Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros · V1 (legacy)
Sep 4, 2026, 8:10 PM EST · final score 1-3 · duration 2h 32m · 79 plays · 610 snapshots · 12 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (6)
08:56:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi-4.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket-3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (15s lag)
09:02:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.15
kalshi+1.0%sustained_move
polymarket+1.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket (-34s lag) · gap closed 100%
09:49:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_GROUND_RULE_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.19
kalshi+2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
09:50:13 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_GROUND_RULE_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.19
polymarket-2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
09:56:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.19
kalshi+2.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-1.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket (-45s lag) · gap closed 88%
10:27:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.23
kalshi+0.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket+0.0%choppy_indeterminate
Leader: kalshi (15s lag) · gap closed 100%
Play-by-play (79 real plays)
08:12:34 PMT10-0Perdomo flied out to right.
08:14:10 PMT10-0Carroll struck out swinging.
08:16:41 PMT10-0Moreno struck out swinging.
08:21:30 PMB10-0Peña grounded out to shortstop.
08:22:14 PMB10-0Alvarez flied out to left.
08:23:18 PMB10-0Paredes grounded out to second.
08:26:49 PMT20-0Marte walked.
08:28:52 PMT20-0Nootbaar fouled out to catcher.
08:30:28 PMT20-0Arenado grounded into fielder's choice to third, Marte out at second.
08:31:39 PMT20-0Kepler flied out to shortstop.
08:34:18 PMB20-0Altuve fouled out to catcher.
08:37:40 PMB20-0Varsho flied out to shortstop.
08:39:18 PMB20-0Walker singled to left.
08:40:49 PMB20-0Trammell grounded out to first.
08:44:29 PMT30-0Tawa struck out swinging.
08:45:43 PMT30-0Waldschmidt flied out to center.
08:48:34 PMT30-0Perdomo walked.
08:50:46 PMT30-0Perdomo stole second.
08:51:36 PMT30-0Carroll struck out swinging.
08:54:23 PMB30-1Diaz homered to left center (383 feet).
08:56:45 PMB30-1Wade Jr. struck out looking.
08:57:22 PMB30-1Peña singled to left.
08:59:45 PMB30-1Alvarez singled to center, Peña to second.
09:01:20 PMB30-2Paredes doubled to left, Peña scored, Alvarez to third.
09:03:20 PMB30-3Altuve hit sacrifice fly to left, Alvarez scored.
09:04:40 PMB30-3Varsho flied out to shortstop.
09:07:16 PMT41-3Moreno homered to left center (387 feet).
09:10:11 PMT41-3Marte struck out swinging.
09:12:00 PMT41-3Nootbaar struck out swinging.
09:13:48 PMT41-3Arenado walked.
09:15:53 PMT41-3Kepler grounded out to second.
09:18:29 PMB41-3Walker flied out to left.
09:20:53 PMB41-3Trammell struck out swinging.
09:22:29 PMB41-3Diaz singled to left.
09:23:54 PMB41-3Wade Jr. grounded out to first.
09:27:22 PMT51-3Tawa struck out swinging.
09:29:46 PMT51-3Waldschmidt struck out swinging.
09:30:30 PMT51-3Perdomo grounded out to first.
09:34:23 PMB51-3Peña struck out swinging.
09:35:54 PMB51-3Alvarez singled to center.
09:38:21 PMB51-3Paredes lined out to right.
09:41:39 PMB51-3Altuve struck out swinging.
09:43:02 PMT61-3De Los Santos relieved Javier
09:44:13 PMT61-3Carroll fouled out to third.
09:46:02 PMT61-3Moreno walked.
09:48:15 PMT61-3Marte hit a ground rule double, Moreno to third.
09:49:25 PMT61-3Sousa relieved De Los Santos
09:52:39 PMT61-3Nootbaar walked.
09:55:07 PMT61-3Arenado grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Nootbaar out at second.
09:57:40 PMB61-3Varsho bunt grounded out to pitcher.
09:59:08 PMB61-3Walker popped out to shortstop.
10:00:30 PMB61-3Trammell grounded out to catcher.
10:01:56 PMT71-3Trammell in left field.
10:01:56 PMT71-3Smith in right field.
10:03:00 PMT71-3Lawlar hit for Kepler
10:03:46 PMT71-3Lawlar struck out swinging.
10:05:32 PMT71-3Tawa walked.
10:07:12 PMT71-3Waldschmidt struck out swinging.
10:08:51 PMT71-3Perdomo singled to center, Tawa to second.
10:09:42 PMT71-3Abreu relieved Sousa
10:12:35 PMT71-3Carroll popped out to shortstop.
10:15:27 PMB71-3Lawlar in center field.
10:15:27 PMB71-3Waldschmidt in left field.
10:15:27 PMB71-3Martinez relieved Kelly
10:15:27 PMB71-3Diaz grounded out to shortstop.
10:17:52 PMB71-3Smith struck out swinging.
10:19:23 PMB71-3Peña struck out swinging.
10:23:05 PMT81-3Moreno walked.
10:24:00 PMT81-3Moreno to second on wild pitch by Abreu.
10:25:43 PMT81-3Marte grounded into double play, shortstop to first, Moreno out at second.
10:26:51 PMT81-3Nootbaar lined out to center.
10:28:38 PMB81-3Law relieved Martinez
10:31:27 PMB81-3Alvarez flied out to center.
10:32:25 PMB81-3Paredes hit by pitch.
10:34:16 PMB81-3Altuve grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Paredes out at second.
10:35:43 PMT91-3Allen at second base.
10:35:43 PMT91-3Hader relieved Abreu
10:38:45 PMT91-3Arenado struck out swinging.
10:40:44 PMT91-3Lawlar struck out swinging.