Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians · V1 (legacy)
Sep 15, 2026, 6:40 PM EST · final score 6-7 · duration 2h 51m · 95 plays · 686 snapshots · 19 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (10)
06:58:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.17
kalshi-7.5%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
06:59:13 PM · inning 1 (early) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.10
polymarket-1.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
07:42:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_TRIPLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.19
kalshi-12.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-10.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (13s lag)
07:55:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.19
kalshi-7.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 0%
08:32:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_SACRIFICE_FLY · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-3.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
08:33:13 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_SACRIFICE_FLY · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
polymarket-16.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
08:38:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.29
kalshi+11.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
08:39:12 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.29
polymarket+8.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
09:14:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 3 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.34
kalshi+1.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+2.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket (-51s lag) · gap closed 80%
09:25:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.40
kalshi+12.5%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
Play-by-play (95 real plays)
06:43:07 PMT10-0Meidroth grounded out to second.
06:44:48 PMT10-0Grichuk singled to right.
06:47:26 PMT10-0Vargas popped out to shortstop.
06:49:40 PMT10-0Murakami struck out looking.
06:53:42 PMB10-0Kwan walked.
06:55:08 PMB10-0Ramírez flied out to center.
06:56:19 PMB10-2Adell homered to center (442 feet), Kwan scored.
06:58:19 PMB10-3Bazzana homered to right center (365 feet).
07:01:24 PMB10-3Lowe popped out to first.
07:03:49 PMB10-3Martin relieved Murphy
07:04:12 PMB10-3Genao grounded out to shortstop.
07:06:45 PMT20-3Doyle singled to left.
07:08:27 PMT20-3Antonacci struck out swinging.
07:10:18 PMT20-3Rogers struck out swinging.
07:12:22 PMT20-3Acuña walked, Doyle to second.
07:14:27 PMT20-3Peters struck out swinging.
07:16:52 PMB20-3Bailey flied out to center.
07:17:36 PMB20-3Halpin lined out to right.
07:20:05 PMB20-3Rocchio walked.
07:22:41 PMB20-3Kwan flied out to left.
07:25:57 PMT30-3Meidroth grounded out to third.
07:28:15 PMT30-3Grichuk lined out to second.
07:29:55 PMT30-3Vargas walked. Cleveland Guardians challenged: call on the field was upheld.
07:31:08 PMT30-3Murakami struck out swinging.
07:34:27 PMB30-3Ramírez flied out to right.
07:36:30 PMB30-3Adell grounded out to shortstop.
07:37:44 PMB30-3Bazzana grounded out to shortstop.
07:41:00 PMT40-3Doyle tripled to center.
07:41:57 PMT41-3Antonacci singled to left, Doyle scored.
07:42:54 PMT41-3Rogers grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Antonacci out at second.
07:44:00 PMT41-3Acuña grounded out to third.
07:46:49 PMB41-3Lowe reached on infield single to third.
07:47:37 PMB41-3Genao grounded out to pitcher, Lowe to second.
07:48:12 PMB41-3Bailey grounded out to second, Lowe to third.
07:48:55 PMB41-3Halpin grounded out to second.
07:51:39 PMT51-3Peters hit by pitch.
07:54:31 PMT51-3Meidroth doubled to right, Peters to third.
07:55:26 PMT51-3Sabrowski relieved Griffin
07:59:59 PMT51-3Grichuk struck out swinging.
08:01:07 PMT52-3Vargas hit sacrifice fly to center, Peters scored.
08:03:05 PMT52-3Murakami walked.
08:05:35 PMT52-3Doyle struck out looking.
08:09:21 PMB52-3Rocchio singled to center.
08:10:33 PMB52-3Kwan singled to center, Rocchio to second.
08:12:37 PMB52-3Ramírez grounded into fielder's choice to second, Kwan out at second, Rocchio to third.
08:13:47 PMB52-4Rocchio scored on pickoff error by pitcher Martin.
08:14:59 PMB52-4Adell grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Ramírez out at second.
08:16:21 PMT62-4Yoho relieved Sabrowski
08:18:41 PMT62-4Antonacci singled to left.
08:19:32 PMT62-4Teel hit for Rogers
08:21:31 PMT62-4Teel walked, Antonacci to second.
08:23:02 PMT62-4C. Montgomery hit for Acuña
08:23:51 PMT62-4C. Montgomery lined out to center, Antonacci to third.
08:25:33 PMT62-4Peters walked, Teel to second.
08:28:41 PMT62-4Gaddis relieved Yoho
08:28:41 PMT63-4Meidroth singled to left, Antonacci scored, Peters to second, Teel to third.
08:30:23 PMT64-4Grichuk hit sacrifice fly to left, Teel scored, Meidroth to second, Peters to third.
08:31:25 PMT66-4Vargas singled to left, Peters scored and Meidroth scored, Vargas to second.
08:34:30 PMT66-4Murakami struck out swinging.
08:36:10 PMB66-4Teel catching.
08:36:10 PMB66-4C. Montgomery at shortstop.
08:37:21 PMB66-5Bazzana homered to center (393 feet).
08:38:33 PMB66-5Lowe grounded out to second.
08:39:35 PMB66-5Genao grounded out to third.
08:40:26 PMB66-5Bailey grounded out to first.
08:43:13 PMT76-5B. Montgomery hit for Doyle
08:44:37 PMT76-5B. Montgomery struck out swinging.
08:44:54 PMT76-5Herrin relieved Gaddis
08:48:40 PMT76-5Antonacci lined out to shortstop.
08:51:13 PMT76-5Teel walked.
08:54:06 PMT76-5C. Montgomery struck out swinging.
08:55:39 PMB76-5B. Montgomery in right field.
08:55:39 PMB76-5Peters in center field.
08:55:39 PMB76-5Hudson relieved Martin
08:56:48 PMB76-5Halpin flied out to right.
08:58:48 PMB76-5Rocchio grounded out to shortstop.
09:00:19 PMB76-5Kwan grounded out to second.
09:04:26 PMT86-5Peters struck out swinging.
09:05:00 PMT86-5Smith relieved Herrin
09:08:03 PMT86-5Meidroth flied out to right.
09:08:38 PMT86-5Grichuk lined out to right.
09:10:06 PMB86-5Taylor relieved Hudson
09:12:34 PMB86-5Ramírez lined out to right.
09:13:05 PMB86-5Adell lined out to second.
09:15:02 PMB86-5Bazzana struck out swinging.
09:17:39 PMT96-5Vargas popped out to second.
09:19:02 PMT96-5Murakami struck out swinging.
09:21:00 PMT96-5B. Montgomery grounded out to second.
09:24:06 PMB96-5Lowe singled to right.
09:24:14 PMB96-5Schneemann ran for Lowe
09:25:38 PMB96-5Genao struck out swinging.
09:27:37 PMB96-5Bailey walked, Schneemann to second. Chicago White Sox challenged: call on the field was upheld.
09:29:14 PMB96-5Halpin grounded out to first, Bailey to second, Schneemann to third.
09:30:46 PMB96-5Fry ran for Bailey
09:31:29 PMB96-7Rocchio doubled to left, Fry scored and Schneemann scored.