Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs · V1 (legacy)
Sep 13, 2026, 2:20 PM EST · final score 4-3 · duration 2h 50m · 90 plays · 681 snapshots · 24 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (12)
02:55:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi-3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
02:56:14 PM · inning 2 (early) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
polymarket-4.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
03:24:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+2.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+3.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
03:41:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi+16.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+7.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (17s lag) · gap closed 0%
03:46:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+24.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
03:49:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_GROUND_RULE_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-8.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-5.5%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi (20s lag) · gap closed 0%
04:00:34 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-9.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-5.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (34s lag) · gap closed 0%
04:08:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-2.0%sustained_move
polymarket+4.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 0%
04:19:14 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.29
kalshi-2.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 0%
04:38:14 PM · inning 7 (late) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.34
polymarket+2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
04:54:12 PM · inning 8 (late) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.34
polymarket+4.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
05:09:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.40
kalshi+4.5%sustained_move
polymarket+4.5%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 10%
Play-by-play (90 real plays)
02:22:13 PMT10-0Griffin singled to center.
02:24:54 PMT10-0Cruz walked, Griffin to second.
02:27:03 PMT11-0Reynolds singled to left, Griffin scored, Cruz thrown out at third.
02:30:49 PMT11-0Flores Jr. struck out swinging.
02:31:39 PMT11-0Gonzales flied out to center.
02:34:30 PMB11-0Crow-Armstrong struck out swinging.
02:37:08 PMB11-0Suzuki fouled out to left.
02:38:15 PMB11-0Busch struck out swinging.
02:41:43 PMT21-0O'Hearn grounded out to second.
02:43:43 PMT21-0Mangum grounded out to third.
02:45:05 PMT21-0Triolo struck out swinging.
02:48:16 PMB21-0Bregman walked.
02:51:00 PMB21-0Happ walked, Bregman to second.
02:53:14 PMB21-0Hoerner lined out to left.
02:54:07 PMB21-0Conforto grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Happ out at second.
02:57:42 PMT31-0Davis flied out to left.
02:59:45 PMT31-0Griffin grounded out to third.
03:00:21 PMT31-0Cruz singled to left.
03:02:13 PMT31-0Reynolds singled to right, Cruz to second.
03:05:20 PMT31-0Flores Jr. flied out to right.
03:07:51 PMB31-0Ramirez flied out to center.
03:09:11 PMB31-0Amaya singled to center.
03:10:59 PMB31-0Crow-Armstrong flied out to right.
03:12:56 PMB31-0Suzuki struck out looking.
03:15:37 PMT41-0Gonzales grounded out to shortstop.
03:16:24 PMT41-0O'Hearn grounded out to first.
03:17:20 PMT41-0Mangum singled to left.
03:19:13 PMT41-0Triolo lined out to second.
03:22:16 PMB41-0Busch singled to right.
03:24:04 PMB41-0Bregman grounded into double play, third to second to first, Busch out at second.
03:24:44 PMB41-0Happ flied out to right.
03:28:40 PMT51-0Davis flied out to right.
03:29:52 PMT51-0Griffin lined out to right.
03:30:34 PMT51-0Cruz grounded out to first. Pittsburgh Pirates challenged: call on the field was upheld.
03:35:20 PMB51-0Hoerner grounded out to second.
03:35:48 PMB51-0Conforto grounded out to second.
03:37:54 PMB51-0Ramirez walked.
03:39:56 PMB51-2Amaya homered to left (389 feet), Ramirez scored.
03:41:05 PMB51-2Crow-Armstrong flied out to center.
03:44:49 PMT61-2Reynolds walked.
03:45:51 PMT61-2Flores Jr. singled to left, Reynolds to second.
03:48:33 PMT62-2Gonzales hit a ground rule double, Reynolds scored, Flores Jr. to third.
03:49:57 PMT62-2O'Hearn struck out swinging.
03:50:45 PMT62-2Civale relieved Boyd
03:55:21 PMT62-2Mangum walked.
03:56:45 PMT62-2Lowe hit for Triolo
03:59:28 PMT64-2Lowe singled to center, Flores Jr. scored and Gonzales scored, Mangum to second.
04:00:58 PMT64-2Mangum caught stealing third, pitcher to third.
04:02:34 PMT64-2Davis flied out to left.
04:04:30 PMB64-2Gonzales at third base.
04:04:30 PMB64-2Lowe at second base.
04:05:00 PMB64-2Suzuki flied out to center.
04:06:42 PMB64-2Busch singled to left.
04:07:40 PMB64-2Bregman doubled to left, Busch to third.
04:10:28 PMB64-2Happ walked.
04:13:15 PMB64-2Mlodzinski relieved Chandler
04:15:15 PMB64-3Hoerner grounded out to second, Busch scored, Happ to second, Bregman to third.
04:16:41 PMB64-3Conforto intentionally walked.
04:18:31 PMB64-3Ramirez flied out to right.
04:21:54 PMT74-3Griffin lined out to pitcher.
04:23:51 PMT74-3Cruz walked.
04:27:00 PMT74-3Reynolds flied out to center.
04:28:38 PMT74-3Flores Jr. struck out swinging.
04:31:18 PMB74-3Amaya grounded out to shortstop.
04:32:34 PMB74-3Crow-Armstrong fouled out to catcher.
04:34:39 PMB74-3Suzuki walked. Chicago Cubs challenged: call on the field was overturned.
04:37:18 PMB74-3Busch struck out swinging.
04:40:43 PMT84-3Gonzales struck out swinging.
04:43:10 PMT84-3Thielbar relieved Civale
04:44:28 PMT84-3O'Hearn grounded out to second.
04:46:20 PMT84-3Mangum doubled to left.
04:48:19 PMT84-3Lowe struck out swinging.
04:50:11 PMB84-3Gonzalez at third base.
04:50:11 PMB84-3Weaver relieved Mlodzinski
04:52:02 PMB84-3Bregman flied out to right.
04:53:36 PMB84-3Happ lined out to second.
04:54:16 PMB84-3Hoerner grounded out to shortstop.
04:57:11 PMT94-3Palencia relieved Thielbar
04:58:19 PMT94-3Davis grounded out to third.
04:59:07 PMT94-3Griffin grounded out to third.
05:01:21 PMT94-3Cruz walked. Chicago Cubs challenged: call on the field was upheld.
05:04:49 PMT94-3Reynolds struck out swinging.
05:06:52 PMB94-3Cook in right field.
05:06:52 PMB94-3Mangum in left field.
05:06:52 PMB94-3Shaw hit for Conforto
05:06:52 PMB94-3Montgomery relieved Weaver
05:07:40 PMB94-3Shaw flied out to right.
05:08:28 PMB94-3Ramirez grounded out to pitcher.
05:09:06 PMB94-3Kelly hit for Amaya
05:10:04 PMB94-3Kelly grounded out to second.