Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds · V1 (legacy)
Sep 4, 2026, 6:10 PM EST · final score 10-7 · duration 4h 3m · 102 plays · 974 snapshots · 23 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (12)
07:22:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi+10.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
07:23:15 PM · inning 2 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
polymarket+11.0%partial_reversion
Leader: polymarket
07:25:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_TRIPLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
kalshi-7.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
07:34:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
kalshi+5.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+2.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (15s lag)
07:47:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi-4.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
07:48:42 PM · inning 3 (early) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
polymarket-4.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
08:03:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 3 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi+2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
08:28:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+8.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
08:29:15 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket+12.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
08:33:14 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.29
kalshi-13.5%partial_reversion
polymarket-13.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket (-46s lag) · gap closed 100%
08:41:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_TRIPLE · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.11
kalshi+1.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
08:42:11 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_TRIPLE · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.11
polymarket-1.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (102 real plays)
07:03:12 PMT10-0Frelick flied out to left.
07:04:20 PMT10-0Bauers walked.
07:07:12 PMT10-0Chourio grounded out to second, Bauers to second.
07:08:02 PMT10-0Yelich struck out swinging.
07:11:07 PMB10-0Myers reached on infield single to shortstop.
07:11:42 PMB10-0Myers stole second.
07:14:09 PMB10-1De La Cruz singled to left, Myers scored.
07:14:36 PMB10-1Stewart lined out to right.
07:16:14 PMB10-1Stephenson grounded into double play, third to second to first, De La Cruz out at second.
07:19:50 PMT20-1Contreras flied out to right.
07:20:30 PMT20-1Turang singled to center.
07:22:01 PMT20-1Mitchell doubled to right, Turang to third.
07:23:12 PMT21-1Pratt grounded out to second, Turang scored, Mitchell to third.
07:25:00 PMT22-1Hamilton tripled to right, Mitchell scored.
07:26:01 PMT22-1Frelick flied out to center.
07:29:17 PMB22-1Suárez walked.
07:31:03 PMB22-1Bleday flied out to center.
07:32:53 PMB22-3McLain homered to left center (391 feet), Suárez scored.
07:34:43 PMB22-3Rodríguez struck out swinging.
07:36:15 PMB22-3Arroyo grounded out to third.
07:39:18 PMT32-3Bauers walked.
07:41:32 PMT32-3Chourio grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Bauers out at second.
07:44:17 PMT32-3Yelich grounded out to first, Chourio to second.
07:45:34 PMT32-3Contreras walked.
07:47:00 PMT34-3Turang doubled to right, Contreras scored and Chourio scored.
07:48:45 PMT34-3Mitchell flied out to second.
07:51:49 PMB34-3Myers struck out swinging.
07:55:48 PMB34-3De La Cruz singled to left.
07:56:55 PMB34-3Stewart flied out to center.
07:58:49 PMB34-3Stephenson walked, De La Cruz to second.
08:01:31 PMB34-6Suárez homered to center (408 feet), De La Cruz scored and Stephenson scored.
08:03:57 PMB34-6Bleday struck out swinging.
08:06:36 PMT44-6Pratt lined out to first.
08:08:07 PMT44-6Hamilton singled to left.
08:10:51 PMT44-6Frelick flied out to center.
08:11:31 PMT44-6Hamilton stole second.
08:14:38 PMT44-6Bauers struck out swinging.
08:17:07 PMB44-6McLain grounded out to first.
08:19:01 PMB44-6Rodríguez struck out swinging.
08:20:52 PMB44-6Arroyo struck out swinging.
08:23:39 PMT54-6Chourio singled to right.
08:26:09 PMT54-6Yelich walked, Chourio to second.
08:27:56 PMT54-6Contreras grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Yelich safe at second on fielding error by shortstop De La Cruz, Chourio to third.
08:30:28 PMT54-6Moll relieved Lowder
08:32:38 PMT55-6Turang hit by pitch, Chourio scored, Contreras to second, Yelich to third.
08:34:28 PMT55-6Lara hit for Mitchell
08:36:48 PMT55-6Lara struck out looking. Milwaukee Brewers challenged: call on the field was upheld.
08:40:28 PMT58-6Pratt tripled to right, Yelich scored, Contreras scored and Turang scored.
08:40:40 PMT59-6Pratt scored on Moll wild pitch.
08:42:11 PMT59-6Hamilton struck out swinging.
08:43:07 PMT59-6Frelick grounded out to second.
08:45:33 PMB59-6Lara in center field.
08:45:33 PMB59-6Patrick relieved Drohan
08:46:58 PMB59-6Myers grounded out to third.
08:47:53 PMB59-6De La Cruz singled to center.
08:49:54 PMB59-6Stewart flied out to left.
08:52:24 PMB59-6Stephenson struck out swinging.
08:53:51 PMT69-6Mey relieved Moll
08:54:58 PMT69-6Bauers singled to left.
08:56:11 PMT69-6Bauers to second on a balk.
08:57:12 PMT69-6Chourio struck out swinging.
08:58:15 PMT69-6Yelich grounded out to shortstop, Bauers to third.
09:00:25 PMT610-6Contreras doubled to left, Bauers scored.
09:02:32 PMT610-6Turang singled to left, Contreras to third.
09:05:10 PMT610-6Lara struck out looking.
09:09:23 PMB610-6Suárez popped out to second.
09:11:10 PMB610-6Bleday walked.
09:12:14 PMB610-6McLain flied out to center.
09:15:44 PMB610-6Rodríguez walked, Bleday to second.
09:16:40 PMB610-6Jorge hit for Arroyo
09:17:59 PMB610-6Jorge flied out to left.
09:19:57 PMT710-6Brito at third base.
09:19:57 PMT710-6P. Johnson relieved Mey
09:21:40 PMT710-6Pratt struck out swinging.
09:23:20 PMT710-6Hamilton flied out to left.
09:25:35 PMT710-6Frelick doubled to right.
09:26:19 PMT710-6Bauers flied out to center.
09:27:36 PMB710-6Senzatela relieved Patrick
09:30:54 PMB710-6Myers doubled to left.
09:33:52 PMB710-6De La Cruz grounded out to second, Myers to third.
09:34:35 PMB710-7Stewart singled to right, Myers scored.
09:35:18 PMB710-7Stephenson grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Stewart out at second.
09:36:45 PMT810-7Antone relieved P. Johnson
09:38:51 PMT810-7Chourio struck out swinging.
09:40:14 PMT810-7Yelich singled to left.
09:42:03 PMT810-7Contreras struck out swinging.
09:43:50 PMT810-7Turang struck out swinging.
09:45:51 PMB810-7Ashby relieved Senzatela
09:47:19 PMB810-7Suárez flied out to center.
09:49:51 PMB810-7Bleday walked.
09:52:01 PMB810-7McLain struck out looking.
09:53:35 PMB810-7Rodríguez struck out swinging.
09:55:55 PMT910-7Garcia relieved Antone
09:57:20 PMT910-7Lara grounded out to shortstop.
09:59:20 PMT910-7Pratt walked. Milwaukee Brewers challenged: call on the field was overturned.
10:00:16 PMT910-7Pratt stole second.
10:01:18 PMT910-7Hamilton struck out swinging.
10:02:08 PMT910-7Frelick grounded out to first.
10:04:00 PMB910-7Ortiz at third base.
10:04:00 PMB910-7Megill relieved Ashby
10:07:27 PMB910-7Brito struck out swinging.
10:10:32 PMB910-7Myers struck out swinging.