Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals · V1 (legacy)
Sep 20, 2026, 2:15 PM EST · final score 3-5 · duration 2h 31m · 84 plays · 605 snapshots · 13 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (7)
02:30:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi+2.0%sustained_move
polymarket+2.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
03:43:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi-4.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
03:44:12 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
polymarket-6.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
04:18:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
04:30:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi+4.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket+3.0%partial_reversion
Leader: polymarket (-48s lag) · gap closed 99%
04:41:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi-5.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
04:42:10 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
polymarket-3.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (84 real plays)
02:18:11 PMT10-0Wood struck out swinging.
02:19:45 PMT10-0Chaparro grounded out to shortstop.
02:20:54 PMT10-0House singled to left.
02:23:15 PMT10-0Abrams fouled out to second.
02:26:56 PMB10-0Wetherholt grounded out to first.
02:28:47 PMB10-1Herrera homered to left (375 feet).
02:30:52 PMB10-1Burleson struck out swinging.
02:32:36 PMB10-1Walker struck out looking.
02:35:02 PMT20-1Crews flied out to right.
02:35:54 PMT20-1Lile singled to left.
02:37:55 PMT20-1Ford singled to left, Lile to third.
02:38:38 PMT21-1Young hit sacrifice fly to center, Lile scored, Ford to second.
02:39:19 PMT21-1Nuñez fouled out to first.
02:43:15 PMB21-1Bernal struck out swinging.
02:45:09 PMB21-1Saggese struck out looking.
02:46:06 PMB21-1Torres struck out swinging.
02:48:17 PMT31-1Wood grounded out to second.
02:49:22 PMT31-1Chaparro walked.
02:50:51 PMT31-1House walked, Chaparro to second.
02:52:48 PMT31-1Abrams grounded into fielder's choice to first, House out at second, Chaparro to third.
02:53:27 PMT31-1Abrams stole second.
02:54:04 PMT31-1Crews flied out to right.
02:57:05 PMB31-1Fermín doubled to right.
02:59:16 PMB31-1Church popped out to second.
03:00:12 PMB31-2Fermín to third on wild pitch by Irvin.
03:01:12 PMB31-2Wetherholt singled to right, Fermín scored.
03:03:28 PMB31-2Herrera struck out swinging.
03:03:58 PMB31-2Wetherholt to second on wild pitch by Irvin.
03:04:48 PMB31-2Burleson flied out to left.
03:08:18 PMT41-2Lile lined out to right.
03:11:37 PMT41-2Ford grounded out to second.
03:12:25 PMT41-2Young singled to left.
03:12:59 PMT41-2Young caught stealing second, catcher to second.
03:15:40 PMB41-2Walker grounded out to second.
03:17:07 PMB41-2Bernal safe at first on throwing error by shortstop Nuñez.
03:21:02 PMB41-2Saggese struck out looking.
03:22:34 PMB41-2Torres flied out to right.
03:25:36 PMT51-2Nuñez grounded out to shortstop.
03:27:17 PMT51-2Wood struck out swinging.
03:28:11 PMT51-2Chaparro flied out to right.
03:32:33 PMB51-2Fermín grounded out to second.
03:34:28 PMB51-2Church struck out swinging.
03:37:13 PMB51-2Wetherholt grounded out to second.
03:39:43 PMT61-2House singled to left.
03:42:53 PMT63-2Abrams homered to right (397 feet), House scored.
03:44:30 PMT63-2Crews grounded out to third.
03:45:07 PMT63-2Lile doubled to right, Lile out stretching at third. Washington Nationals challenged: call on the field was upheld.
03:49:10 PMT63-2Ford struck out swinging.
03:53:26 PMB63-2Herrera popped out to shortstop.
03:56:05 PMB63-2Dion relieved Irvin
03:56:45 PMB63-2Burleson grounded out to second.
03:58:36 PMB63-2Walker grounded out to second.
04:01:47 PMT73-2Young popped out to shortstop.
04:03:21 PMT73-2Nuñez flied out to center.
04:03:54 PMT73-2Wood lined out to center.
04:07:53 PMB73-2Bernal walked.
04:10:19 PMB73-2Saggese lined out to left.
04:12:24 PMB73-2Torres flied out to right.
04:13:54 PMB73-2Fermín singled to center, Bernal to second.
04:16:34 PMB73-2Church flied out to left.
04:19:24 PMT83-2Ortiz hit for Chaparro
04:19:24 PMT83-2Gastelum relieved Mathews
04:20:28 PMT83-2Ortiz flied out to center.
04:20:58 PMT83-2Vivas hit for House
04:21:42 PMT83-2Vivas struck out swinging.
04:23:34 PMT83-2Abrams struck out swinging.
04:26:05 PMB83-2Ortiz at first base.
04:26:05 PMB83-2Vivas at third base.
04:26:05 PMB83-2Tolman relieved Dion
04:27:12 PMB83-2Wetherholt grounded out to third.
04:28:33 PMB83-3Herrera homered to left center (439 feet).
04:30:41 PMB83-3Burleson grounded out to third.
04:33:44 PMB83-3Cruz relieved Tolman
04:37:17 PMB83-3Walker walked.
04:40:34 PMB83-5Bernal homered to center (424 feet), Walker scored.
04:41:27 PMB83-5Saggese grounded out to shortstop.
04:43:49 PMT93-5Saggese at third base.
04:43:49 PMT93-5Winn at shortstop.
04:43:49 PMT93-5Scott II in left field.
04:43:49 PMT93-5O'Brien relieved Gastelum
04:44:35 PMT93-5Crews lined out to left.
04:45:33 PMT93-5Lile popped out to shortstop.
04:46:10 PMT93-5Ruiz hit for Ford
04:46:10 PMT93-5Ruiz grounded out to first.