Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks · V1 (legacy)
Sep 14, 2026, 9:40 PM EST · final score 7-8 · duration 3h 5m · 99 plays · 742 snapshots · 25 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (12)
10:04:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_TRIPLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.17
kalshi+3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
10:05:09 PM · inning 2 (early) · 3 out
Triggering play: BATTER_TRIPLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.10
polymarket+3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
10:26:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi+5.0%partial_reversion
polymarket+5.0%partial_reversion
Leader: polymarket (-48s lag) · gap closed 75%
10:42:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 3 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.17
kalshi-5.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
10:43:09 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 3 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.17
polymarket-4.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
11:19:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.29
kalshi-4.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket (-51s lag) · gap closed 55%
11:43:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.20
kalshi+5.5%sustained_move
polymarket+7.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (11s lag) · gap closed 100%
11:55:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.14
kalshi+19.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+18.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (72s lag) · gap closed 100%
11:58:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.14
kalshi+13.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
12:17:00 AM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.45
kalshi+10.0%sustained_move
polymarket+9.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 100%
12:36:00 AM · inning 9 (final) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.53
kalshi-2.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
12:37:11 AM · inning 9 (final) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.53
polymarket-1.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (99 real plays)
09:41:31 PMT10-0Stowers flied out to right.
09:42:08 PMT10-0Hernández fouled out to first.
09:44:58 PMT10-0Edwards struck out swinging.
09:47:35 PMB10-0Nootbaar singled to right.
09:49:50 PMB10-0Marte lined out to right.
09:51:49 PMB10-0Moreno struck out swinging.
09:53:08 PMB10-0Nootbaar to second on wild pitch by Alcantara.
09:54:13 PMB10-0Perdomo struck out swinging.
09:57:08 PMT20-0Conine singled to left.
09:58:40 PMT20-0Lopez struck out swinging.
10:00:28 PMT20-0Marsee singled to center, Conine to second.
10:02:39 PMT22-0Sanoja tripled to center, Conine scored and Marsee scored.
10:04:07 PMT23-0Mack hit sacrifice fly to left, Sanoja scored.
10:05:39 PMT23-0Ramírez flied out to shortstop.
10:08:18 PMB23-0Carroll grounded out to second.
10:10:12 PMB23-0Arenado struck out swinging.
10:10:44 PMB23-0Tawa bunt grounded out to third.
10:14:18 PMT33-0Stowers grounded out to second.
10:15:47 PMT33-0Hernández grounded out to pitcher.
10:16:19 PMT33-0Edwards grounded out to second.
10:20:59 PMB33-0Smith doubled to left.
10:21:48 PMB33-0Lawlar singled to right, Smith to third.
10:22:34 PMB33-1Smith stole home, Lawlar stole second, Lawlar safe at third on throwing error by shortstop Lopez.
10:25:07 PMB33-3Nootbaar homered to right center (391 feet), Lawlar scored.
10:26:23 PMB33-3Marte flied out to center.
10:28:01 PMB33-3Moreno grounded out to second.
10:29:37 PMB33-3Perdomo walked.
10:31:15 PMB33-3Perdomo to second on pickoff error by pitcher Alcantara.
10:32:59 PMB33-3Carroll grounded out to second.
10:36:03 PMT43-3Conine struck out swinging.
10:37:13 PMT43-3Lopez flied out to right.
10:40:20 PMT44-3Marsee homered to right center (390 feet).
10:41:04 PMT45-3Sanoja homered to left (397 feet).
10:43:39 PMT45-3Mack grounded out to second.
10:46:32 PMB45-3Arenado singled to center.
10:47:24 PMB45-3Tawa lined out to center.
10:49:30 PMB45-3Smith struck out looking.
10:51:01 PMB45-3Lawlar struck out swinging.
10:54:27 PMT55-3Ramírez struck out swinging.
10:56:40 PMT55-3Stowers flied out to right.
10:57:00 PMT55-3Loaisiga relieved Burnes
11:01:20 PMT55-3Hernández singled to center.
11:02:20 PMT55-3Edwards singled to center, Hernández to third.
11:05:00 PMT55-3Conine struck out swinging.
11:08:40 PMB55-3Nootbaar singled to right.
11:09:44 PMB55-3Marte grounded out to second, Nootbaar to second.
11:10:23 PMB55-3Moreno hit by pitch.
11:13:06 PMB55-3Perdomo walked, Moreno to second, Nootbaar to third.
11:14:52 PMB55-4Carroll singled to left, Nootbaar scored, Perdomo to second, Moreno to third.
11:17:45 PMB55-4Arenado struck out swinging.
11:18:57 PMB55-4Tawa lined out to right.
11:23:21 PMT65-4Lopez struck out swinging.
11:23:55 PMT65-4Marsee lined out to center.
11:25:20 PMT65-4Sanoja grounded out to pitcher.
11:29:08 PMB65-4Faucher relieved Alcantara
11:29:18 PMB65-4Smith grounded out to first.
11:31:37 PMB65-4Lawlar flied out to center.
11:34:25 PMB65-4Nootbaar grounded out to second.
11:34:41 PMT75-4Ginkel relieved Loaisiga
11:38:15 PMT75-4Mack singled to right.
11:40:51 PMT75-4Ramírez struck out swinging.
11:42:08 PMT76-4Stowers doubled to center, Mack scored.
11:43:51 PMT76-4Stowers to third on wild pitch by Ginkel.
11:44:27 PMT76-4Hernández struck out looking.
11:45:05 PMT77-4Edwards singled to right, Stowers scored.
11:46:40 PMT77-4Conine struck out swinging.
11:47:29 PMB77-4Petersen relieved Faucher
11:48:44 PMB77-4Ruiz in right field.
11:50:36 PMB77-4Marte doubled to right.
11:53:48 PMB77-4Moreno singled to center, Marte to third.
11:56:42 PMB77-4Perdomo struck out swinging.
11:58:14 PMB77-4Carroll struck out swinging.
12:00:16 AMB77-4Arenado struck out swinging.
12:02:59 AMT87-4Martinez relieved Ginkel
12:02:59 AMT87-4Lopez grounded out to second.
12:03:55 AMT87-4Marsee tripled to center.
12:05:27 AMT87-4Sanoja grounded into fielder's choice to first, Marsee out at home.
12:06:21 AMT87-4Sanoja stole second.
12:07:25 AMT87-4Mack walked.
12:08:05 AMT87-4Ramírez reached on infield single to third, Mack to second, Sanoja to third.
12:10:09 AMT87-4Stowers struck out swinging.
12:11:58 AMB87-4Pauley at first base.
12:11:58 AMB87-4Zuber relieved Petersen
12:13:49 AMB87-4Tawa walked.
12:15:09 AMB87-4Smith flied out to left.
12:16:35 AMB87-6Lawlar homered to left center (412 feet), Tawa scored.
12:18:06 AMB87-6Nootbaar struck out looking.
12:19:27 AMB87-6Marte popped out to shortstop.
12:19:56 AMT97-6Morillo relieved Martinez
12:23:27 AMT97-6Hernández walked.
12:26:17 AMT97-6Edwards struck out swinging.
12:29:35 AMT97-6Ruiz struck out looking.
12:31:39 AMT97-6Lopez struck out swinging.
12:33:03 AMB97-6Fairbanks relieved Zuber
12:35:39 AMB97-6Moreno walked.
12:36:26 AMB97-6Troy ran for Moreno
12:36:26 AMB97-6Ralston relieved Fairbanks
12:43:35 AMB97-6Perdomo hit sacrifice bunt to third, Troy to second.
12:45:16 AMB97-8Carroll homered to right (423 feet), Troy scored.