Detroit Tigers @ Cleveland Guardians · V1 (legacy)
Sep 6, 2026, 1:40 PM EST · final score 2-3 · duration 2h 44m · 82 plays · 657 snapshots · 15 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 10 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (8)
01:49:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
kalshi-9.0%sustained_move
polymarket-8.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 0%
01:57:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.15
kalshi-6.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket-3.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 100%
02:05:15 PM · inning 1 (early) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.25
kalshi-4.0%sustained_move
polymarket-2.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (15s lag) · gap closed 0%
03:05:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-5.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-7.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (13s lag) · gap closed 100%
03:45:14 PM · inning 8 (late) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_real_event · leverage 1.00
polymarket+5.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
04:15:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-14.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-15.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (22s lag) · gap closed 100%
04:19:14 PM · inning 10 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket-10.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
04:24:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshin/achoppy_indeterminate
Leader: kalshi
Play-by-play (82 real plays)
01:43:07 PMT10-0McGonigle struck out swinging.
01:45:03 PMT10-0Lee walked.
01:46:35 PMT10-0Keith singled to center, Lee to second.
01:47:42 PMT12-0Greene doubled to right, Keith scored and Lee scored.
01:48:36 PMT12-0Dingler singled to right, Greene to third.
01:51:02 PMT12-0Callahan struck out swinging.
01:52:05 PMT12-0Malgeri grounded out to third.
01:55:11 PMB12-0Kwan doubled to right.
01:57:14 PMB12-1Bazzana doubled to right, Kwan scored.
01:58:23 PMB12-1Adell grounded out to third.
01:59:46 PMB12-1Lowe walked.
02:01:31 PMB12-1Martínez walked, Lowe to second, Bazzana to third.
02:04:18 PMB12-1Genao struck out swinging.
02:04:56 PMB12-1Bailey grounded out to second.
02:07:59 PMT22-1Clark struck out swinging.
02:08:21 PMT22-1Peck lined out to right.
02:09:26 PMT22-1McGonigle popped out to shortstop.
02:13:23 PMB22-1Halpin struck out swinging.
02:15:29 PMB22-1Rocchio struck out swinging.
02:17:36 PMB22-1Kwan struck out swinging.
02:21:38 PMT32-1Lee struck out swinging.
02:23:57 PMT32-1Keith struck out swinging.
02:25:19 PMT32-1Greene doubled to center.
02:27:19 PMT32-1Dingler flied out to center.
02:31:03 PMB32-1Bazzana flied out to center.
02:32:39 PMB32-1Adell struck out swinging.
02:34:18 PMB32-1Lowe grounded out to second.
02:37:20 PMT42-1Callahan struck out swinging.
02:39:09 PMT42-1Malgeri walked.
02:41:36 PMT42-1Clark struck out swinging.
02:42:12 PMT42-1Malgeri stole second.
02:43:14 PMT42-1Peck struck out looking.
02:46:33 PMB42-1Martínez struck out looking.
02:48:40 PMB42-1Genao grounded out to second.
02:49:53 PMB42-1Bailey grounded out to second.
02:54:27 PMT52-1McGonigle walked.
02:58:12 PMT52-1Lee struck out looking, McGonigle caught stealing second, catcher to second.
02:59:49 PMT52-1Keith struck out swinging.
03:02:40 PMB52-1Halpin popped out to second.
03:03:52 PMB52-2Rocchio homered to right center (375 feet).
03:06:09 PMB52-2Kwan doubled to left.
03:07:36 PMB52-2Bazzana grounded out to second, Kwan to third.
03:10:51 PMB52-2Adell struck out swinging.
03:14:22 PMT62-2Greene lined out to shortstop.
03:15:35 PMT62-2Dingler grounded out to third.
03:16:40 PMT62-2Callahan struck out swinging.
03:19:02 PMB62-2Holton relieved Jobe
03:19:49 PMB62-2Lowe hit by pitch.
03:21:31 PMB62-2Martínez flied out to left.
03:22:44 PMB62-2Genao grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Lowe out at second.
03:24:16 PMT72-2Sabrowski relieved Williams
03:26:05 PMT72-2Malgeri struck out looking.
03:26:38 PMT72-2Clark flied out to left.
03:28:43 PMT72-2Peck flied out to left.
03:32:02 PMB72-2Sommers relieved Holton
03:34:01 PMB72-2Bailey struck out swinging.
03:34:16 PMB72-2Fry hit for Halpin
03:36:12 PMB72-2Fry struck out swinging.
03:37:24 PMB72-2Rocchio grounded out to third.
03:39:11 PMT82-2Schneemann in center field.
03:39:11 PMT82-2Gaddis relieved Sabrowski
03:41:23 PMT82-2McGonigle walked.
03:42:19 PMT82-2Lee fouled out to first.
03:45:39 PMT82-2Keith lined into double play, second to first, McGonigle doubled off first.
03:47:32 PMB82-2Kwan flied out to center.
03:50:03 PMB82-2Bazzana reached on infield single to third.
03:52:31 PMB82-2Kinley relieved Sommers
03:53:44 PMB82-2Bazzana caught stealing second, catcher to second. Cleveland Guardians challenged: call on the field was upheld.
03:56:48 PMB82-2Adell grounded out to shortstop.
03:58:45 PMT92-2Smith relieved Gaddis
03:59:54 PMT92-2Greene struck out swinging.
04:00:42 PMT92-2Dingler flied out to right.
04:02:06 PMT92-2Callahan struck out swinging.
04:04:24 PMB92-2Jansen relieved Kinley
04:07:17 PMB92-2Lowe fouled out to third.
04:08:38 PMB92-2Martínez popped out to shortstop.
04:10:19 PMB92-2Genao grounded out to pitcher.
04:13:25 PMT102-2Malgeri struck out swinging.
04:16:38 PMT102-2Clark struck out swinging.
04:18:34 PMT102-2Peck struck out swinging.
04:21:37 PMB102-2Finnegan relieved Jansen
04:22:55 PMB102-2Bailey singled to center, Genao to third.