New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres · V1 (legacy)
Sep 4, 2026, 9:40 PM EST · final score 2-3 · duration 2h 32m · 85 plays · 609 snapshots · 12 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 10 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (5)
10:20:13 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
kalshi-1.0%sustained_move
polymarket-2.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (13s lag)
10:52:08 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: CAUGHT_STEALING · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket+6.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
11:56:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+20.5%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
12:02:00 AM · inning 9 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_real_event · leverage 1.00
kalshi-12.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket-13.5%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (25s lag) · gap closed 0%
12:06:00 AM · inning 10 (final) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-9.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
Play-by-play (85 real plays)
09:40:58 PMT10-0Rice singled to center.
09:42:06 PMT10-0Bellinger fouled out to third.
09:44:17 PMT10-0García Jr. struck out swinging.
09:46:37 PMT10-0Jones struck out swinging.
09:50:28 PMB10-0Tatis Jr. lined out to shortstop.
09:52:41 PMB10-0Taylor flied out to center.
09:55:17 PMB10-0Machado struck out swinging.
09:59:15 PMT20-0Grisham walked.
10:02:19 PMT20-0Chisholm Jr. flied out to center.
10:03:49 PMT20-0Lombard Jr. struck out looking.
10:04:15 PMT20-0Grisham caught stealing second, catcher to shortstop.
10:07:28 PMB20-0France doubled to left.
10:10:22 PMB20-0Merrill hit sacrifice bunt to pitcher, France to third.
10:11:14 PMB20-0Hays popped out to first.
10:12:10 PMB20-1Bogaerts singled to center, France scored.
10:13:10 PMB20-1Campusano singled to left, Bogaerts to second.
10:14:02 PMB20-1Cronenworth grounded out to third.
10:17:09 PMT30-1McMahon grounded out to second.
10:18:51 PMT30-1Wells struck out looking.
10:19:46 PMT31-1Rice homered to center (444 feet).
10:23:01 PMT31-1Bellinger struck out swinging.
10:25:16 PMB31-1Jones in center field.
10:25:16 PMB31-1Ramos in right field.
10:25:40 PMB31-1Tatis Jr. grounded out to second.
10:27:43 PMB31-1Taylor struck out looking.
10:29:49 PMB31-1Machado singled to left, Machado out stretching at second.
10:32:28 PMT41-1García Jr. singled to center.
10:34:48 PMT41-1Jones struck out swinging.
10:37:27 PMT41-1Ramos grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, García Jr. out at second.
10:40:58 PMB41-1France struck out swinging.
10:41:56 PMB41-1Merrill grounded out to second.
10:44:14 PMB41-1Hays flied out to right.
10:48:01 PMT51-1Chisholm Jr. walked.
10:49:43 PMT51-1Chisholm Jr. caught stealing second, catcher to second.
10:50:31 PMT51-1Lombard Jr. grounded out to shortstop.
10:51:05 PMT51-1McMahon grounded out to second.
10:54:23 PMB51-1Bogaerts struck out swinging.
10:55:59 PMB51-1Campusano flied out to center.
10:58:43 PMB51-1Cronenworth walked.
10:59:59 PMB51-1Tatis Jr. lined out to right.
11:01:04 PMT61-1Matsui relieved Buehler
11:04:03 PMT61-1Wells flied out to center.
11:04:44 PMT61-1Rice singled to center.
11:06:56 PMT61-1Bellinger struck out swinging.
11:07:36 PMT61-1García Jr. popped out to second.
11:10:30 PMB61-1Taylor grounded out to pitcher.
11:12:39 PMB61-1Machado flied out to center.
11:14:04 PMB61-1Warren relieved Fried
11:16:02 PMB61-1France walked.
11:19:35 PMB61-1Merrill grounded out to shortstop.
11:20:53 PMT71-1Rodriguez relieved Matsui
11:22:22 PMT71-1Jones flied out to left.
11:23:57 PMT71-1Ramos struck out swinging.
11:25:07 PMT71-1Chisholm Jr. grounded out to second.
11:28:20 PMB71-1Hays grounded out to first.
11:29:00 PMB71-1Bogaerts grounded out to third.
11:31:01 PMB71-1Campusano flied out to right.
11:32:18 PMT81-1Morejon relieved Rodriguez
11:34:42 PMT81-1Lombard Jr. struck out swinging.
11:35:07 PMT81-1Goldschmidt hit for McMahon
11:36:57 PMT81-1Goldschmidt struck out swinging.
11:39:11 PMT81-1Wells struck out looking.
11:41:57 PMB81-1Caballero at third base.
11:42:37 PMB81-1Cronenworth grounded out to second.
11:43:16 PMB81-1Tatis Jr. flied out to center.
11:44:31 PMB81-1Taylor grounded out to third.
11:46:23 PMT91-1Miller relieved Morejon
11:47:32 PMT91-1Rice flied out to right.
11:48:31 PMT91-1Bellinger struck out swinging.
11:49:37 PMT91-1García Jr. struck out swinging.
11:51:06 PMB91-1Bednar relieved Warren
11:53:00 PMB91-1Machado lined out to right.
11:54:22 PMB91-1France doubled to left.
11:54:42 PMB91-1Bowen ran for France
11:56:12 PMB91-1Merrill flied out to left.
11:56:37 PMB91-1Bowen to third on passed ball by Wells.
11:58:51 PMB91-1Hays struck out swinging.
12:02:02 AMT101-1Song at second base.
12:02:02 AMT101-1Cronenworth at first base.
12:02:02 AMT102-1Jones singled to center, García Jr. scored, Jones to second.
12:04:12 AMT102-1Ramos struck out swinging, Jones caught stealing third, catcher to third.
12:06:34 AMT102-1Chisholm Jr. struck out looking.
12:07:46 AMB102-1Blackburn relieved Bednar
12:08:41 AMB102-1Harris ran for Hays
12:11:15 AMB102-1Bogaerts struck out swinging.