Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles · V1 (legacy)
Sep 3, 2026, 7:15 PM EST · final score 6-5 · duration 2h 37m · 87 plays · 627 snapshots · 15 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (7)
07:23:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi-5.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+1.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
07:29:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi+4.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
08:10:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.29
kalshi-11.0%partial_reversion
polymarket-10.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi (13s lag) · gap closed 100%
08:33:13 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.29
kalshi-4.0%sustained_move
polymarket-5.0%partial_reversion
Leader: polymarket
08:55:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-4.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-4.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (12s lag) · gap closed 0%
09:23:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi+0.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
09:24:14 PM · inning 8 (late) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
polymarket+1.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (87 real plays)
07:19:04 PMT10-0Anthony struck out swinging.
07:20:20 PMT10-0Gasper struck out swinging.
07:22:01 PMT11-0Rutschman homered to right center (377 feet).
07:24:38 PMT11-0Abreu flied out to center.
07:27:32 PMB11-0Alexander singled to left.
07:28:56 PMB11-0Mayo singled to right, Alexander to second.
07:29:46 PMB11-0Robert Jr. flied out to center, Mayo to second, Alexander to third.
07:31:02 PMB11-1Alonso hit sacrifice fly to center, Alexander scored, Mayo to third.
07:31:56 PMB11-1Henderson grounded out to second.
07:35:12 PMT21-1Sogard lined out to center.
07:36:51 PMT21-1Durbin grounded out to pitcher.
07:38:24 PMT21-1Duran struck out swinging.
07:41:52 PMB21-1Encarnacion-Strand reached on infield single to third.
07:43:48 PMB21-1Taveras struck out looking.
07:44:47 PMB21-1Beavers grounded into double play, first to shortstop, Encarnacion-Strand out at second.
07:47:27 PMT31-1White grounded out to shortstop.
07:48:50 PMT31-1Kiner-Falefa grounded out to first.
07:51:18 PMT31-1Anthony walked.
07:51:55 PMT31-1Gasper flied out to left.
07:55:44 PMB31-1Narváez grounded out to shortstop.
07:56:17 PMB31-1Alexander flied out to left.
07:57:47 PMB31-1Mayo struck out swinging.
08:00:48 PMT41-1Rutschman lined out to right.
08:01:40 PMT41-1Abreu flied out to center.
08:03:09 PMT41-1Sogard walked.
08:04:01 PMT41-1Durbin hit by pitch, Sogard to second.
08:06:01 PMT41-1Duran flied out to left.
08:09:03 PMB41-2Robert Jr. homered to left (387 feet).
08:10:53 PMB41-3Alonso homered to center (392 feet).
08:13:08 PMB41-3Henderson struck out swinging.
08:14:31 PMB41-3Encarnacion-Strand struck out swinging.
08:15:06 PMB41-3Taveras grounded out to third.
08:19:29 PMT51-3White grounded out to second.
08:20:20 PMT51-3Kiner-Falefa grounded out to third.
08:21:50 PMT51-3Anthony struck out swinging.
08:25:41 PMB51-3Beavers struck out swinging.
08:26:29 PMB51-3Narváez flied out to right.
08:27:59 PMB51-3Alexander struck out looking.
08:31:37 PMT61-3Gasper struck out swinging.
08:32:11 PMT62-3Rutschman homered to right center (389 feet).
08:34:27 PMT62-3Abreu struck out looking.
08:34:58 PMT62-3Sogard lined out to center.
08:39:03 PMB62-3Mayo flied out to right.
08:42:04 PMB62-3Robert Jr. struck out looking.
08:43:07 PMB62-3Alonso flied out to center.
08:46:13 PMT72-3Durbin lined out to third.
08:49:31 PMT72-3Duran struck out swinging.
08:50:13 PMT72-3White doubled to right.
08:53:38 PMT73-3Kiner-Falefa singled to right, White scored.
08:54:27 PMT73-3Wolfram relieved Young
08:58:19 PMT73-3Anthony struck out swinging.
08:59:46 PMB73-3Miller relieved Bennett
09:02:19 PMB73-3Henderson struck out looking.
09:05:04 PMB73-3Encarnacion-Strand walked.
09:07:03 PMB73-3Taveras struck out swinging.
09:09:29 PMB73-3Beavers walked, Encarnacion-Strand to second. Boston Red Sox challenged: call on the field was upheld.
09:11:04 PMB73-3Narváez flied out to center.
09:12:58 PMT83-3De León relieved Wolfram
09:13:34 PMT83-3Jones hit for Gasper
09:13:59 PMT83-3Jones singled to left.
09:16:40 PMT83-3Rutschman grounded into fielder's choice to third, Jones out at second, Rutschman safe at second on throwing error by second baseman Alexander.
09:18:33 PMT83-3Abreu struck out swinging.
09:21:14 PMT83-3Cano relieved De León
09:22:25 PMT85-3Sogard homered to right center (395 feet), Rutschman scored.
09:25:09 PMT85-3Durbin hit by pitch.
09:26:56 PMT85-3Durbin stole second.
09:29:05 PMT85-3Duran struck out swinging.
09:30:41 PMB85-3Monasterio at second base.
09:30:41 PMB85-3Sogard at first base.
09:30:41 PMB85-3Whitlock relieved Miller
09:32:54 PMB85-3Alexander struck out swinging.
09:33:17 PMB85-3Holliday hit for Mayo
09:35:22 PMB85-3Holliday struck out swinging.
09:36:02 PMB85-3Basallo hit for Robert Jr.
09:36:30 PMB85-3Basallo grounded out to first.
09:39:10 PMT95-3Holliday as designated hitter.
09:39:10 PMT95-3Cowser in center field.
09:39:10 PMT95-3Suárez relieved Cano
09:39:37 PMT95-3White grounded out to shortstop.
09:41:34 PMT95-3Kiner-Falefa grounded out to shortstop.
09:42:02 PMT96-3Anthony homered to left center (370 feet).
09:42:50 PMT96-3Monasterio grounded out to third.
09:44:17 PMB96-3Chapman relieved Whitlock
09:47:17 PMB96-3Alonso struck out swinging.
09:48:13 PMB96-3Henderson singled to left.
09:49:09 PMB96-5Encarnacion-Strand homered to left center (385 feet), Henderson scored.
09:50:09 PMB96-5Taveras flied out to center.