Miami Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks · V1 (legacy)
Sep 15, 2026, 9:40 PM EST · final score 4-2 · duration 3h 34m · 118 plays · 858 snapshots · 25 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 11 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (13)
09:58:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi+4.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
10:50:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi-7.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
10:51:11 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
polymarket-6.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
12:17:11 AM · inning 9 (final) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket-4.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
12:30:00 AM · inning 9 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-11.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
12:31:14 AM · inning 10 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket-11.5%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
12:38:00 AM · inning 10 (final) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-5.0%partial_reversion
polymarket-4.5%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (75s lag)
12:47:00 AM · inning 10 (final) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+11.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
12:48:15 AM · inning 10 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket-10.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
12:53:11 AM · inning 11 (final) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket+5.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
12:59:00 AM · inning 11 (final) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+62.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
01:04:00 AM · inning 11 (final) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi+4.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
01:05:16 AM · inning 11 (final) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
polymarket+6.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (118 real plays)
09:42:05 PMT10-0Stowers flied out to center.
09:44:16 PMT10-0Hernández grounded out to second.
09:46:18 PMT10-0Lopez walked.
09:48:08 PMT10-0Conine grounded out to pitcher.
09:51:25 PMB10-0Nootbaar flied out to left.
09:54:05 PMB10-0Marte flied out to left.
09:57:05 PMB10-1Moreno homered to left center (431 feet).
09:58:46 PMB10-1Perdomo singled to center.
09:59:44 PMB10-1Carroll grounded out to first.
10:02:17 PMT20-1Sanoja singled to left.
10:03:44 PMT20-1Marsee struck out swinging.
10:06:41 PMT20-1Ramírez struck out swinging.
10:08:17 PMT20-1Pauley struck out swinging.
10:11:09 PMB20-1Arenado reached on infield single to second.
10:13:50 PMB20-1Sánchez struck out swinging.
10:15:07 PMB20-1Smith struck out swinging.
10:16:30 PMB20-1Lawlar reached on infield single to third, Arenado to second.
10:20:17 PMB20-1Nootbaar struck out swinging.
10:24:19 PMT30-1De Los Santos struck out swinging.
10:26:21 PMT30-1Stowers struck out swinging.
10:28:20 PMT30-1Hernández grounded out to third.
10:31:10 PMB30-1Marte doubled to left.
10:36:02 PMB30-1Moreno walked.
10:37:43 PMB30-1Perdomo popped out to shortstop.
10:39:28 PMB30-1Carroll struck out swinging.
10:41:51 PMB30-1Arenado flied out to left.
10:45:14 PMT40-1Lopez grounded out to first.
10:48:35 PMT41-1Conine homered to right center (401 feet).
10:51:29 PMT41-1Sanoja fouled out to first.
10:51:59 PMT41-1Marsee flied out to right.
10:53:13 PMB41-1Gibson relieved Junk
10:54:59 PMB41-1Sánchez singled to right.
10:56:03 PMB41-1Smith flied out to right.
10:58:31 PMB41-1Lawlar struck out swinging.
11:00:47 PMB41-1Nootbaar struck out swinging.
11:04:40 PMT51-1Ramírez struck out swinging.
11:05:41 PMT51-1Pauley lined out to second.
11:06:38 PMT51-1De Los Santos grounded out to shortstop.
11:08:02 PMB51-1Faucher relieved Gibson
11:09:33 PMB51-1Marte flied out to left.
11:11:37 PMB51-1Moreno struck out swinging.
11:14:00 PMB51-1Perdomo walked. Miami Marlins challenged: call on the field was upheld.
11:14:48 PMB51-1Carroll singled to right, Perdomo to third.
11:15:45 PMB51-1Arenado lined out to right.
11:17:15 PMT61-1Martinez relieved Soroka
11:18:25 PMT61-1Stowers popped out to third.
11:19:55 PMT61-1Hernández singled to center.
11:22:40 PMT61-1Lopez struck out looking, Hernández caught stealing second, catcher to shortstop. Miami Marlins challenged: call on the field was upheld.
11:25:09 PMB61-1Zuber relieved Faucher
11:25:47 PMB61-1Sánchez flied out to left.
11:28:03 PMB61-1Smith grounded out to second.
11:30:27 PMB61-1Lawlar struck out swinging.
11:32:10 PMT71-1Fernandez at third base.
11:32:10 PMT71-1Garcia relieved Martinez
11:32:55 PMT71-1Ruiz hit for Conine
11:34:34 PMT71-1Ruiz popped out to second.
11:37:06 PMT71-1Sanoja grounded out to shortstop.
11:37:39 PMT71-1Marsee hit by pitch.
11:38:41 PMT71-1Marsee picked off first.
11:40:03 PMB71-1Ruiz in right field.
11:40:03 PMB71-1Petersen relieved Zuber
11:42:48 PMB71-1Nootbaar struck out swinging.
11:45:37 PMB71-1Marte flied out to center.
11:47:20 PMB71-1Moreno walked.
11:48:13 PMB71-1Moreno stole second.
11:50:45 PMB71-1Perdomo struck out swinging.
11:53:18 PMT81-1Ramírez grounded out to second.
11:53:58 PMT81-1Serna hit for Pauley
11:54:39 PMT81-1Serna flied out to left.
11:55:27 PMT81-1De Los Santos singled to left.
11:58:45 PMT81-1Stowers struck out swinging.
12:02:02 AMB81-1Sanoja at third base.
12:02:02 AMB81-1Serna at second base.
12:02:02 AMB81-1Fulton relieved Petersen
12:04:05 AMB81-1Carroll grounded out to third.
12:05:32 AMB81-1Fernandez safe at first on throwing error by shortstop Lopez.
12:06:05 AMB81-1Waldschmidt hit for Sánchez
12:07:55 AMB81-1Waldschmidt struck out looking. Arizona Diamondbacks challenged: call on the field was upheld.
12:11:07 AMB81-1Vargas hit for Smith
12:11:07 AMB81-1Vodnik relieved Fulton
12:12:31 AMB81-1Vargas grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Fernandez out at second.
12:13:59 AMT91-1Waldschmidt as designated hitter.
12:13:59 AMT91-1Vargas at first base.
12:13:59 AMT91-1Morillo relieved Garcia
12:15:12 AMT91-1Hernández flied out to right.
12:16:28 AMT91-1Lopez lined out to center.
12:17:30 AMT91-1Ruiz safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Fernandez.
12:19:33 AMT91-1Sanoja flied out to left.
12:22:53 AMB91-1Lawlar struck out swinging.
12:24:30 AMB91-1Nootbaar walked.
12:25:35 AMB91-1Marte grounded into fielder's choice to second, Nootbaar out at second.
12:27:29 AMB91-1Moreno reached on infield single to shortstop, Marte to third.
12:28:32 AMB91-1Moreno to second on fielder's indifference.
12:29:03 AMB91-1Perdomo lined out to second.
12:30:51 AMT101-1Ginkel relieved Morillo
12:34:05 AMT101-1Marsee struck out swinging.
12:36:26 AMT101-1Ramírez flied out to left.
12:39:32 AMT101-1Serna struck out swinging.
12:41:51 AMB101-1Navarreto catching.
12:41:51 AMB101-1Ekness relieved Vodnik
12:42:32 AMB101-1Carroll intentionally walked.
12:43:00 AMB101-1Fernandez hit sacrifice bunt to third, Carroll to second, Perdomo to third.
12:44:18 AMB101-1Waldschmidt grounded into fielder's choice to second, Carroll to third, Perdomo out at home. Arizona Diamondbacks challenged: call on the field was upheld.
12:46:06 AMB101-1Waldschmidt to second on fielder's indifference.
12:47:54 AMB101-1Vargas grounded out to shortstop.
12:49:22 AMT111-1Clarke relieved Ginkel
12:52:42 AMT111-1De Los Santos flied out to center.
12:53:04 AMT111-1Stowers intentionally walked.
12:58:17 AMT111-1Hernández struck out swinging.
01:00:25 AMT111-1Lopez walked, Stowers to second, Serna to third.
01:02:40 AMT114-1Ruiz doubled to center, Lopez scored, Serna scored and Stowers scored.
01:04:10 AMT114-1Sanoja flied out to left.
01:08:44 AMB114-1Lawlar struck out looking.
01:10:15 AMB114-1Nootbaar struck out swinging.
01:11:04 AMB114-1Vargas to third on fielder's indifference.
01:11:36 AMB114-2Marte doubled to center, Vargas scored.
01:13:41 AMB114-2Marte to third on wild pitch by Ekness.
01:14:19 AMB114-2Moreno grounded out to shortstop.