San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies · V1 (legacy)
Sep 14, 2026, 8:40 PM EST · final score 8-7 · duration 3h 3m · 99 plays · 731 snapshots · 12 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (6)
09:06:08 PM · inning 2 (early) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
polymarket+12.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
10:32:08 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_TRIPLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.29
kalshi+1.0%sustained_move
polymarket+2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (8s lag) · gap closed 0%
10:54:13 PM · inning 7 (late) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.20
polymarket+2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
11:02:08 PM · inning 7 (late) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.34
polymarket+9.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
11:24:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.20
kalshi+24.5%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
11:27:08 PM · inning 9 (final) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.40
polymarket-2.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (99 real plays)
08:43:19 PMT10-0Tatis Jr. flied out to right.
08:44:46 PMT10-0Harris grounded out to second.
08:46:19 PMT11-0Machado homered to left (388 feet).
08:47:55 PMT11-0France struck out swinging.
08:50:30 PMB11-0McCarthy grounded out to first.
08:51:55 PMB11-0Norby flied out to shortstop.
08:52:51 PMB11-0Goodman doubled to left.
08:55:31 PMB11-1Rumfield singled to center, Goodman scored.
08:56:24 PMB11-1Carrigg flied out to center.
09:00:11 PMT21-1Merrill singled to right.
09:02:12 PMT21-1Campusano popped out to second.
09:04:25 PMT21-1Bogaerts walked, Merrill to second. San Diego Padres challenged: call on the field was overturned.
09:06:02 PMT22-1Cronenworth singled to right, Merrill scored, Bogaerts to third.
09:07:13 PMT23-1Fermin hit sacrifice fly to center, Bogaerts scored.
09:10:31 PMT25-1Tatis Jr. homered to center (449 feet), Cronenworth scored.
09:12:43 PMT25-1Harris popped out to first.
09:16:28 PMB25-1Karros doubled to right.
09:17:51 PMB25-1Moniak flied out to left.
09:19:08 PMB25-1Amador singled to left, Karros to third.
09:20:03 PMB25-1Tovar grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Amador out at second.
09:22:13 PMT35-1Machado flied out to left.
09:24:27 PMT35-1France hit a ground rule double.
09:25:33 PMT36-1Merrill reached on infield single to second, France scored.
09:26:22 PMT36-1Campusano grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Merrill out at second.
09:29:53 PMB36-1McCarthy doubled to center.
09:30:50 PMB36-1Norby lined out to center.
09:31:50 PMB36-1Goodman grounded out to catcher, McCarthy to third.
09:33:06 PMB36-1Rumfield lined out to second.
09:37:25 PMT46-1Bogaerts flied out to center.
09:38:22 PMT46-1Cronenworth singled to center.
09:40:01 PMT46-1Fermin struck out looking. Colorado Rockies challenged: call on the field was overturned.
09:41:18 PMT46-1Tatis Jr. flied out to right.
09:43:58 PMB46-1Carrigg reached on infield single to pitcher.
09:45:18 PMB46-1Karros flied out to right.
09:48:12 PMB46-1Moniak walked, Carrigg to second.
09:49:35 PMB46-1Amador grounded into fielder's choice to first, Moniak out at second, Carrigg to third.
09:51:02 PMB46-1Tovar flied out to center.
09:53:52 PMT56-1Harris lined out to second.
09:56:06 PMT56-1Machado grounded out to shortstop.
09:57:30 PMT56-1France singled to right.
09:58:50 PMT56-1Merrill flied out to right.
10:01:16 PMB56-1McCarthy grounded out to first.
10:03:16 PMB56-1Norby doubled to center.
10:04:55 PMB56-1Goodman walked.
10:07:50 PMB56-2Rumfield singled to center, Norby scored, Goodman to second.
10:09:00 PMB56-2Carrigg lined out to center, Goodman to third.
10:10:22 PMB56-2Karros grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Rumfield out at second.
10:11:07 PMT66-2Castaño relieved Sugano
10:15:20 PMT66-2Campusano struck out swinging.
10:16:33 PMT66-2Bogaerts grounded out to third.
10:18:17 PMT66-2Cronenworth walked.
10:19:50 PMT66-2Fermin struck out swinging.
10:21:32 PMB66-2Hart relieved Mize
10:24:04 PMB66-2Moniak popped out to third.
10:25:29 PMB66-2Amador walked.
10:29:39 PMB66-2Tovar walked, Amador to second.
10:31:55 PMB66-4McCarthy tripled to center, Amador scored and Tovar scored.
10:34:46 PMB66-4Rodriguez relieved Hart
10:35:53 PMB66-5Norby grounded out to shortstop, McCarthy scored.
10:37:56 PMB66-5Goodman tripled to center.
10:40:14 PMB66-5Rumfield grounded out to third.
10:44:47 PMT76-5B. Sullivan catching.
10:45:24 PMT76-5Tatis Jr. grounded out to shortstop.
10:45:48 PMT76-5Manfredi relieved Castaño
10:49:13 PMT76-5Harris walked.
10:51:10 PMT76-5Machado fouled out to first.
10:52:02 PMT76-5Harris stole second.
10:52:44 PMT76-5Harris to third on wild pitch by Manfredi.
10:53:40 PMT77-5France singled to right, Harris scored.
10:56:32 PMT77-5Merrill reached on infield single to second, France to second.
10:59:36 PMT77-5Mejia relieved Manfredi
10:59:36 PMT77-5Campusano grounded out to shortstop.
11:02:04 PMB77-6Carrigg homered to right (424 feet).
11:02:55 PMB77-6Karros grounded out to shortstop.
11:04:26 PMB77-6Moniak lined out to second.
11:05:25 PMB77-6Amador grounded out to second.
11:09:14 PMT87-6Bogaerts singled to left.
11:11:22 PMT87-6Cronenworth struck out swinging.
11:12:42 PMT87-6Fermin reached on infield single to shortstop, Bogaerts to second.
11:16:04 PMT87-6Tatis Jr. struck out swinging.
11:17:57 PMT88-6Harris doubled to right, Bogaerts scored, Fermin to third.
11:18:29 PMT88-6Machado flied out to right.
11:20:08 PMB88-6Bowen in left field.
11:20:08 PMB88-6Morejon relieved Rodriguez
11:21:48 PMB88-6Tovar singled to center.
11:22:46 PMB88-6McCarthy lined out to center.
11:24:08 PMB88-7Norby doubled to right, Tovar scored.
11:25:37 PMB88-7B. Sullivan grounded out to second, Norby to third.
11:26:09 PMB88-7Rumfield grounded out to pitcher.
11:26:34 PMT98-7Romano relieved Mejia
11:30:37 PMT98-7France lined out to second.
11:32:29 PMT98-7Merrill struck out swinging.
11:33:54 PMT98-7Campusano struck out swinging.
11:34:32 PMB98-7Miller relieved Morejon
11:38:17 PMB98-7Carrigg struck out swinging.
11:39:37 PMB98-7Karros reached on infield single to pitcher.
11:39:48 PMB98-7Veen ran for Karros
11:41:32 PMB98-7Moniak struck out swinging.
11:42:42 PMB98-7Amador grounded out to third. Colorado Rockies challenged: call on the field was upheld.