St. Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies · V1 (legacy)
Sep 4, 2026, 8:40 PM EST · final score 7-6 · duration 2h 51m · 103 plays · 683 snapshots · 21 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (11)
09:04:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi-11.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket-12.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (28s lag) · gap closed 100%
09:11:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_TRIPLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi+11.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
09:46:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+6.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
09:54:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-3.5%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-7.0%partial_reversion
Leader: polymarket (-46s lag) · gap closed 80%
10:22:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.29
kalshi-5.0%partial_reversion
polymarket-4.5%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 100%
10:31:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-8.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
10:32:14 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarket-8.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
10:49:14 PM · inning 7 (late) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.20
kalshi+2.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+2.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
11:22:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi+9.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
11:27:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+6.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
11:28:13 PM · inning 9 (final) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
polymarketn/achoppy_indeterminate
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (103 real plays)
08:40:31 PMT10-0Torres flied out to right.
08:41:58 PMT10-0Herrera struck out swinging.
08:43:50 PMT10-0Burleson popped out to third.
08:46:57 PMB10-0McCarthy walked.
08:48:35 PMB10-0McCarthy stole second.
08:49:11 PMB10-0Moniak grounded out to first, McCarthy to third.
08:50:57 PMB10-1Goodman hit sacrifice fly to left, McCarthy scored.
08:53:06 PMB10-1Rumfield grounded out to first.
08:55:23 PMT20-1Walker singled to center.
08:56:47 PMT20-1Walker stole second.
08:57:26 PMT20-1Bernal walked.
08:58:48 PMT20-1Báez grounded into fielder's choice to third, Bernal to second, Walker out at third.
09:00:16 PMT21-1Gorman singled to right, Bernal scored, Báez to second.
09:03:57 PMT22-1Saggese doubled to center, Báez scored, Gorman to third.
09:05:01 PMT22-1Church flied out to left.
09:08:04 PMT22-1Torres struck out looking.
09:10:55 PMB22-1Carrigg tripled to right.
09:12:03 PMB22-1Norby grounded out to third.
09:14:48 PMB22-1Johnston walked.
09:16:03 PMB22-1Amador hit sacrifice bunt to pitcher, Johnston to second.
09:17:30 PMB22-1Veen grounded out to third.
09:20:12 PMT32-1Herrera grounded out to second.
09:21:29 PMT32-1Burleson struck out swinging.
09:22:48 PMT32-1Walker struck out looking.
09:25:06 PMB32-1McCarthy flied out to center.
09:26:47 PMB32-1Moniak grounded out to second.
09:29:11 PMB32-1Goodman walked.
09:31:03 PMB32-1Rumfield walked, Goodman to second.
09:32:25 PMB32-1Carrigg grounded out to second.
09:35:58 PMT42-1Bernal walked.
09:37:13 PMT42-1Báez struck out swinging.
09:38:54 PMT42-1Gorman flied out to center.
09:40:22 PMT42-1Saggese flied out to second.
09:43:44 PMB42-1Norby singled to left.
09:45:03 PMB42-1Johnston grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Norby out at second.
09:45:35 PMB42-1Amador popped out to third.
09:49:10 PMT52-1Church singled to right.
09:50:37 PMT52-1Church stole second.
09:51:59 PMT52-1Torres walked.
09:52:36 PMT52-1Herrera grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Torres safe at second on fielding error by shortstop Carrigg, Church to third.
09:54:05 PMT53-1Burleson reached on infield single to shortstop, Church scored, Herrera to second, Torres to third.
09:56:05 PMT54-1Walker sacrificed into double play, center to first to third to second, Torres scored, Herrera thrown out at second.
09:57:21 PMT54-1Bernal doubled to center, Burleson to third.
10:00:02 PMT54-1Báez grounded out to third.
10:04:43 PMB54-1Veen struck out swinging.
10:06:26 PMB54-1McCarthy lined out to left.
10:07:38 PMB54-1Moniak grounded out to first.
10:10:28 PMT64-1Manfredi relieved Feltner
10:10:37 PMT64-1Gorman grounded out to second.
10:12:57 PMT64-1Saggese struck out swinging.
10:13:52 PMT64-1Church grounded out to shortstop.
10:15:00 PMB64-1Rincón relieved Pallante
10:17:18 PMB64-1Goodman lined out to second.
10:18:05 PMB64-1Rumfield tripled to right. St Louis Cardinals challenged: call on the field was upheld.
10:20:08 PMB64-2Rumfield scored on Rincón wild pitch.
10:21:52 PMB64-3Carrigg homered to center (428 feet).
10:23:47 PMB64-3Norby singled to left.
10:27:32 PMB64-3Bruihl relieved Rincón
10:30:06 PMB64-3Johnston doubled to right, Norby to third.
10:30:50 PMB64-4Amador singled to right, Norby scored, Johnston to third.
10:32:23 PMB64-5Veen hit sacrifice bunt, Johnston scored, Amador to second.
10:33:29 PMB64-5McCarthy grounded into fielder's choice to second, Veen out at second, Amador to third.
10:34:59 PMB64-5Moniak grounded out to second.
10:37:11 PMT74-5Fermín hit for Torres
10:37:40 PMT74-5Fermín grounded out to shortstop.
10:40:44 PMT74-5Herrera grounded out to second.
10:43:20 PMT74-5Burleson struck out swinging.
10:44:18 PMB74-5Fermín at second base.
10:47:01 PMB74-5Goodman flied out to center.
10:48:24 PMB74-6Rumfield homered to right center (441 feet).
10:51:03 PMB74-6Winquest relieved Bruihl
10:52:34 PMB74-6Carrigg grounded out to second.
10:53:03 PMB74-6Norby lined out to right.
10:55:36 PMT84-6McCarthy in left field.
10:55:36 PMT84-6Carrigg in center field.
10:55:36 PMT84-6Tovar at shortstop.
10:55:36 PMT84-6Herget relieved Manfredi
10:56:15 PMT84-6Walker grounded out to shortstop.
10:57:09 PMT84-6Bernal flied out to center.
10:58:28 PMT84-6Báez singled to center.
10:59:05 PMT84-6Bernardino relieved Herget
11:01:13 PMT84-6Urías hit for Gorman
11:02:37 PMT84-6Urías flied out to right.
11:04:47 PMB84-6Urías at third base.
11:06:31 PMB84-6Johnston grounded out to second.
11:07:03 PMB84-6Amador flied out to second.
11:07:56 PMB84-6Tovar reached on infield single to shortstop.
11:10:32 PMB84-6McCarthy struck out looking.
11:11:39 PMT94-6Romano relieved Bernardino
11:15:02 PMT94-6Saggese walked.
11:15:46 PMT94-6Church fouled out to left.
11:16:19 PMT94-6Saggese stole second. Colorado Rockies challenged: call on the field was upheld.
11:18:23 PMT94-6Fermín safe at first on throwing error by third baseman Norby, Fermín safe at second on error, Saggese safe at third on error.
11:20:25 PMT97-6Herrera homered to center (430 feet), Saggese scored and Fermín scored.
11:22:17 PMT97-6Burleson fouled out to first.
11:23:13 PMT97-6Walker grounded out to shortstop.
11:24:51 PMB97-6Scott II in left field.
11:24:51 PMB97-6O'Brien relieved Winquest
11:25:54 PMB97-6Moniak struck out swinging.
11:27:45 PMB97-6Goodman grounded out to second.
11:28:22 PMB97-6Rumfield singled to center.
11:28:50 PMB97-6Ritter ran for Rumfield
11:28:50 PMB97-6Ritter to second on pickoff error by pitcher O'Brien.