Detroit Tigers @ Toronto Blue Jays · V1 (legacy)
Sep 14, 2026, 7:07 PM EST · final score 6-5 · duration 3h 6m · 95 plays · 743 snapshots · 20 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (9)
07:24:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.15
kalshi+7.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
07:25:13 PM · inning 1 (early) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.15
polymarket+10.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
09:08:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.20
kalshi-5.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-2.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket (-49s lag) · gap closed 99%
09:18:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.20
kalshi+14.5%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
09:28:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi+14.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+11.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 100%
09:33:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-14.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-16.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket (-91s lag) · gap closed 0%
09:39:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-16.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
09:44:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+5.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket+6.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket (-50s lag) · gap closed 83%
09:57:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-7.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
Play-by-play (95 real plays)
07:08:55 PMT10-0McGonigle grounded out to shortstop.
07:09:58 PMT10-0Torres grounded out to third.
07:11:29 PMT10-0Greene struck out swinging.
07:14:35 PMB10-0Bateman singled to left.
07:16:53 PMB10-0Springer walked, Bateman to second. Detroit Tigers challenged: call on the field was upheld.
07:19:35 PMB10-0Guerrero Jr. grounded out to second, Springer to second, Bateman to third.
07:22:53 PMB10-1Kirk singled to left, Bateman scored, Springer to third.
07:23:43 PMB10-2Springer scored on Melton wild pitch, Kirk to second.
07:25:21 PMB10-2Lukes grounded out to shortstop, Kirk to third.
07:25:59 PMB10-2Okamoto flied out to center.
07:29:45 PMT20-2Dingler struck out swinging.
07:31:05 PMT20-2Callahan grounded out to catcher.
07:32:00 PMT20-2Clark grounded out to second.
07:34:37 PMB20-2Giménez singled to right.
07:37:18 PMB20-2Smith struck out swinging.
07:38:05 PMB20-2Clement reached on infield single to third, Giménez to second.
07:40:31 PMB20-2Bateman struck out looking.
07:43:18 PMB20-2Springer walked, Clement to second, Giménez to third.
07:44:37 PMB20-2Guerrero Jr. grounded out to shortstop.
07:48:12 PMT30-2Torkelson struck out swinging.
07:49:10 PMT30-2McKinstry grounded out to second.
07:51:28 PMT30-2Lee struck out looking.
07:56:02 PMB30-2Kirk walked.
07:56:59 PMB30-2Lukes doubled to right, Kirk to third.
07:58:13 PMB30-2Okamoto grounded out to shortstop.
08:00:36 PMB30-2Giménez struck out swinging.
08:03:25 PMB30-2Smith walked.
08:06:41 PMB30-2Brieske relieved Melton
08:07:20 PMB30-2Clement grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Smith out at second.
08:11:12 PMT40-2McGonigle flied out to left.
08:11:51 PMT40-2Torres grounded out to third.
08:12:19 PMT40-2Greene grounded out to first.
08:16:07 PMB40-2Bateman grounded out to second.
08:20:07 PMB40-2Springer flied out to shortstop.
08:22:30 PMB40-2Guerrero Jr. walked. Toronto Blue Jays challenged: call on the field was overturned.
08:25:12 PMB40-2Kirk grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Guerrero Jr. out at second.
08:28:20 PMT50-2Dingler grounded out to third.
08:29:43 PMT50-2Callahan lined out to pitcher.
08:31:39 PMT50-2Clark grounded out to second.
08:36:52 PMB50-2Lukes struck out swinging.
08:38:53 PMB50-2Okamoto struck out swinging.
08:41:30 PMB50-2Holton relieved Brieske
08:42:36 PMB50-2Giménez grounded out to second.
08:45:27 PMT60-2Torkelson struck out swinging.
08:47:13 PMT60-2McKinstry walked.
08:48:41 PMT60-2Lee flied out to right.
08:49:55 PMT60-2McGonigle grounded out to catcher.
08:51:58 PMB60-2Straw hit for Smith
08:53:57 PMB60-2Straw lined out to center.
08:55:04 PMB60-2Clement flied out to center.
08:55:55 PMB60-2Bateman bunt grounded out to pitcher.
08:57:17 PMT70-2Straw in left field.
08:58:42 PMT70-2Torres singled to center.
09:01:58 PMT70-2Greene singled to center, Torres to third.
09:02:42 PMT71-2Dingler singled to left, Torres scored, Greene to second.
09:05:21 PMT71-2Callahan flied out to left.
09:06:49 PMT73-2Clark doubled to left, Dingler scored and Greene scored.
09:07:42 PMT74-2Torkelson doubled to left, Clark scored.
09:08:40 PMT74-2Sewald relieved Soriano
09:12:16 PMT74-2McKinstry popped out to third.
09:12:51 PMT74-2Lee lined out to left.
09:14:25 PMB74-2Finnegan relieved Holton
09:17:41 PMB74-2Springer reached on infield single to shortstop.
09:18:19 PMB74-2Guerrero Jr. flied out to center.
09:20:39 PMB74-2Kirk singled to center, Springer to second.
09:24:37 PMB74-2Lukes flied out to left.
09:26:36 PMB74-5Okamoto homered to left (390 feet), Springer scored and Kirk scored.
09:28:23 PMB74-5Giménez struck out swinging.
09:29:31 PMT84-5Mantiply relieved Sewald
09:31:24 PMT84-5McGonigle singled to right.
09:34:30 PMT84-5Torres flied out to center.
09:38:04 PMT84-5Greene singled to right, McGonigle to third.
09:38:57 PMT84-5Varland relieved Mantiply
09:41:45 PMT84-5Dingler struck out swinging.
09:42:48 PMT85-5Callahan singled to left, McGonigle scored, Greene to second.
09:43:38 PMT85-5Clark grounded out to third.
09:45:48 PMB85-5Kinley relieved Finnegan
09:47:11 PMB85-5Straw grounded out to shortstop.
09:47:56 PMB85-5Clement flied out to left.
09:49:51 PMB85-5Bateman grounded out to second.
09:53:29 PMT95-5Torkelson walked.
09:54:49 PMT95-5McKinstry bunted into fielder's choice to first, Torkelson out at second.
09:55:15 PMT95-5McKinstry stole second.
09:56:46 PMT96-5McKinstry scored on error, Lee safe at first on error by pitcher Varland.
09:57:23 PMT96-5McGonigle singled to right, Lee to second.
09:59:33 PMT96-5Torres struck out swinging.
10:01:32 PMT96-5Greene lined out to center.
10:03:39 PMB96-5McGonigle at third base.
10:03:39 PMB96-5Peck at shortstop.
10:03:39 PMB96-5Lee at second base.
10:03:39 PMB96-5Jansen relieved Kinley
10:07:21 PMB96-5Springer walked.
10:07:41 PMB96-5McAdoo ran for Springer
10:10:12 PMB96-5Guerrero Jr. struck out looking.
10:12:36 PMB96-5Kirk grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, McAdoo out at second.