Seattle Mariners @ Athletics · V1 (legacy)
Sep 13, 2026, 4:05 PM EST · final score 7-8 · duration 3h 26m · 102 plays · 823 snapshots · 20 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (9)
04:22:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi+0.0%choppy_indeterminate
polymarket+2.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (12s lag)
04:58:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
kalshi+1.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
04:59:13 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
polymarket-1.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
06:47:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.14
kalshi-4.5%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-4.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (13s lag) · gap closed 100%
06:56:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+11.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+9.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (10s lag) · gap closed 100%
07:07:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi+6.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+6.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (28s lag) · gap closed 100%
07:13:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+16.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
07:14:09 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket+25.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
07:19:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-2.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-2.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 100%
Play-by-play (102 real plays)
04:09:43 PMT10-0Crawford walked.
04:11:38 PMT10-0Arozarena grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Crawford out at second.
04:12:27 PMT10-0Canzone popped out to shortstop.
04:16:48 PMB10-0Bolte struck out swinging.
04:18:36 PMB10-0McNeil grounded out to shortstop.
04:21:14 PMB10-1Gelof homered to left (405 feet).
04:22:02 PMB10-2Butler homered to right center (405 feet).
04:23:53 PMB10-2Muncy struck out swinging.
04:27:31 PMT20-2Raleigh struck out swinging.
04:29:24 PMT20-2Rodríguez singled to right.
04:31:24 PMT20-2Naylor flied out to center.
04:33:21 PMT20-2Arroyo walked, Rodríguez to second.
04:37:36 PMT20-2We. Wilson fouled out to first.
04:41:34 PMB20-2Walton struck out looking.
04:42:48 PMB20-2Cortes lined out to third.
04:45:24 PMB20-2Serven walked.
04:47:38 PMB20-2Williams walked, Serven to second.
04:49:58 PMB20-2Bolte flied out to center.
04:55:00 PMT30-2Pereda doubled to left.
04:56:05 PMT30-2Crawford popped out to second.
04:57:28 PMT32-2Arozarena homered to left, Pereda scored.
05:00:13 PMT32-2Canzone struck out looking.
05:03:50 PMT32-2Raleigh grounded out to third.
05:07:37 PMB32-2McNeil grounded out to first.
05:09:11 PMB32-2Gelof lined out to pitcher.
05:10:04 PMB32-2Butler hit by pitch.
05:12:02 PMB32-2Butler to second on wild pitch by Miller.
05:12:34 PMB32-2Muncy flied out to right.
05:16:50 PMT42-2Rodríguez struck out swinging.
05:17:50 PMT42-2Naylor singled to right.
05:20:47 PMT42-2Arroyo walked, Naylor to second.
05:24:41 PMT42-2We. Wilson singled to center, Arroyo to second, Naylor to third.
05:26:44 PMT43-2Pereda hit sacrifice fly to left, Naylor scored, Arroyo to third.
05:29:28 PMT44-2Crawford reached on infield single to pitcher, Arroyo scored, We. Wilson to second.
05:31:23 PMT44-2Blewett relieved Lopez
05:32:10 PMT45-2Arozarena singled to center, We. Wilson scored, Crawford to second.
05:32:50 PMT45-2Canzone lined out to left.
05:35:11 PMB45-2Walton grounded out to first.
05:36:50 PMB45-2Cortes walked.
05:39:07 PMB45-2Serven struck out swinging.
05:40:52 PMB45-2Williams grounded out to pitcher.
05:43:44 PMT55-2Raleigh singled to center.
05:47:12 PMT55-2Rodríguez grounded out to first.
05:48:56 PMT55-2Naylor walked, Raleigh to second.
05:51:05 PMT55-2Arroyo walked, Naylor to second, Raleigh to third.
05:52:02 PMT55-2Medina relieved Blewett
05:53:26 PMT55-2Montes hit for We. Wilson
05:55:38 PMT55-2Montes struck out swinging.
05:58:08 PMT56-2Pereda walked, Raleigh scored, Arroyo to second, Naylor to third.
06:00:05 PMT56-2Crawford grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Pereda out at second.
06:01:48 PMB56-2Rodden at third base.
06:05:24 PMB56-2Bolte walked.
06:05:36 PMB56-2Bolte picked off first.
06:07:38 PMB56-2McNeil grounded out to second.
06:10:12 PMB56-2Gelof walked.
06:12:32 PMB56-2Butler struck out swinging.
06:14:36 PMT66-2Hartlieb relieved Medina
06:16:56 PMT66-2Arozarena grounded out to second.
06:18:22 PMT66-2Canzone doubled to right.
06:20:29 PMT66-2Raleigh struck out swinging.
06:21:46 PMT66-2Rodríguez grounded out to shortstop.
06:23:01 PMB66-2Vargas relieved Miller
06:25:32 PMB66-2Muncy struck out looking.
06:26:28 PMB66-2Walton doubled to right.
06:27:12 PMB66-2Cortes flied out to center.
06:28:36 PMB66-2Serven grounded out to second.
06:31:03 PMT76-2Naylor lined out to left.
06:32:05 PMT76-2Arroyo grounded out to third.
06:33:02 PMT76-2Rodden struck out swinging.
06:34:48 PMB76-2Young at second base.
06:35:35 PMB76-2Williams hit a ground rule double.
06:36:30 PMB76-2Bolte hit by pitch.
06:39:33 PMB76-2Speier relieved Vargas
06:40:49 PMB76-2McNeil reached on infield single to third, Bolte to second, Williams to third. Athletics challenged: call on the field was overturned.
06:46:38 PMB76-3Gelof walked, Williams scored, McNeil to second, Bolte to third. Seattle Mariners challenged: call on the field was upheld.
06:50:41 PMB76-4Butler grounded out to second, Bolte scored, Gelof to second, McNeil to third.
06:53:27 PMB76-4Langeliers hit for Muncy
06:53:27 PMB76-4Domínguez relieved Speier
06:54:43 PMB76-6Langeliers singled to right, McNeil scored and Gelof scored.
06:56:37 PMB76-6Walton flied out to right.
06:58:25 PMB76-6Cortes grounded out to pitcher.
06:59:53 PMT86-6Langeliers as designated hitter.
06:59:53 PMT86-6Harris relieved Hartlieb
07:01:41 PMT86-6Pereda singled to right.
07:04:30 PMT86-6Crawford grounded into double play, second to first to first to shortstop, Pereda out at third.
07:05:31 PMT87-6Arozarena homered to left (375 feet).
07:07:27 PMT87-6Canzone flied out to center.
07:10:23 PMB87-6Serven lined out to shortstop.
07:12:11 PMB87-6Williams doubled to right, Williams safe at third on throwing error by right fielder Canzone.
07:12:31 PMB87-6Clarke ran for Williams
07:13:11 PMB87-6Muñoz relieved Domínguez
07:17:26 PMB87-6Bolte struck out swinging.
07:18:28 PMB87-6McNeil flied out to left.
07:20:04 PMT97-6Walton at shortstop.
07:20:04 PMT97-6Stefanic at second base.
07:20:04 PMT97-6Alvarado relieved Harris
07:21:01 PMT97-6Raleigh flied out to left.
07:22:52 PMT97-6Rodríguez lined out to third.
07:25:05 PMT97-6Naylor singled to right.
07:26:07 PMT97-6Young grounded into fielder's choice to second, Naylor out at second.
07:28:29 PMB97-6Gelof singled to left.
07:30:33 PMB97-8Butler homered to right center (402 feet), Gelof scored.