Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers · V1 (legacy)
Sep 6, 2026, 2:35 PM EST · final score 6-8 · duration 3h 10m · 109 plays · 761 snapshots · 18 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (9)
03:04:12 PM · inning 2 (early) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.50
polymarket-4.0%partial_reversion
Leader: polymarket
03:10:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.15
kalshi+11.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
03:11:12 PM · inning 2 (early) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.17
polymarket+12.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
04:04:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.29
kalshi-4.0%partial_reversion
polymarket-5.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 100%
04:21:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi+10.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
04:22:12 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
polymarket-5.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
04:38:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-4.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-4.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 60%
04:44:12 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 3 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.17
polymarket+3.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
05:04:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.34
kalshi-15.0%sustained_move
polymarket-15.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (12s lag)
Play-by-play (109 real plays)
02:41:37 PMT10-0Díaz grounded out to shortstop.
02:43:01 PMT10-0Aranda fouled out to third.
02:45:34 PMT10-0Caminero walked.
02:47:23 PMT10-0Vilade struck out swinging.
02:49:48 PMB10-0Duran singled to left.
02:50:27 PMB10-0Seager grounded into fielder's choice to third, Duran out at second.
02:56:20 PMB10-0Foscue flied out to right.
02:58:22 PMB10-0Nimmo singled to left, Seager to second.
03:00:25 PMB10-0Langford flied out to left.
03:03:17 PMT20-0Simpson singled to left.
03:03:47 PMT20-0DeLuca singled to left, Simpson to second.
03:04:50 PMT20-0Mateo grounded into fielder's choice to first, DeLuca out at second, Simpson to third.
03:08:13 PMT21-0Mesa Jr. singled to left, Simpson scored, Mateo to third.
03:08:56 PMT22-0Fortes reached on bunt single to pitcher, Mateo scored, Mesa Jr. to second.
03:11:33 PMT23-0Díaz singled to center, Mesa Jr. scored, Fortes to third.
03:13:45 PMT24-0Aranda hit sacrifice fly to center, Fortes scored, Díaz to second.
03:14:26 PMT24-0Caminero intentionally walked.
03:16:28 PMT24-0Vilade walked, Caminero to second, Díaz to third.
03:17:42 PMT24-0Simpson grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Vilade out at second.
03:21:30 PMB24-1Burger homered to left center (402 feet).
03:23:35 PMB24-1O'Hoppe flied out to center.
03:25:14 PMB24-1Díaz struck out swinging.
03:26:42 PMB24-1Freeman safe at first on fielding error by shortstop Mateo.
03:28:57 PMB24-1Duran struck out swinging.
03:31:47 PMT34-1DeLuca flied out to shortstop.
03:32:44 PMT34-1Mateo grounded out to third.
03:33:40 PMT34-1Mesa Jr. doubled to left.
03:34:26 PMT34-1Fortes grounded out to shortstop.
03:37:54 PMB34-1Seager flied out to center.
03:39:45 PMB34-1Foscue flied out to center.
03:41:49 PMB34-1Nimmo grounded out to second.
03:45:03 PMT44-1Díaz singled to right.
03:46:16 PMT44-1Aranda doubled to right, Díaz to third.
03:50:49 PMT44-1Williams relieved Gore
03:51:52 PMT45-1Caminero hit sacrifice fly to left, Díaz scored.
03:54:01 PMT45-1Vilade walked.
03:56:50 PMT45-1Simpson safe at first on throwing error by pitcher Williams, Vilade to second, Aranda to third.
03:57:46 PMT45-1DeLuca grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Simpson out at second.
04:01:33 PMB45-1Langford walked.
04:03:32 PMB45-3Burger homered to center (428 feet), Langford scored.
04:05:13 PMB45-3O'Hoppe singled to left.
04:06:14 PMB45-3Kelly relieved Seymour
04:10:02 PMB45-3Díaz fouled out to first.
04:11:31 PMB45-3Carter hit for Freeman
04:13:44 PMB45-3Carter struck out looking. Tampa Bay Rays challenged: call on the field was overturned.
04:14:34 PMB45-3Duran reached on infield single to second, O'Hoppe to second.
04:17:09 PMB45-3Matz relieved Kelly
04:17:58 PMB45-3Seager safe at first on throwing error by shortstop Mateo, Duran to second, O'Hoppe to third.
04:20:37 PMB45-5Foscue doubled to right, O'Hoppe scored and Duran scored, Seager to third.
04:21:09 PMB45-5Nimmo lined out to left.
04:22:38 PMT55-5Duran at third base.
04:22:38 PMT55-5Carter in center field.
04:24:20 PMT55-5Mateo lined out to center.
04:25:23 PMT55-5Mesa Jr. flied out to left.
04:28:05 PMT55-5Fortes grounded out to third.
04:32:59 PMB55-5Langford struck out looking. Texas Rangers challenged: call on the field was upheld.
04:35:47 PMB55-5Burger walked.
04:36:40 PMB55-5O'Hoppe singled to right, Burger to second.
04:38:09 PMB55-6Díaz singled to center, Burger scored, O'Hoppe to second.
04:40:14 PMB55-6Carter lined out to right, O'Hoppe to third.
04:43:09 PMB55-6Legumina relieved Matz
04:43:09 PMB55-7Duran singled to right, O'Hoppe scored, Díaz to second.
04:44:20 PMB55-7Seager grounded out to catcher.
04:44:38 PMT65-7Silseth relieved Williams
04:47:48 PMT65-7Díaz struck out swinging.
04:48:24 PMT65-7Aranda flied out to left.
04:49:17 PMT65-7Caminero grounded out to shortstop.
04:52:03 PMB65-7Foscue grounded out to shortstop.
04:52:47 PMB65-7Nimmo grounded out to second.
04:54:23 PMB65-7Langford walked.
04:56:33 PMB65-7Burger struck out swinging.
04:58:06 PMT75-7Lopez at second base.
04:58:06 PMT75-7Alexander relieved Silseth
05:00:41 PMT75-7Vilade flied out to second.
05:01:18 PMT75-7Simpson singled to center.
05:02:10 PMT75-7Simpson stole second.
05:03:36 PMT76-7DeLuca singled to center, Simpson scored, DeLuca to second.
05:05:37 PMT76-7Mateo struck out swinging.
05:06:38 PMT76-7Mesa Jr. flied out to shortstop.
05:08:31 PMB76-7Johnson relieved Legumina
05:10:03 PMB76-7Pederson hit for O'Hoppe
05:12:28 PMB76-7Pederson walked.
05:13:19 PMB76-7Díaz hit sacrifice bunt to catcher, Pederson to second.
05:14:05 PMB76-7Cauley ran for Pederson
05:14:51 PMB76-7Carter struck out swinging.
05:16:19 PMB76-7Duran struck out swinging.
05:17:28 PMT86-7Cauley as designated hitter.
05:17:28 PMT86-7Latz relieved Alexander
05:20:25 PMT86-7Fortes struck out swinging.
05:23:17 PMT86-7Díaz flied out to center.
05:24:52 PMT86-7Aranda singled to right.
05:26:52 PMT86-7Palacios ran for Aranda
05:27:22 PMT86-7Caminero flied out to shortstop.
05:29:00 PMB86-7Palacios at second base.
05:29:00 PMB86-7Vilade at first base.
05:29:00 PMB86-7Sulser relieved Johnson
05:31:23 PMB86-8Seager homered to left center (396 feet).
05:32:49 PMB86-8Lopez doubled to center.
05:33:40 PMB86-8Nimmo grounded out to second, Lopez to third.
05:33:58 PMB86-8Langford intentionally walked.
05:37:17 PMB86-8Burger struck out swinging.
05:38:03 PMB86-8Jansen hit for Cauley
05:38:43 PMB86-8Langford stole second.
05:39:08 PMB86-8Jansen lined out to right.
05:40:15 PMT96-8Jansen as designated hitter.
05:40:15 PMT96-8Junis relieved Latz
05:40:23 PMT96-8Hicks hit for Vilade
05:42:26 PMT96-8Hicks lined out to shortstop.
05:44:15 PMT96-8Simpson lined out to right.