Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays · V1 (legacy)
Sep 13, 2026, 1:40 PM EST · final score 4-14 · duration 2h 39m · 93 plays · 637 snapshots · 5 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (3)
01:55:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi-2.0%partial_reversion
polymarket-3.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 0%
02:38:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.13
kalshi+0.0%choppy_indeterminate
Leader: kalshi
02:39:12 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.13
polymarket-0.9%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (93 real plays)
01:41:54 PMT10-0Peña popped out to second.
01:44:13 PMT10-0Alvarez struck out swinging.
01:45:59 PMT10-0Paredes grounded out to second.
01:48:33 PMB10-0Díaz singled to center.
01:51:12 PMB10-0Aranda struck out swinging.
01:53:33 PMB10-0Caminero doubled to left, Díaz to third.
01:54:38 PMB10-2Mesa Jr. tripled to right, Díaz scored and Caminero scored.
01:56:06 PMB10-3Simpson grounded out to pitcher, Mesa Jr. scored.
01:57:39 PMB10-3DeLuca struck out swinging.
02:01:41 PMT20-3Altuve fouled out to third.
02:02:40 PMT20-3Diaz struck out swinging.
02:05:01 PMT20-3Varsho popped out to third.
02:08:12 PMB20-3Palacios flied out to left.
02:10:00 PMB20-3Madrigal grounded out to shortstop.
02:11:42 PMB20-3Fortes walked.
02:12:34 PMB20-3Díaz grounded out to third.
02:17:44 PMT30-3Walker walked.
02:18:48 PMT30-3Smith flied out to left.
02:21:03 PMT30-3Trammell walked, Walker to second.
02:23:25 PMT30-3Peña struck out swinging.
02:25:09 PMT30-3Alvarez walked, Trammell to second, Walker to third.
02:27:28 PMT30-3Paredes grounded out to third.
02:31:28 PMB30-3Aranda walked.
02:32:15 PMB30-3Caminero flied out to right.
02:33:58 PMB30-3Mesa Jr. singled to right, Aranda to third.
02:36:05 PMB30-3Simpson grounded into fielder's choice to second, Mesa Jr. to second, Aranda out at home.
02:37:01 PMB30-4Mesa Jr. scored on error, DeLuca safe at first on fielding error by shortstop Peña, Simpson safe at third on error.
02:37:44 PMB30-7Palacios homered to right (357 feet), Simpson scored and DeLuca scored.
02:38:38 PMB30-7Madrigal singled to center.
02:42:34 PMB30-7Fortes flied out to left.
02:45:55 PMT40-7Altuve popped out to second.
02:46:40 PMT40-7Diaz lined out to right.
02:47:35 PMT40-7Varsho flied out to left.
02:49:15 PMB40-7De Los Santos relieved Wesneski
02:50:45 PMB40-7Díaz flied out to center.
02:53:29 PMB40-8Aranda homered to left (349 feet).
02:55:59 PMB40-8Caminero popped out to first.
02:56:37 PMB40-8Mesa Jr. doubled to left.
02:58:44 PMB40-9Simpson singled to center, Mesa Jr. scored.
03:00:14 PMB40-9DeLuca singled to right, Simpson to second.
03:00:40 PMB40-9Blanco relieved De Los Santos
03:03:27 PMB40-9Palacios popped out to shortstop.
03:07:54 PMT50-9Walker flied out to center.
03:09:12 PMT50-9Smith grounded out to second.
03:11:12 PMT50-9Trammell struck out swinging.
03:13:52 PMB50-9Madrigal singled to left.
03:14:45 PMB50-11Fortes homered to left (366 feet), Madrigal scored.
03:16:08 PMB50-11Díaz lined out to right.
03:18:07 PMB50-11Aranda struck out swinging.
03:19:34 PMB50-11Caminero grounded out to third.
03:20:17 PMT60-11Hopkins relieved Peralta
03:21:38 PMT60-11Allen hit for Peña
03:22:44 PMT60-11Allen walked.
03:23:18 PMT60-11Velázquez hit for Alvarez
03:25:24 PMT60-11Velázquez flied out to center.
03:27:03 PMT62-11Paredes homered to left (359 feet), Allen scored.
03:28:56 PMT62-11Altuve flied out to right.
03:30:25 PMT62-11Diaz struck out swinging.
03:32:47 PMB62-11Wade Jr. at first base.
03:32:55 PMB62-11Allen at shortstop.
03:32:55 PMB62-11Velázquez as designated hitter.
03:32:55 PMB62-11Wade Jr. at first base.
03:33:20 PMB62-11Mesa Jr. flied out to right.
03:34:34 PMB62-11Simpson lined out to shortstop.
03:35:25 PMB62-11DeLuca lined out to center.
03:37:02 PMT72-11Vilade at third base.
03:37:02 PMT72-11Sulser relieved Hopkins
03:39:03 PMT72-11Wade Jr. flied out to right.
03:40:06 PMT72-11Barrosa flied out to center.
03:41:52 PMT72-11Smith struck out swinging.
03:46:26 PMB72-11Palacios singled to center.
03:47:00 PMB72-11Madrigal lined out to third.
03:49:00 PMB72-11Palacios to second on wild pitch by Blanco.
03:49:48 PMB72-11Fortes popped out to first.
03:51:16 PMB72-12Díaz singled to center, Palacios scored.
03:52:51 PMB72-14Aranda homered to right center (415 feet), Díaz scored.
03:54:20 PMB72-14Vilade struck out looking.
03:55:16 PMT82-14Legumina relieved Sulser
03:59:07 PMT82-14Trammell struck out swinging.
03:59:38 PMT83-14Allen homered to left center (371 feet).
04:00:56 PMT84-14Velázquez homered to left center (439 feet).
04:03:27 PMT84-14Paredes walked.
04:04:30 PMT84-14Altuve grounded out to third, Paredes to second.
04:05:57 PMT84-14Diaz walked.
04:08:28 PMT84-14Wade Jr. grounded out to shortstop.
04:11:51 PMB84-14Mesa Jr. struck out swinging.
04:12:24 PMB84-14Simpson popped out to third.
04:13:35 PMB84-14DeLuca popped out to pitcher.
04:14:36 PMT94-14Matz relieved Legumina
04:16:24 PMT94-14Barrosa doubled to right.
04:17:17 PMT94-14Smith popped out to second.
04:17:57 PMT94-14Trammell grounded out to second, Barrosa to third.
04:19:10 PMT94-14Allen fouled out to first.