Los Angeles Angels @ Washington Nationals · V1 (legacy)
Sep 13, 2026, 1:35 PM EST · final score 5-6 · duration 2h 35m · 94 plays · 620 snapshots · 24 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (12)
02:00:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 3 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.50
kalshi-3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
02:01:14 PM · inning 1 (early) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.50
polymarket-4.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
02:24:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.50
kalshi+11.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+10.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (14s lag)
02:29:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi-4.0%sustained_move
polymarket-3.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
02:43:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.17
kalshi+2.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
03:04:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.17
kalshi-16.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
03:06:13 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.29
polymarket-15.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
03:08:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+16.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
03:42:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+3.5%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+3.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (16s lag)
03:50:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_TRIPLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.34
kalshi-29.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
03:55:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_TRIPLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi+3.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket-2.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 100%
04:09:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.24
kalshi-5.0%sustained_move
polymarket-5.5%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag)
Play-by-play (94 real plays)
01:37:01 PMT10-0Neto struck out swinging.
01:38:40 PMT10-0Trout doubled to center.
01:42:34 PMT10-0Meckler walked.
01:44:22 PMT10-0Grissom struck out swinging.
01:46:40 PMT10-0Ballesteros flied out to right.
01:49:58 PMB10-0Wood walked.
01:51:48 PMB10-0Ortiz struck out looking.
01:53:38 PMB10-0Chaparro singled to center, Wood to second.
01:55:13 PMB10-0Abrams singled to left, Chaparro to second, Wood to third.
01:58:57 PMB10-0Morales grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Abrams to second, Chaparro to third, Wood out at home.
02:00:01 PMB10-0Lile flied out to left.
02:03:42 PMT20-0Guzman struck out swinging.
02:04:18 PMT20-0Lowe lined out to center.
02:05:56 PMT20-0Siri struck out swinging.
02:09:26 PMB20-0Ruiz singled to center.
02:10:02 PMB20-0Tena grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Ruiz out at second.
02:10:52 PMB20-0Young grounded out to third.
02:13:10 PMT30-0Irvin relieved Cornelio
02:14:31 PMT30-0Moore grounded out to shortstop.
02:15:42 PMT30-0Neto grounded out to shortstop.
02:17:00 PMT30-0Trout walked.
02:17:36 PMT30-0Meckler flied out to right.
02:21:09 PMB30-0Wood singled to left.
02:22:28 PMB30-0Ortiz flied out to right.
02:23:02 PMB30-0Chaparro flied out to left.
02:23:52 PMB30-0Abrams grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Wood out at second.
02:26:40 PMT40-0Grissom popped out to first.
02:27:22 PMT41-0Ballesteros homered to center (407 feet).
02:29:46 PMT41-0Guzman struck out looking.
02:31:00 PMT41-0Lowe struck out swinging.
02:34:15 PMB41-0Morales grounded out to third.
02:35:26 PMB41-0Lile struck out looking.
02:37:17 PMB41-0Ruiz flied out to left.
02:40:38 PMT51-0Siri struck out swinging.
02:41:28 PMT51-0Moore grounded out to third.
02:42:03 PMT52-0Neto homered to center (440 feet).
02:43:31 PMT52-0Trout walked.
02:44:05 PMT52-0Meckler flied out to left.
02:47:38 PMB52-0Tena struck out swinging.
02:49:04 PMB52-0Young grounded out to pitcher.
02:51:26 PMB52-0Wood singled to right.
02:53:39 PMB52-0Ortiz struck out looking. Washington Nationals challenged: call on the field was upheld.
02:57:19 PMT62-0Grissom struck out swinging.
02:58:50 PMT62-0Ballesteros walked.
02:59:29 PMT62-0Guzman grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Ballesteros out at second.
03:02:37 PMB62-0Chaparro grounded out to third.
03:03:26 PMB62-0Abrams doubled to center.
03:04:01 PMB62-1Morales singled to center, Abrams scored.
03:06:49 PMB62-1Saucedo relieved Rodriguez
03:06:49 PMB62-1Lile singled to right, Morales to second.
03:07:13 PMB62-1Ruiz hit by pitch, Lile to second, Morales to third.
03:07:56 PMB62-1House hit for Tena
03:09:57 PMB62-2House grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Morales scored, Ruiz out at second, Lile to third.
03:10:25 PMB62-2Nuñez ran for House
03:11:37 PMB62-2Young flied out to right.
03:13:05 PMT72-2Nuñez at second base.
03:14:13 PMT72-2Lowe struck out swinging.
03:15:13 PMT72-2Siri flied out to left.
03:16:09 PMT72-2Moore struck out swinging.
03:20:54 PMB72-2Wood grounded out to first.
03:22:24 PMB72-2Murphy relieved Saucedo
03:23:43 PMB72-2Crews hit for Ortiz
03:25:39 PMB72-2Crews struck out looking. Los Angeles Angels challenged: call on the field was overturned.
03:27:20 PMB72-2Chaparro walked.
03:27:56 PMB72-2Abrams grounded out to second.
03:29:11 PMT82-2Crews as designated hitter.
03:32:04 PMT82-2Neto walked.
03:34:10 PMT82-2Tolman relieved Irvin
03:36:38 PMT82-2Trout struck out looking.
03:38:20 PMT82-2Neto stole second.
03:39:26 PMT82-2Meckler walked.
03:41:31 PMT82-2Grissom grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Meckler safe at second on fielding error by shortstop Abrams, Neto to third.
03:41:41 PMT83-2Neto scored on Tolman wild pitch, Grissom to second on wild pitch by Tolman, Meckler to third on wild pitch by Tolman.
03:42:29 PMT84-2Ballesteros hit sacrifice fly to right, Meckler scored, Grissom to third.
03:45:27 PMT84-2Guzman struck out swinging.
03:48:27 PMB84-2Morales singled to right.
03:49:44 PMB84-3Lile tripled to right, Morales scored.
03:52:26 PMB84-3Ruiz grounded out to first.
03:53:24 PMB84-3Vivas hit for Nuñez
03:54:06 PMB84-4Vivas singled to left, Lile scored.
03:54:53 PMB84-5Young doubled to left, Vivas scored.
03:57:26 PMB84-5Peralta relieved Murphy
03:57:40 PMB84-5Young stole third.
03:59:00 PMB84-5Wood struck out swinging.
04:00:59 PMB84-6Crews singled to left, Young scored.
04:03:10 PMB84-6Chaparro struck out swinging.
04:05:18 PMT94-6Pinckney in right field.
04:05:18 PMT94-6Vivas at second base.
04:05:18 PMT94-6Sinclair relieved Tolman
04:05:46 PMT94-6Lowe doubled to left.
04:06:06 PMT94-6Frazier hit for Siri
04:07:24 PMT94-6Frazier grounded out to second, Lowe to third.
04:09:07 PMT95-6Moore grounded out to third, Lowe scored.
04:09:54 PMT95-6Neto struck out swinging.