Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers · V1 (legacy)
Sep 13, 2026, 2:10 PM EST · final score 4-3 · duration 2h 35m · 86 plays · 619 snapshots · 16 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (8)
02:43:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi+2.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+1.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (13s lag)
03:39:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi+1.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-1.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (75s lag) · gap closed 100%
04:02:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi+14.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+15.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (13s lag) · gap closed 0%
04:05:14 PM · inning 7 (late) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket+7.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
04:11:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-9.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-9.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (13s lag)
04:16:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_SACRIFICE_FLY · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi-28.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-15.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (12s lag)
04:23:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: CAUGHT_STEALING · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+9.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+10.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket (-47s lag) · gap closed 89%
04:39:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+24.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
Play-by-play (86 real plays)
02:12:48 PMT10-0Myers grounded out to second.
02:14:57 PMT10-0De La Cruz lined out to left.
02:16:20 PMT10-0Stewart struck out swinging.
02:20:12 PMB10-0Mitchell struck out swinging.
02:21:27 PMB10-0Chourio struck out swinging.
02:23:01 PMB10-0Turang walked.
02:23:35 PMB10-0Sánchez grounded out to shortstop.
02:29:00 PMT20-0Suárez grounded out to shortstop.
02:30:54 PMT20-0Stephenson walked.
02:31:31 PMT20-0Bleday singled to right, Stephenson to second.
02:32:46 PMT20-0Brito flied out to right.
02:35:11 PMT20-0Trevino flied out to center.
02:38:27 PMB20-0Bauers struck out swinging.
02:40:28 PMB20-0Yelich walked.
02:42:43 PMB20-2Ortiz homered to center (408 feet), Yelich scored.
02:44:26 PMB20-2Lara struck out swinging.
02:45:22 PMB20-2Pratt popped out to second.
02:48:33 PMT30-2Rodríguez struck out swinging.
02:50:11 PMT30-2Myers struck out swinging.
02:52:42 PMT30-2De La Cruz struck out swinging.
02:55:52 PMB30-2Mitchell walked.
02:57:49 PMB30-2Chourio struck out swinging, Mitchell caught stealing second, catcher to second.
02:59:13 PMB30-2Turang singled to right.
03:01:57 PMB30-2Sánchez flied out to right.
03:05:42 PMT40-2Stewart grounded out to third.
03:07:25 PMT40-2Suárez flied out to left.
03:09:06 PMT40-2Stephenson hit a ground rule double.
03:11:02 PMT40-2Bleday walked. Cincinnati Reds challenged: call on the field was overturned.
03:13:26 PMT40-2Brito struck out swinging.
03:15:11 PMB40-2Williamson relieved Burns
03:15:57 PMB40-2Bauers flied out to center.
03:17:20 PMB40-2Yelich struck out swinging.
03:19:32 PMB40-2Ortiz struck out swinging.
03:22:46 PMT50-2Trevino grounded out to second.
03:24:10 PMT50-2Rodríguez grounded out to third.
03:25:59 PMT50-2Myers grounded out to third.
03:28:54 PMB50-2Lara grounded out to shortstop.
03:30:09 PMB50-2Pratt lined out to right.
03:30:31 PMB50-2Frelick hit for Mitchell
03:31:05 PMB50-2Frelick lined out to right.
03:32:54 PMT60-2Frelick in right field.
03:32:54 PMT60-2Lara in center field.
03:34:17 PMT60-2De La Cruz singled to left.
03:36:58 PMT60-2Senzatela relieved Gasser
03:37:58 PMT60-2Stewart singled to center, De La Cruz to third.
03:38:58 PMT63-2Suárez homered to right center (389 feet), De La Cruz scored and Stewart scored.
03:40:45 PMT63-2Stephenson grounded out to shortstop.
03:42:04 PMT63-2Romero relieved Senzatela
03:44:35 PMT63-2Bleday struck out looking.
03:46:03 PMT63-2Brito grounded out to third.
03:48:50 PMB63-2Chourio grounded out to second.
03:49:59 PMB63-2Turang grounded out to second.
03:52:01 PMB63-2Sánchez flied out to left.
03:55:11 PMT73-2Trevino grounded out to second.
03:55:42 PMT73-2Rodríguez grounded out to first.
03:57:10 PMT73-2Myers grounded out to shortstop.
04:00:44 PMB73-3Bauers homered to right center (386 feet).
04:02:15 PMB73-3Yelich singled to left.
04:03:54 PMB73-3Ortiz grounded into double play, third to second to first, Yelich out at second.
04:05:21 PMB73-3Lara fouled out to first.
04:07:11 PMT83-3Uribe relieved Romero
04:09:25 PMT83-3De La Cruz singled to right.
04:11:08 PMT83-3Stewart singled to right, De La Cruz to third.
04:12:40 PMT83-3Suárez fouled out to catcher.
04:14:11 PMT84-3Stephenson hit sacrifice fly to right, De La Cruz scored.
04:16:54 PMT84-3Bleday struck out swinging.
04:18:45 PMB84-3Hayes at third base.
04:18:45 PMB84-3Burke relieved Williamson
04:19:51 PMB84-3Pratt singled to center.
04:20:34 PMB84-3Frelick hit sacrifice bunt, Frelick to first on throwing error by pitcher Burke, Pratt to second.
04:22:16 PMB84-3Chourio lined into double play, pitcher to second, Pratt doubled off second.
04:22:57 PMB84-3Frelick caught stealing second, catcher to shortstop.
04:25:01 PMT94-3Hall relieved Uribe
04:27:02 PMT94-3Brito doubled to left.
04:27:30 PMT94-3Trevino bunted into fielder's choice to first, Brito out at third.
04:29:22 PMT94-3Rodríguez flied out to right.
04:31:32 PMT94-3Myers walked, Trevino to second.
04:34:33 PMT94-3De La Cruz struck out swinging.
04:36:24 PMB94-3Bleday in right field.
04:36:24 PMB94-3Friedl in left field.
04:36:24 PMB94-3Pagán relieved Burke
04:38:14 PMB94-3Turang singled to center.
04:41:10 PMB94-3Sánchez struck out looking.
04:43:12 PMB94-3Bauers grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Turang out at second.
04:43:47 PMB94-3Hamilton ran for Bauers
04:44:32 PMB94-3Yelich fouled out to left.