New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks · V1 (legacy)
Sep 20, 2026, 4:10 PM EST · final score 4-8 · duration 2h 43m · 85 plays · 651 snapshots · 11 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (5)
04:28:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi+9.0%partial_reversion
polymarket+9.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (11s lag)
04:55:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
kalshi+8.0%sustained_move
polymarket+7.5%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (11s lag) · gap closed 100%
04:59:11 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.10
polymarket-1.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
05:56:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 4 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi+8.0%partial_reversion
polymarket+8.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi (11s lag) · gap closed 0%
06:06:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-5.0%sustained_move
polymarket-4.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (11s lag) · gap closed 100%
Play-by-play (85 real plays)
04:11:38 PMT10-0Rice walked.
04:14:26 PMT10-0Bellinger singled to right, Rice to second.
04:16:21 PMT10-0Ramos lined out to center.
04:18:28 PMT10-0García Jr. flied out to center.
04:20:09 PMT10-0Lombard Jr. popped out to second.
04:23:13 PMB10-0Nootbaar singled to center.
04:23:49 PMB10-0Marte singled to center, Nootbaar to second.
04:24:51 PMB10-0Moreno flied out to right.
04:27:48 PMB10-1Perdomo singled to center, Nootbaar scored, Marte to third.
04:29:33 PMB10-1Carroll grounded into double play, shortstop to first, Perdomo out at second.
04:32:45 PMT20-1Jones struck out looking.
04:34:16 PMT20-1Volpe grounded out to second.
04:36:31 PMT20-1Wells walked.
04:37:31 PMT20-1Caballero lined out to left.
04:41:26 PMB20-1Arenado struck out swinging.
04:41:57 PMB20-1Sánchez lined out to second.
04:43:30 PMB20-1Smith walked.
04:45:00 PMB20-1Tawa struck out swinging.
04:47:37 PMT30-1Rice grounded out to first.
04:50:00 PMT30-1Bellinger struck out swinging.
04:51:28 PMT31-1Ramos homered to left center (388 feet).
04:52:26 PMT31-1García Jr. singled to left.
04:55:04 PMT33-1Lombard Jr. homered to left (424 feet), García Jr. scored.
04:57:29 PMT34-1Jones homered to center (448 feet).
05:00:14 PMT34-1Nelson relieved Burnes
05:01:24 PMT34-1Volpe grounded out to shortstop.
05:05:15 PMB34-1Nootbaar struck out looking.
05:06:52 PMB34-1Marte grounded out to second.
05:08:14 PMB34-1Moreno singled to center.
05:10:15 PMB34-1Perdomo grounded out to first.
05:14:02 PMT44-1Wells struck out looking.
05:15:57 PMT44-1Caballero struck out swinging.
05:17:07 PMT44-1Rice lined out to second.
05:20:12 PMB44-1Carroll popped out to second.
05:21:57 PMB44-1Arenado flied out to left.
05:23:37 PMB44-1Sánchez walked.
05:26:17 PMB44-1Smith struck out swinging.
05:27:42 PMT54-1Martinez relieved Nelson
05:29:39 PMT54-1Bellinger struck out swinging.
05:30:59 PMT54-1Ramos struck out looking.
05:36:30 PMT54-1García Jr. grounded out to second.
05:38:52 PMB54-1Tawa fouled out to catcher.
05:40:20 PMB54-1Nootbaar hit a ground rule double.
05:43:00 PMB54-1Marte singled to left, Nootbaar to third.
05:46:01 PMB54-1Moreno walked, Marte to second. New York Yankees challenged: call on the field was upheld.
05:46:54 PMB54-1Headrick relieved Warren
05:49:55 PMB54-1Perdomo struck out looking. Arizona Diamondbacks challenged: call on the field was upheld.
05:52:15 PMB54-2Carroll walked, Nootbaar scored, Moreno to second, Marte to third.
05:54:19 PMB54-6Arenado homered to left (381 feet), Marte scored, Moreno scored and Carroll scored.
05:55:19 PMB54-6Sánchez grounded out to second.
05:57:09 PMT64-6Vargas at first base.
05:57:09 PMT64-6Clarke relieved Martinez
05:58:46 PMT64-6Lombard Jr. reached on bunt single to third.
06:01:10 PMT64-6Jones struck out swinging.
06:01:40 PMT64-6Volpe singled to center, Lombard Jr. to second.
06:04:41 PMT64-6Wells flied out to center.
06:08:47 PMT64-6Caballero flied out to right.
06:10:05 PMB64-6Hill relieved Headrick
06:11:36 PMB64-6Vargas singled to left.
06:12:24 PMB64-6Tawa grounded into double play, third to second to first, Vargas out at second.
06:13:02 PMB64-6Lawlar hit for Nootbaar
06:14:13 PMB64-6Lawlar grounded out to first.
06:16:26 PMT74-6Lawlar in center field.
06:16:26 PMT74-6Tawa in left field.
06:16:26 PMT74-6Garcia relieved Clarke
06:17:14 PMT74-6Rice grounded out to third.
06:18:44 PMT74-6Bellinger struck out looking.
06:20:23 PMT74-6Ramos grounded out to third.
06:22:36 PMB74-6Schreiber relieved Hill
06:24:18 PMB74-6Marte flied out to right.
06:26:08 PMB74-6Moreno reached on infield single to third.
06:27:32 PMB74-7Perdomo tripled to right, Moreno scored.
06:28:59 PMB74-8Carroll singled to right, Perdomo scored.
06:31:22 PMB74-8Arenado grounded into fielder's choice to third, Carroll safe at second on error by second baseman Volpe.
06:32:05 PMB74-8Sánchez grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Arenado out at second.
06:34:13 PMT84-8Loaisiga relieved Garcia
06:35:22 PMT84-8García Jr. grounded out to pitcher.
06:37:02 PMT84-8Lombard Jr. grounded out to third.
06:40:03 PMT84-8Jones flied out to center.
06:42:16 PMB84-8Gil relieved Schreiber
06:43:17 PMB84-8Vargas grounded out to second.
06:45:02 PMB84-8Tawa popped out to shortstop.
06:47:17 PMB84-8Lawlar struck out swinging.
06:50:26 PMT94-8Volpe grounded out to shortstop.
06:51:25 PMT94-8Wells singled to right.