Baltimore Orioles @ New York Mets · V1 (legacy)
Sep 14, 2026, 7:10 PM EST · final score 2-1 · duration 2h 48m · 86 plays · 674 snapshots · 19 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (10)
07:32:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
kalshi-3.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
08:24:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi+3.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+1.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag)
09:06:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-17.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
09:26:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-14.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
09:27:14 PM · inning 8 (late) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
polymarket-11.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
09:31:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+19.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+9.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (29s lag) · gap closed 100%
09:36:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+6.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
09:38:10 PM · inning 9 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket+1.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
09:56:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+8.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
09:57:14 PM · inning 9 (final) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket+5.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (86 real plays)
07:12:54 PMT10-0Beavers struck out swinging.
07:14:49 PMT10-0Alonso flied out to right.
07:15:48 PMT10-0Henderson flied out to center.
07:19:52 PMB10-0Lindor walked.
07:22:01 PMB10-0Soto fouled out to catcher.
07:23:45 PMB10-0Bichette grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Lindor out at second.
07:27:00 PMT20-0Mayo grounded out to shortstop.
07:28:12 PMT20-0Holliday singled to right.
07:30:16 PMT20-0Encarnacion-Strand struck out swinging, Holliday to second on passed ball by Alvarez.
07:31:26 PMT21-0Kjerstad doubled to right, Holliday scored.
07:33:20 PMT21-0Cowser grounded out to second.
07:36:18 PMB21-0Benge lined out to center.
07:38:25 PMB21-0Young struck out swinging.
07:38:58 PMB21-0Semien singled to left.
07:40:38 PMB21-0Ewing walked, Semien to second.
07:43:17 PMB21-0Baty walked, Ewing to second, Semien to third.
07:45:45 PMB21-0Alvarez struck out swinging.
07:49:30 PMT31-0Narváez struck out swinging.
07:52:37 PMT31-0Beavers fouled out to catcher.
07:55:31 PMT31-0Alonso walked.
07:58:34 PMT31-0Henderson struck out swinging.
08:02:05 PMB31-0Lindor struck out swinging.
08:04:05 PMB31-0Soto singled to right.
08:05:43 PMB31-0Bichette struck out swinging.
08:08:03 PMB31-0Benge singled to left, Soto to second.
08:08:35 PMB31-0Young grounded out to pitcher.
08:12:08 PMT41-0Mayo struck out swinging.
08:14:12 PMT41-0Holliday reached on infield single to second.
08:15:52 PMT41-0Encarnacion-Strand flied out to right.
08:17:48 PMT41-0Kjerstad struck out swinging.
08:21:46 PMB41-0Semien grounded out to shortstop.
08:23:11 PMB41-1Ewing homered to right (374 feet).
08:25:49 PMB41-1Baty struck out swinging.
08:27:05 PMB41-1Alvarez reached on infield single to third.
08:28:29 PMB41-1Lindor struck out swinging.
08:31:19 PMT51-1Cowser reached on infield single to second.
08:32:19 PMT51-1Narváez hit sacrifice bunt to catcher, Cowser to second.
08:33:11 PMT51-1Beavers lined out to right.
08:34:12 PMT51-1Alonso grounded out to shortstop.
08:37:37 PMB51-1Soto walked.
08:38:36 PMB51-1Bichette popped out to first.
08:40:30 PMB51-1Benge flied out to right.
08:41:22 PMB51-1Soto stole second.
08:44:09 PMB51-1Young walked.
08:47:53 PMB51-1Semien grounded out to shortstop.
08:50:49 PMT61-1Henderson grounded out to first.
08:52:26 PMT61-1Mayo grounded out to shortstop.
08:53:02 PMT61-1Holliday flied out to left.
08:56:05 PMB61-1Walker relieved Young
08:57:10 PMB61-1Ewing grounded out to second.
08:58:54 PMB61-1Baty popped out to shortstop.
09:01:19 PMB61-1Alvarez grounded out to catcher.
09:02:35 PMT71-1Pintaro relieved Tong
09:05:44 PMT71-1Encarnacion-Strand doubled to left.
09:07:18 PMT71-1Kjerstad struck out swinging.
09:08:33 PMT71-1Cowser struck out swinging.
09:09:46 PMT71-1Basallo hit for Narváez
09:10:12 PMT71-1Basallo flied out to center.
09:11:55 PMB71-1Basallo catching.
09:13:42 PMB71-1Lindor flied out to right.
09:15:42 PMB71-1Soto struck out swinging.
09:18:28 PMB71-1Cano relieved Walker
09:19:22 PMB71-1Bichette grounded out to third.
09:20:24 PMT81-1Núñez relieved Pintaro
09:22:05 PMT81-1Beavers flied out to center.
09:23:26 PMT81-1Alonso struck out swinging.
09:24:20 PMT82-1Henderson homered to right center (397 feet).
09:25:41 PMT82-1Mayo singled to left.
09:27:42 PMT82-1Holliday grounded out to first.
09:28:49 PMB82-1Wolfram relieved Cano
09:30:52 PMB82-1Benge singled to center.
09:31:40 PMB82-1Vientos hit for Young
09:34:55 PMB82-1Vientos struck out swinging.
09:35:50 PMB82-1Semien flied out to left.
09:36:39 PMB82-1Ewing flied out to left.
09:37:46 PMT92-1Vientos as designated hitter.
09:37:46 PMT92-1Senga relieved Núñez
09:40:44 PMT92-1Encarnacion-Strand struck out swinging.
09:43:13 PMT92-1Kjerstad singled to right.
09:44:27 PMT92-1Cowser singled to center, Kjerstad to second, Kjerstad safe at third on fielding error by center fielder Ewing.
09:48:30 PMT92-1Basallo struck out swinging.
09:50:26 PMT92-1Beavers struck out swinging.
09:51:32 PMB92-1Garcia relieved Wolfram
09:54:57 PMB92-1Baty flied out to right.
09:56:42 PMB92-1Alvarez grounded out to third.
09:58:29 PMB92-1Lindor flied out to left.