Toronto Blue Jays @ Cleveland Guardians · V1 (legacy)
Sep 3, 2026, 1:10 PM EST · final score 6-3 · duration 3h 30m · 106 plays · 842 snapshots · 16 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (8)
01:22:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.50
kalshi+11.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
02:09:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi+4.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
02:19:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-5.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
02:42:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-1.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
03:16:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 3 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.29
kalshi+5.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
03:42:15 PM · inning 7 (late) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.34
polymarket+2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
04:11:14 PM · inning 8 (late) · 3 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_real_event · leverage 0.34
polymarket+0.0%choppy_indeterminate
Leader: polymarket
04:37:26 PM · inning 9 (final) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.16
polymarket-3.1%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (106 real plays)
01:13:22 PMT10-0Bateman singled to right.
01:15:03 PMT10-0Lukes grounded into double play, shortstop to first, Bateman out at second.
01:16:47 PMT10-0Guerrero Jr. struck out swinging.
01:21:29 PMB10-0Kwan singled to left.
01:22:19 PMB10-0DeLauter doubled to left, Kwan to third.
01:23:06 PMB10-0Ramírez grounded out to first.
01:25:41 PMB10-0Adell popped out to second.
01:28:34 PMB10-0Lowe struck out swinging.
01:33:15 PMT20-0Sánchez struck out swinging.
01:35:57 PMT20-0Keys walked.
01:38:04 PMT20-0Smith walked, Keys to second.
01:40:15 PMT20-0Giménez popped out to shortstop.
01:41:17 PMT20-0Clement struck out swinging.
01:44:20 PMB20-0Genao grounded out to first.
01:47:26 PMB20-0Bazzana hit by pitch.
01:50:53 PMB20-0Hedges walked, Bazzana to second.
01:53:07 PMB20-0Rocchio grounded into fielder's choice to second, Hedges out at second, Bazzana to third.
01:54:18 PMB20-0Kwan lined out to left.
01:58:33 PMT30-0Valenzuela popped out to first.
01:59:28 PMT30-0Bateman grounded out to shortstop.
02:01:01 PMT30-0Lukes grounded out to first.
02:03:35 PMB30-0DeLauter grounded out to second.
02:04:53 PMB30-0Ramírez grounded out to second.
02:06:56 PMB30-0Adell walked.
02:08:13 PMB30-0Lowe singled to left, Adell to second.
02:08:55 PMB30-1Genao singled to center, Adell scored, Lowe to second.
02:10:58 PMB30-1Bazzana flied out to center.
02:16:15 PMT40-1Guerrero Jr. walked.
02:17:01 PMT40-1Sánchez grounded out to shortstop, Guerrero Jr. to second.
02:18:48 PMT41-1Keys singled to left, Guerrero Jr. scored.
02:21:30 PMT41-1Smith struck out swinging.
02:24:29 PMT41-1Giménez grounded out to first.
02:28:14 PMB41-1Hedges struck out swinging.
02:29:01 PMB41-1Rocchio grounded out to second.
02:30:49 PMB41-1Kwan singled to center.
02:32:35 PMB41-1DeLauter flied out to left.
02:36:01 PMT51-1Clement walked.
02:39:06 PMT51-1Valenzuela walked, Clement to second.
02:40:48 PMT51-1Bateman reached on bunt single to pitcher, Valenzuela to second, Clement to third.
02:41:56 PMT53-1Lukes doubled to right, Clement scored and Valenzuela scored, Bateman to third.
02:44:35 PMT53-1Holderman relieved Bibee
02:46:03 PMT54-1Guerrero Jr. hit sacrifice fly to right, Bateman scored, Lukes to third.
02:47:58 PMT55-1Sánchez singled to center, Lukes scored.
02:48:37 PMT55-1Straw ran for Sánchez
02:50:21 PMT55-1Keys safe at first on fielding error by second baseman Bazzana, Straw to second.
02:54:15 PMT55-1Smith walked, Keys to second, Straw to third.
02:55:43 PMT55-1Yoho relieved Holderman
02:57:54 PMT55-1Giménez struck out swinging.
02:58:45 PMT55-1Clement popped out to second.
03:00:54 PMB55-1Straw in left field.
03:01:42 PMB55-1Ramírez grounded out to first.
03:03:40 PMB55-1Adell reached on infield single to third.
03:04:38 PMB55-1Lowe lined out to left.
03:06:55 PMB55-1Genao walked, Adell to second.
03:09:41 PMB55-1Fry hit for Bazzana
03:09:41 PMB55-1Fluharty relieved Soriano
03:12:02 PMB55-1Fry walked, Genao to second, Adell to third.
03:13:12 PMB55-1Schneemann ran for Fry
03:15:16 PMB55-3Hedges singled to center, Adell scored and Genao scored, Schneemann to second.
03:16:57 PMB55-3Schneemann to third on wild pitch by Fluharty.
03:17:44 PMB55-3Rocchio struck out swinging.
03:19:57 PMT65-3Schneemann at second base.
03:20:57 PMT65-3Valenzuela grounded out to second.
03:21:53 PMT65-3Bateman singled to left.
03:24:17 PMT65-3Lukes lined out to center.
03:26:53 PMT65-3Festa relieved Yoho
03:27:19 PMT65-3Guerrero Jr. grounded out to second.
03:31:30 PMB65-3Kwan fouled out to third.
03:33:29 PMB65-3DeLauter popped out to shortstop.
03:34:38 PMB65-3Miles relieved Fluharty
03:38:11 PMB65-3Ramírez struck out swinging.
03:41:57 PMT75-3Straw walked.
03:42:16 PMT75-3Straw to second on pickoff error by pitcher Festa.
03:44:31 PMT75-3Keys struck out swinging.
03:46:21 PMT75-3Smith struck out swinging.
03:48:44 PMT75-3Herrin relieved Festa
03:50:35 PMT75-3Giménez grounded out to pitcher.
03:53:25 PMB75-3Adell grounded out to third.
03:55:45 PMB75-3Lowe lined out to left.
03:57:43 PMB75-3Genao grounded out to shortstop.
04:00:59 PMT85-3Clement grounded out to second.
04:02:39 PMT85-3Valenzuela walked.
04:05:42 PMT85-3Bateman struck out swinging.
04:07:21 PMT85-3Lukes doubled to left, Valenzuela to third.
04:09:51 PMT85-3Gaddis relieved Herrin
04:11:19 PMT85-3Guerrero Jr. grounded out to shortstop.
04:13:02 PMB85-3Rogers relieved Miles
04:14:23 PMB85-3Schneemann lined out to second.
04:14:31 PMB85-3Martínez hit for Hedges
04:15:24 PMB85-3Martínez fouled out to third.
04:15:41 PMB85-3Rocchio hit by pitch. Cleveland Guardians challenged: call on the field was overturned.
04:17:55 PMB85-3Kwan grounded out to first.
04:20:37 PMT95-3Bailey catching.
04:20:37 PMT95-3Hernández relieved Gaddis
04:21:39 PMT95-3Straw grounded out to third.
04:23:40 PMT95-3Keys struck out swinging.
04:25:00 PMT95-3Smith walked.
04:26:08 PMT95-3Giménez singled to center, Smith to third.
04:26:55 PMT95-3Giménez stole second.
04:27:55 PMT96-3Clement singled to center, Smith scored, Giménez to third.
04:30:24 PMT96-3Valenzuela struck out swinging.
04:33:12 PMB96-3Varland relieved Rogers
04:33:12 PMB96-3DeLauter grounded out to first.
04:35:48 PMB96-3Ramírez singled to center.
04:37:06 PMB96-3Adell struck out looking. Toronto Blue Jays challenged: call on the field was overturned.
04:38:59 PMB96-3Lowe walked, Ramírez to second.