PMT63-3Stott flied out to center.
08:21:52 PMB63-3Morales grounded out to shortstop.
08:23:40 PMB63-3Young flied out to right.
08:24:53 PMB63-3Vivas grounded out to shortstop.
08:27:48 PMT73-3Realmuto grounded out to third.
08:29:42 PMT73-3Hill grounded out to shortstop.
08:30:33 PMT73-3Lovelady relieved Cruz
08:33:11 PMT73-3Schwarber popped out to shortstop.
08:37:45 PMB73-3Ford singled to center.
08:39:49 PMB73-3Pinckney singled to right, Ford to second.
08:41:39 PMB73-3Nuñez hit sacrifice bunt to catcher, Pinckney to second, Ford to third.
08:44:40 PMB73-3Lile hit for Crews
08:44:40 PMB73-3Bowlan relieved Sánchez
08:44:40 PMB73-6Lile homered to center (407 feet), Ford scored and Pinckney scored.
08:45:23 PMB73-6Wood hit for Chaparro
08:46:36 PMB73-6Wood struck out looking.
08:48:00 PMB73-6House struck out swinging.
08:49:42 PMT83-6Lile in left field.
08:49:42 PMT83-6Wood as designated hitter.
08:49:42 PMT83-6Pinckney in right field.
08:51:11 PMT83-6Turner lined out to left.
08:52:57 PMT83-6Harper struck out swinging.
08:55:12 PMT83-6Arraez doubled to right.
08:57:30 PMT83-6Lord relieved Lovelady
08:59:30 PMT83-6Bohm grounded out to second.
09:01:35 PMB83-6Shugart relieved Bowlan
09:02:09 PMB83-6Ortiz hit for Morales
09:03:30 PMB83-6Ortiz flied out to center.
09:03:51 PMB83-6Young lined out to left.
09:05:14 PMB83-6Vivas struck out looking.
09:07:29 PMT93-6Ortiz at first base.
09:07:29 PMT93-6Tolman relieved Lord
09:08:52 PMT93-6De La Cruz grounded out to shortstop.
09:09:57 PMT93-6Stott flied out to left.
09:12:05 PMT93-6Realmuto lined out to third.