St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers · V1 (legacy)
Sep 2, 2026, 10:10 PM EST · final score 8-6 · duration 3h 4m · 114 plays · 736 snapshots · 17 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 10 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (9)
10:24:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
kalshi-3.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
11:49:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.38
kalshi+1.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
11:59:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.23
kalshi+3.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+1.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (10s lag)
12:08:00 AM · inning 7 (late) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_real_event · leverage 0.27
kalshi-9.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-8.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 0%
12:26:00 AM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_real_event · leverage 0.45
kalshi+7.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
12:39:00 AM · inning 8 (late) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_real_event · leverage 1.00
kalshi-9.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-8.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
12:52:00 AM · inning 9 (final) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_GROUND_RULE_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+14.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
01:01:00 AM · inning 10 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-7.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
01:02:14 AM · inning 10 (final) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.32
polymarket-4.0%partial_reversion
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (114 real plays)
10:12:18 PMT10-0Torres struck out swinging.
10:14:01 PMT10-0Herrera grounded out to shortstop.
10:16:08 PMT10-0Burleson grounded out to second.
10:19:18 PMB10-0Ohtani walked.
10:20:48 PMB10-0Edman hit by pitch, Ohtani to second.
10:22:10 PMB10-0Betts popped out to second.
10:22:59 PMB10-3Freeman homered to center (416 feet), Ohtani scored and Edman scored.
10:24:17 PMB10-3Rojas doubled to first.
10:27:30 PMB10-3Tucker walked.
10:29:11 PMB10-3T. Hernández lined out to left.
10:30:58 PMB10-3Muncy walked, Tucker to second, Rojas to third.
10:31:56 PMB10-3Feduccia grounded out to first.
10:36:06 PMT20-3Walker struck out swinging.
10:36:55 PMT20-3Bernal grounded out to second.
10:38:17 PMT20-3Gorman struck out swinging.
10:41:58 PMB20-3Ohtani hit by pitch.
10:42:41 PMB20-3Fernandez relieved Mautz
10:46:50 PMB20-3Edman flied out to center.
10:49:05 PMB20-3Betts struck out swinging.
10:51:03 PMB20-3Ohtani stole second.
10:52:18 PMB20-3Freeman walked.
10:54:01 PMB20-3Rojas struck out swinging.
10:57:12 PMT30-3Fermín walked.
10:58:58 PMT30-3Church grounded into double play, second to first, Fermín out at second.
11:00:18 PMT30-3Saggese struck out swinging.
11:01:41 PMB30-3Graceffo relieved Fernandez
11:03:39 PMB30-3Tucker flied out to left.
11:05:24 PMB30-3T. Hernández singled to center.
11:06:44 PMB30-3T. Hernández stole second.
11:07:02 PMB30-3Muncy struck out swinging.
11:09:03 PMB30-3Feduccia struck out swinging.
11:12:58 PMT40-3Torres grounded out to second.
11:13:58 PMT40-3Herrera grounded out to second.
11:14:56 PMT40-3Burleson struck out swinging.
11:17:47 PMB40-3Ohtani struck out looking.
11:20:55 PMB40-3Edman struck out swinging.
11:21:49 PMB40-3Betts doubled to left.
11:23:32 PMB40-3Freeman walked.
11:24:43 PMB40-3Rojas grounded out to shortstop.
11:28:12 PMT50-3Walker struck out swinging.
11:28:57 PMT50-3Bernal flied out to center.
11:30:14 PMT50-3Gorman struck out swinging.
11:33:28 PMB50-3Tucker singled to left.
11:35:21 PMB50-3Tucker stole second.
11:36:45 PMB50-3T. Hernández grounded out to shortstop.
11:39:09 PMB50-3Muncy struck out swinging.
11:40:28 PMB50-3Feduccia struck out swinging.
11:44:35 PMT60-3Fermín singled to right.
11:47:02 PMT60-3Church grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Fermín out at second.
11:47:34 PMT62-3Saggese homered to center (396 feet), Church scored.
11:48:44 PMT62-3Torres fouled out to third.
11:50:32 PMT62-3Herrera walked.
11:51:17 PMT62-3Burleson grounded out to first.
11:52:13 PMB62-3Soriano relieved Graceffo
11:54:30 PMB62-3Ohtani struck out swinging.
11:56:34 PMB62-3Edman singled to left.
11:57:47 PMB62-5Betts homered to left center (392 feet), Edman scored.
11:59:28 PMB62-5Freeman singled to center.
12:00:07 AMB62-5Rushing hit for Rojas
12:00:07 AMB62-5Rushing hit by pitch, Freeman to second.
12:03:08 AMB62-5Tucker grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Rushing out at second.
12:03:59 AMT72-5Freeland at second base.
12:05:52 AMT72-5Walker doubled to left.
12:08:12 AMT74-5Bernal homered to right center (377 feet), Walker scored.
12:09:39 AMT74-5Gorman struck out swinging.
12:11:30 AMT74-5Fermín grounded out to third.
12:12:21 AMT74-5Church singled to right.
12:14:00 AMT74-5Saggese flied out to right.
12:14:49 AMB74-5Stanek relieved Soriano
12:17:46 AMB74-5T. Hernández singled to right.
12:18:25 AMB74-5Muncy lined out to right.
12:20:24 AMB74-5Feduccia singled to left, T. Hernández to second.
12:21:44 AMB74-5Ohtani struck out swinging.
12:22:23 AMB74-5Edman grounded out to second.
12:23:26 AMT84-5Scott relieved Yamamoto
12:25:06 AMT84-5Báez hit for Torres
12:26:15 AMT84-5Báez doubled to left.
12:27:17 AMT84-5Herrera grounded out to first, Báez to third.
12:30:10 AMT85-5Burleson hit sacrifice fly to right, Báez scored.
12:31:15 AMT85-5Walker grounded out to third.
12:32:02 AMB85-5Báez in left field.
12:32:02 AMB85-5Gastelum relieved Stanek
12:34:51 AMB85-5Betts struck out swinging.
12:36:54 AMB85-5Freeman walked.
12:39:10 AMB85-5Freeland grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Freeman out at second.
12:40:07 AMT95-5Dreyer relieved Scott
12:42:33 AMT95-5Bernal flied out to right.
12:43:36 AMT95-5Urías hit for Gorman
12:44:53 AMT95-5Urías fouled out to first.
12:47:01 AMT95-5Fermín grounded out to third.
12:49:17 AMB95-5Urías at third base.
12:49:17 AMB95-5Bruihl relieved Gastelum
12:50:04 AMB95-5Tucker grounded out to second.
12:50:55 AMB95-5T. Hernández hit a ground rule double.
12:51:31 AMB95-5E. Hernández hit for Muncy
12:52:30 AMB95-5E. Hernández struck out swinging.
12:53:10 AMB95-5Smith hit for Feduccia
12:53:54 AMB95-5T. Hernández to third on wild pitch by Bruihl.
12:55:25 AMB95-5Smith flied out to center.
12:58:12 AMT105-5E. Hernández at third base.
12:58:12 AMT105-5Smith catching.
12:58:12 AMT105-5Stewart relieved Dreyer
12:58:12 AMT105-5Church singled to center, Fermín to third.
01:00:17 AMT106-5Saggese reached on infield single to second, Fermín scored, Church to second.
01:01:20 AMT108-5Báez doubled to left, Saggese scored and Church scored.
01:01:47 AMT108-5Herrera grounded out to second, Báez to third.
01:02:45 AMT108-5Scott II ran for Báez
01:02:45 AMT108-5Burleson popped out to shortstop.
01:05:55 AMT108-5Walker struck out swinging.
01:08:20 AMB108-5Scott II in left field.
01:08:20 AMB108-5O'Brien relieved Bruihl
01:09:04 AMB108-5Smith to third on passed ball by Herrera.
01:10:43 AMB108-5Ohtani struck out swinging.
01:12:57 AMB108-6Edman grounded out to shortstop, Smith scored.