Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins · V1 (legacy)
Sep 13, 2026, 2:10 PM EST · final score 9-2 · duration 2h 47m · 95 plays · 670 snapshots · 12 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (6)
02:16:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi-3.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-2.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag)
02:56:13 PM · inning 2 (early) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
polymarket+12.0%partial_reversion
Leader: polymarket
02:58:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.15
kalshi-4.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
03:09:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.15
kalshi+5.0%sustained_move
polymarket+6.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 100%
03:18:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.29
kalshi+6.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
03:19:14 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.19
polymarket+8.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (95 real plays)
02:15:40 PMT11-0Kwan homered to right (357 feet).
02:16:31 PMT11-0DeLauter popped out to shortstop.
02:17:15 PMT11-0Bazzana grounded out to second.
02:18:10 PMT11-0Adell safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Lee.
02:20:26 PMT11-0Lowe singled to center, Adell to third.
02:21:22 PMT11-0Lowe to second on wild pitch by Ryan.
02:22:41 PMT11-0Martínez popped out to shortstop.
02:26:20 PMB11-0Keaschall flied out to center.
02:27:12 PMB11-0Lee grounded out to second.
02:28:52 PMB11-0Clemens walked.
02:30:19 PMB11-0Clemens to second on pickoff error by pitcher Bibee.
02:32:36 PMB11-0Jeffers flied out to right.
02:34:52 PMT21-0Genao grounded out to second.
02:36:18 PMT21-0Bailey singled to right.
02:39:14 PMT21-0Rocchio flied out to right.
02:40:41 PMT21-0Kwan reached on infield single to second, Bailey to second.
02:43:55 PMT21-0DeLauter walked, Kwan to second, Bailey to third. Minnesota Twins challenged: call on the field was upheld.
02:47:18 PMT21-0Bazzana flied out to center.
02:50:28 PMB21-0Larnach walked.
02:52:09 PMB21-0Lewis popped out to second.
02:53:33 PMB21-0Rodriguez flied out to center, Larnach to second.
02:54:51 PMB21-0Jenkins struck out swinging.
02:57:33 PMT32-0Adell homered to left (451 feet).
02:58:54 PMT32-0Lowe flied out to left.
02:59:55 PMT32-0Martínez struck out looking.
03:01:28 PMT32-0Genao grounded out to second.
03:04:19 PMB32-0Kreidler struck out swinging.
03:05:46 PMB32-0Keaschall reached on infield single to shortstop.
03:08:24 PMB32-0Lee struck out swinging.
03:09:14 PMB32-1Clemens doubled to left, Keaschall scored.
03:11:41 PMB32-1Jeffers flied out to left.
03:15:34 PMT42-1Bailey flied out to left.
03:16:22 PMT42-1Rocchio hit by pitch.
03:17:15 PMT42-1Rocchio stole second.
03:18:05 PMT43-1Kwan doubled to right, Rocchio scored.
03:18:42 PMT43-1DeLauter grounded out to second, Kwan to third.
03:21:04 PMT44-1Bazzana singled to right, Kwan scored.
03:22:28 PMT44-1Bazzana stole second.
03:22:46 PMT44-1Adell grounded out to first.
03:25:52 PMB44-1Larnach grounded out to third.
03:27:58 PMB44-1Lewis flied out to right.
03:29:47 PMB44-1Rodriguez struck out looking.
03:31:16 PMT54-1Adams relieved Ryan
03:32:32 PMT54-1Lowe singled to center.
03:33:35 PMT54-1Martínez doubled to right, Lowe to third.
03:34:47 PMT54-1Genao popped out to third.
03:35:47 PMT54-1Bailey lined into double play, to third, Lowe doubled off third.
03:39:20 PMB54-1Jenkins flied out to center.
03:40:20 PMB54-1Kreidler flied out to left.
03:40:56 PMB54-1Keaschall flied out to center.
03:42:23 PMT64-1Caratini at first base.
03:44:05 PMT64-1Rocchio singled to right.
03:46:08 PMT64-1Kwan walked, Rocchio to second.
03:48:57 PMT64-1DeLauter grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Kwan out at second, Rocchio to third.
03:49:56 PMT66-1Bazzana homered to right center (395 feet), Rocchio scored.
03:50:54 PMT66-1Adell grounded out to second.
03:53:17 PMB66-1Lee grounded out to shortstop.
03:55:12 PMB66-1Clemens struck out swinging.
03:56:36 PMB66-1Jeffers struck out looking. Minnesota Twins challenged: call on the field was upheld.
04:00:01 PMT76-1Lowe grounded out to first.
04:00:51 PMT76-1Martínez flied out to left.
04:01:31 PMT76-1Genao grounded out to second.
04:05:27 PMB76-2Larnach homered to right (366 feet).
04:06:41 PMB76-2Caratini popped out to second.
04:08:55 PMB76-2Rodriguez singled to center.
04:11:54 PMB76-2Jenkins struck out swinging.
04:12:37 PMB76-2Gaddis relieved Bibee
04:15:16 PMB76-2Kreidler lined out to second.
04:16:22 PMT86-2Rogers relieved Adams
04:18:20 PMT86-2Bailey struck out swinging.
04:20:45 PMT86-2Rocchio popped out to second.
04:22:04 PMT86-2Kwan grounded out to first.
04:24:37 PMB86-2Keaschall reached on bunt single to third.
04:26:06 PMB86-2Lee struck out swinging.
04:26:58 PMB86-2Sabrowski relieved Gaddis
04:29:10 PMB86-2Clemens popped out to second.
04:30:30 PMB86-2Jeffers struck out looking.
04:33:36 PMT96-2DeLauter singled to right.
04:34:31 PMT96-2Halpin ran for DeLauter
04:35:52 PMT96-2Bazzana walked, Halpin to second.
04:38:25 PMT96-2Nance relieved Rogers
04:38:59 PMT97-2Adell hit a ground rule double, Halpin scored, Bazzana to third.
04:40:59 PMT98-2Lowe hit sacrifice fly to left, Bazzana scored, Adell to third.
04:41:45 PMT99-2Martínez doubled to center, Adell scored.
04:43:59 PMT99-2Genao walked.
04:45:17 PMT99-2Bailey struck out swinging.
04:46:50 PMT99-2Rocchio struck out swinging.
04:48:35 PMB99-2Kwan in left field.
04:48:35 PMB99-2Halpin in center field.
04:48:35 PMB99-2Martínez in right field.
04:48:35 PMB99-2Festa relieved Sabrowski
04:50:13 PMB99-2Larnach doubled to left.
04:54:12 PMB99-2Caratini grounded out to shortstop.
04:55:09 PMB99-2Rodriguez struck out swinging.
04:57:26 PMB99-2Jenkins struck out looking.