Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Guardians · V1 (legacy)
Sep 1, 2026, 6:40 PM EST · final score 1-6 · duration 2h 29m · 81 plays · 597 snapshots · 7 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (3)
07:53:14 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.57
polymarket+4.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
08:07:09 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi+3.0%sustained_move
polymarket-4.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (9s lag) · gap closed 0%
08:37:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.27
kalshi-0.5%sustained_move
polymarket-0.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (13s lag)
Play-by-play (81 real plays)
06:42:28 PMT10-0Bateman struck out swinging.
06:44:27 PMT10-0Kirk struck out swinging.
06:45:31 PMT10-0Guerrero Jr. lined out to right.
06:49:07 PMB10-0Kwan grounded out to second.
06:51:20 PMB10-0DeLauter grounded out to second.
06:52:28 PMB10-0Ramírez singled to center.
06:54:34 PMB10-0Adell lined out to third.
06:57:41 PMT20-0Springer grounded out to shortstop.
06:58:44 PMT20-0Lukes struck out swinging.
07:00:38 PMT20-0Okamoto struck out swinging.
07:02:22 PMB20-0Tiedemann relieved Miles
07:05:32 PMB20-0Lowe walked.
07:08:55 PMB20-0Martínez grounded into double play, third to second to first, Lowe out at second.
07:10:41 PMB20-0Bazzana walked.
07:12:26 PMB20-0Bailey grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Bazzana out at second.
07:15:36 PMT30-0Giménez hit by pitch.
07:17:07 PMT30-0Clement lined out to left.
07:19:13 PMT30-0Straw flied out to right.
07:20:54 PMT30-0Giménez to second on wild pitch by Williams.
07:22:33 PMT30-0Bateman struck out swinging.
07:24:09 PMB30-0Arrighetti relieved Tiedemann
07:26:00 PMB30-0Rocchio flied out to left.
07:29:13 PMB30-0Kwan lined out to left.
07:31:07 PMB30-0DeLauter struck out swinging.
07:33:29 PMT40-0Kirk singled to right.
07:36:03 PMT40-0Guerrero Jr. grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Kirk out at second.
07:37:37 PMT40-0Springer struck out swinging.
07:38:09 PMT40-0Lukes grounded out to third.
07:40:45 PMB40-0Ramírez popped out to shortstop.
07:43:05 PMB40-0Adell flied out to right.
07:45:53 PMB40-0Lowe struck out swinging.
07:48:25 PMT50-0Okamoto singled to left.
07:49:32 PMT50-0Giménez struck out swinging.
07:51:45 PMT50-0Clement walked, Okamoto to second, Okamoto safe at third on throwing error by catcher Bailey.
07:54:23 PMT50-0Straw struck out swinging.
07:54:52 PMT51-0Okamoto scored on Williams wild pitch, Clement to second on wild pitch by Williams.
07:56:22 PMT51-0Bateman grounded out to pitcher.
08:00:46 PMB51-0Martínez walked.
08:03:47 PMB51-0Bazzana flied out to center.
08:06:30 PMB51-2Bailey homered to center (407 feet), Martínez scored.
08:09:16 PMB51-2Rocchio flied out to right.
08:10:14 PMB51-2Kwan grounded out to pitcher.
08:13:44 PMT61-2Kirk struck out swinging.
08:15:08 PMT61-2Guerrero Jr. flied out to right.
08:16:41 PMT61-2Springer struck out swinging.
08:19:09 PMB61-2DeLauter grounded out to second.
08:20:38 PMB61-2Ramírez grounded out to second.
08:22:14 PMB61-2Adell doubled to left.
08:23:49 PMB61-2Mantiply relieved Arrighetti
08:25:27 PMB61-2Lowe lined out to second.
08:28:27 PMT71-2Lukes struck out swinging.
08:29:58 PMT71-2Okamoto struck out swinging.
08:31:41 PMT71-2Giménez struck out swinging.
08:35:23 PMB71-2Martínez singled to right.
08:36:11 PMB71-2Genao hit for Bazzana
08:36:11 PMB71-4Genao homered to left (426 feet), Martínez scored.
08:38:37 PMB71-4Bailey flied out to center.
08:39:13 PMB71-4Rocchio grounded out to shortstop.
08:40:23 PMB71-4Kwan singled to right.
08:42:29 PMB71-4DeLauter struck out swinging.
08:44:22 PMT81-4Genao at second base.
08:44:22 PMT81-4Gaddis relieved Williams
08:46:05 PMT81-4Clement popped out to first.
08:46:34 PMT81-4Sánchez hit for Straw
08:48:07 PMT81-4Sánchez struck out swinging.
08:48:44 PMT81-4Bateman grounded out to shortstop.
08:51:15 PMB81-4Sánchez in left field.
08:51:15 PMB81-4Lorenzen relieved Mantiply
08:52:16 PMB81-4Ramírez grounded out to second.
08:53:12 PMB81-4Adell singled to right.
08:53:45 PMB81-4Halpin ran for Adell
08:54:39 PMB81-4Lowe lined out to center.
08:56:51 PMB81-6Martínez homered to right center (384 feet), Halpin scored.
08:59:50 PMB81-6Genao lined out to center.
09:02:06 PMT91-6Kwan in left field.
09:02:06 PMT91-6Halpin in center field.
09:02:06 PMT91-6Martínez in right field.
09:02:06 PMT91-6Festa relieved Gaddis
09:04:40 PMT91-6Kirk grounded out to second.
09:06:17 PMT91-6Guerrero Jr. singled to left.
09:08:17 PMT91-6Springer flied out to center.