Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals · V1 (legacy)
Sep 5, 2026, 7:10 PM EST · final score 4-3 · duration 2h 36m · 95 plays · 625 snapshots · 15 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (8)
07:18:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.25
kalshi+10.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
07:19:15 PM · inning 1 (early) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.15
polymarket+3.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
07:30:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi+12.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+12.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket (-31s lag) · gap closed 88%
08:19:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi+4.0%sustained_move
polymarket+3.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
08:41:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-11.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
08:42:13 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket-8.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
09:05:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-5.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-6.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi (13s lag)
09:33:14 PM · inning 8 (late) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-1.5%partial_reversion
polymarket+10.0%partial_reversion
Leader: polymarket (-47s lag) · gap closed 50%
Play-by-play (95 real plays)
07:11:18 PMT10-0Bateman singled to center.
07:12:54 PMT10-0Bateman picked off first.
07:14:15 PMT10-0Springer flied out to center.
07:15:01 PMT10-0Guerrero Jr. singled to right.
07:17:24 PMT11-0Kirk reached on infield single to third, Guerrero Jr. scored on throwing error by third baseman Rojas, Kirk to second.
07:19:05 PMT12-0Lukes singled to left, Kirk scored.
07:21:42 PMT12-0Okamoto doubled to left, Lukes to third.
07:23:38 PMT12-0Giménez grounded out to third.
07:25:53 PMB12-0Jensen hit by pitch.
07:28:12 PMB12-0Witt Jr. doubled to left, Jensen to third.
07:28:56 PMB12-1Caglianone reached on infield single to second, Jensen scored, Witt Jr. to third.
07:30:03 PMB12-2Perez singled to right, Witt Jr. scored, Caglianone to third.
07:31:32 PMB12-2Pasquantino grounded out to pitcher, Perez to second.
07:33:02 PMB12-2Massey grounded into fielder's choice to first, Caglianone out at home.
07:34:18 PMB12-2Massey to second on a balk, Perez to third on a balk.
07:35:34 PMB12-2Rave walked.
07:36:57 PMB12-2Rojas flied out to left.
07:40:44 PMT22-2Clement reached on infield single to shortstop.
07:42:38 PMT22-2Straw flied out to right.
07:44:19 PMT22-2Bateman walked, Clement to second.
07:45:15 PMT22-2Springer flied out to right, Clement to third.
07:47:32 PMT22-2Guerrero Jr. popped out to second.
07:50:44 PMB22-2Collins flied out to left.
07:51:23 PMB22-2Jensen grounded out to third.
07:54:21 PMB22-2Witt Jr. struck out looking. Kansas City Royals challenged: call on the field was upheld.
07:57:00 PMT32-2Loftin in right field.
07:57:00 PMT32-2Kirk grounded out to shortstop.
07:57:58 PMT32-2Lukes singled to left.
07:59:47 PMT33-2Okamoto doubled to left, Lukes scored, Okamoto out stretching at third.
08:01:38 PMT33-2Giménez walked.
08:02:13 PMT33-2Clement fouled out to third.
08:05:47 PMB33-2Loftin popped out to second.
08:07:29 PMB33-2Perez grounded out to third.
08:08:33 PMB33-2Pasquantino lined out to center.
08:11:05 PMT43-2Straw flied out to left.
08:12:36 PMT43-2Bateman struck out swinging.
08:13:12 PMT43-2Springer grounded out to shortstop.
08:16:22 PMB43-2Massey lined out to center.
08:17:13 PMB43-3Rave homered to right (366 feet).
08:19:44 PMB43-3Rojas flied out to center.
08:20:56 PMB43-3Collins flied out to right.
08:24:55 PMT53-3Guerrero Jr. lined out to center.
08:26:43 PMT53-3Kirk grounded out to shortstop.
08:27:56 PMT53-3Lukes flied out to center.
08:30:56 PMB53-3Jensen flied out to left.
08:31:54 PMB53-3Witt Jr. popped out to shortstop.
08:33:46 PMB53-3Loftin struck out swinging.
08:34:44 PMT63-3Cuas relieved S. Lugo
08:37:02 PMT63-3Okamoto singled to center.
08:38:50 PMT63-3Giménez singled to left, Okamoto to second.
08:39:54 PMT63-3Clement struck out swinging.
08:42:01 PMT63-3Straw struck out swinging.
08:44:27 PMT63-3Thomas relieved Cuas
08:44:51 PMT63-3Bateman grounded out to second.
08:47:28 PMB63-3Perez flied out to center.
08:48:37 PMB63-3Pasquantino flied out to right.
08:49:24 PMB63-3Massey singled to center.
08:51:02 PMB63-3Fluharty relieved Scherzer
08:53:53 PMB63-3Rave struck out swinging.
08:54:55 PMT73-3Kimbrel relieved Thomas
08:58:08 PMT73-3Springer walked.
08:59:53 PMT73-3Guerrero Jr. struck out looking, Springer stole second. Toronto Blue Jays challenged: call on the field was upheld.
09:01:41 PMT73-3Kirk grounded out to third.
09:03:23 PMT73-3Lukes safe at first on throwing error by shortstop Witt Jr., Springer safe at third on error.
09:04:13 PMT74-3Okamoto singled to center, Springer scored, Lukes to third.
09:06:31 PMT74-3Giménez flied out to right.
09:08:40 PMB74-3Tolbert hit for Rojas
09:09:57 PMB74-3Tolbert struck out swinging.
09:13:06 PMB74-3Collins walked.
09:14:02 PMB74-3Jensen flied out to center.
09:15:09 PMB74-3Sewald relieved Fluharty
09:19:08 PMB74-3Witt Jr. lined out to left.
09:21:19 PMT84-3Loftin at third base.
09:21:19 PMT84-3Tolbert in right field.
09:21:19 PMT84-3Gose relieved Kimbrel
09:22:15 PMT84-3Clement grounded out to shortstop.
09:24:15 PMT84-3Straw reached on infield single to third.
09:25:34 PMT84-3Bateman lined out to left.
09:26:19 PMT84-3Springer flied out to left.
09:27:43 PMB84-3Rogers relieved Sewald
09:30:13 PMB84-3Loftin singled to right.
09:30:43 PMB84-3Perez singled to right, Loftin to second.
09:31:42 PMB84-3M. Lugo ran for Perez
09:32:13 PMB84-3Pasquantino grounded into double play, pitcher to shortstop to first, M. Lugo out at second, Loftin to third.
09:33:23 PMB84-3Massey grounded out to first.
09:35:56 PMT94-3M. Lugo as designated hitter.
09:35:56 PMT94-3Lange relieved Gose
09:36:22 PMT94-3Guerrero Jr. grounded out to third.
09:37:07 PMT94-3Kirk grounded out to second.
09:38:06 PMT94-3Lukes singled to center.
09:39:10 PMT94-3Okamoto grounded out to third.
09:41:29 PMB94-3Varland relieved Rogers
09:41:52 PMB94-3Rave grounded out to shortstop.
09:42:06 PMB94-3Isbel hit for Tolbert
09:44:47 PMB94-3Isbel struck out swinging.