Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers · V1 (legacy)
Sep 5, 2026, 7:05 PM EST · final score 6-3 · duration 2h 48m · 94 plays · 673 snapshots · 15 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 10 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (7)
07:13:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi-1.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
07:14:15 PM · inning 1 (early) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
polymarket-1.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
08:13:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 3 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.17
kalshi+2.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
08:32:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.29
kalshi+5.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
09:08:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.20
kalshi+4.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+3.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 0%
09:17:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi+14.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
09:41:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-1.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
Play-by-play (94 real plays)
07:09:04 PMT10-0Díaz grounded out to second.
07:10:05 PMT10-0Aranda struck out swinging.
07:11:54 PMT11-0Caminero homered to center (425 feet).
07:13:42 PMT11-0Hicks flied out to right.
07:17:22 PMB11-0Pederson struck out swinging.
07:19:08 PMB11-0Seager struck out swinging.
07:21:18 PMB11-0Langford flied out to right.
07:23:34 PMT21-0Simpson grounded out to second.
07:24:58 PMT21-0Mesa Jr. singled to center, Mesa Jr. out stretching at second.
07:29:36 PMT21-0Mullins lined out to second.
07:32:13 PMB21-0Nimmo flied out to left.
07:34:01 PMB21-0Duran lined out to right.
07:35:14 PMB21-0Burger flied out to right.
07:37:27 PMT31-0Palacios grounded out to first.
07:40:28 PMT31-0Walls walked.
07:41:24 PMT31-0Díaz grounded into double play, pitcher to second to first, Walls out at second.
07:43:56 PMB31-0Carter grounded out to first.
07:45:22 PMB31-0Freeman grounded out to shortstop.
07:46:55 PMB31-0Jansen flied out to right.
07:51:48 PMT41-0Aranda struck out swinging.
07:53:19 PMT41-0Caminero struck out swinging.
07:54:59 PMT41-0Hicks singled to left.
07:56:05 PMT41-0Simpson struck out swinging.
08:00:25 PMB41-0Pederson struck out swinging.
08:02:39 PMB41-0Seager singled to center.
08:03:55 PMB41-0Langford lined out to right.
08:05:20 PMB41-0Nimmo grounded out to first.
08:08:17 PMT51-0Mesa Jr. struck out swinging.
08:10:07 PMT51-0Mullins grounded out to second.
08:11:32 PMT52-0Palacios homered to right (384 feet).
08:13:13 PMT52-0Walls struck out swinging.
08:15:51 PMB52-0Duran flied out to center.
08:16:32 PMB52-0Burger singled to left.
08:17:41 PMB52-0Carter struck out swinging.
08:19:37 PMB52-0Freeman lined out to third.
08:22:49 PMT62-0Díaz lined out to first.
08:25:34 PMT62-0Aranda grounded out to second.
08:27:37 PMT62-0Caminero struck out swinging.
08:30:51 PMB62-0Jansen popped out to second.
08:31:26 PMB62-1Pederson homered to right (409 feet).
08:33:20 PMB62-1Seager struck out swinging.
08:34:36 PMB62-1Langford struck out swinging.
08:37:10 PMT72-1Alexander relieved deGrom
08:37:25 PMT72-1Macko relieved deGrom
08:37:32 PMT72-1Hicks grounded out to pitcher.
08:38:54 PMT72-1Simpson grounded out to second.
08:40:03 PMT72-1Mesa Jr. singled to right.
08:40:57 PMT72-1Mullins singled to center, Mesa Jr. to second.
08:43:16 PMT72-1Vilade hit for Palacios
08:44:48 PMT72-1Mullins stole second, Mesa Jr. stole third.
08:45:11 PMT72-1Vilade struck out swinging.
08:47:56 PMB72-1Mateo at second base.
08:50:00 PMB72-1Nimmo flied out to center.
08:52:24 PMB72-1Duran flied out to right.
08:55:11 PMB72-1Burger struck out swinging.
08:57:31 PMT82-1Junis relieved Alexander
08:57:31 PMT82-1Walls grounded out to pitcher.
08:58:39 PMT82-1Díaz grounded out to second.
09:00:02 PMT82-1Aranda singled to left.
09:00:58 PMT82-1Caminero singled to right, Aranda to third.
09:04:29 PMT83-1Hicks singled to left, Aranda scored, Caminero to third.
09:05:31 PMT83-1Piper ran for Hicks
09:05:31 PMT83-1Simpson grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Piper out at second.
09:06:17 PMB83-1Piper catching.
09:06:17 PMB83-1Kelly relieved Rasmussen
09:08:01 PMB83-2Carter homered to right center (421 feet).
09:09:25 PMB83-2Freeman grounded out to shortstop.
09:11:17 PMB83-2Jansen singled to left.
09:14:36 PMB83-2Foscue hit for Pederson
09:14:36 PMB83-2Cauley ran for Jansen
09:14:36 PMB83-2Booser relieved Kelly
09:16:06 PMB83-3Foscue doubled to center, Cauley scored.
09:18:10 PMB83-3Seager grounded out to second, Foscue to third.
09:18:49 PMB83-3Langford grounded out to shortstop.
09:20:27 PMT93-3Foscue as designated hitter.
09:20:27 PMT93-3Díaz catching.
09:20:27 PMT93-3Latz relieved Junis
09:21:44 PMT93-3Mesa Jr. flied out to center.
09:23:10 PMT93-3Mullins flied out to left.
09:24:40 PMT93-3Mateo struck out swinging.
09:25:37 PMB93-3Wells relieved Booser
09:28:14 PMB93-3Nimmo lined out to center.
09:30:32 PMB93-3Duran safe at first on fielding error by shortstop Walls.
09:32:20 PMB93-3Burger flied out to right.
09:34:36 PMB93-3Carter struck out swinging.
09:37:34 PMT103-3Walls hit sacrifice bunt to third, Mateo to third.
09:37:51 PMT103-3Díaz intentionally walked.
09:39:52 PMT106-3Aranda homered to right center (409 feet), Mateo scored and Díaz scored.
09:40:59 PMT106-3Caminero lined out to center.
09:42:37 PMT106-3Piper walked.
09:43:39 PMT106-3Macko relieved Latz
09:46:16 PMT106-3Simpson flied out to left.
09:50:31 PMB106-3Freeman struck out swinging.
09:52:02 PMB106-3Díaz struck out swinging.