Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros · V1 (legacy)
Sep 6, 2026, 2:10 PM EST · final score 3-2 · duration 2h 54m · 94 plays · 697 snapshots · 11 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (6)
02:24:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi-2.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
03:02:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi+2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
03:03:13 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
polymarket-4.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
04:38:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-15.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
04:41:00 PM · inning 8 (late) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.34
kalshi+24.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
05:03:14 PM · inning 9 (final) · 3 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.40
polymarketn/achoppy_indeterminate
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (94 real plays)
02:11:24 PMT10-0Perdomo hit by pitch. Arizona Diamondbacks challenged: call on the field was overturned.
02:14:14 PMT10-0Marte flied out to left.
02:15:23 PMT10-0Moreno fouled out to right.
02:18:24 PMT10-0Arenado grounded out to pitcher.
02:21:25 PMB10-0Peña grounded out to pitcher.
02:22:59 PMB10-1Alvarez homered to right (337 feet).
02:24:26 PMB10-1Paredes hit by pitch.
02:25:53 PMB10-1Altuve lined out to left.
02:29:36 PMB10-1Walker walked, Paredes to second.
02:31:29 PMB10-1Velázquez struck out swinging.
02:34:41 PMT20-1Carroll doubled to center.
02:35:37 PMT20-1Troy hit sacrifice bunt to pitcher, Carroll to third.
02:38:45 PMT21-1McCann hit sacrifice fly to left, Carroll scored.
02:39:19 PMT21-1Vargas singled to center.
02:41:56 PMT21-1Lawlar lined out to third.
02:45:35 PMB21-1Varsho walked.
02:47:07 PMB21-1Smith struck out swinging.
02:48:44 PMB21-1Vázquez lined out to left.
02:49:19 PMB21-1Varsho stole second.
02:50:16 PMB21-1Peña flied out to center.
02:52:50 PMT31-1Perdomo singled to right.
02:54:58 PMT31-1Marte reached on infield single to second, Perdomo hit by batted ball out at second.
02:58:45 PMT31-1Moreno popped out to third.
03:00:44 PMT33-1Arenado homered to left center (385 feet), Marte scored.
03:02:46 PMT33-1Carroll singled to right.
03:04:31 PMT33-1Troy struck out swinging.
03:06:59 PMB33-1Tawa at first base.
03:06:59 PMB33-1Vargas at shortstop.
03:09:16 PMB33-1Alvarez lined out to second.
03:10:37 PMB33-1Paredes struck out swinging.
03:11:58 PMB33-1Altuve singled to left.
03:12:32 PMB33-1Walker flied out to right.
03:15:21 PMT43-1McCann struck out looking.
03:16:45 PMT43-1Vargas flied out to right.
03:17:59 PMT43-1Lawlar struck out swinging.
03:20:25 PMB43-1Velázquez popped out to first.
03:22:41 PMB43-1Varsho flied out to left.
03:24:23 PMB43-1Smith struck out swinging.
03:27:54 PMT53-1Tawa struck out swinging.
03:30:41 PMT53-1Marte struck out swinging.
03:32:02 PMT53-1Moreno flied out to second.
03:35:30 PMB53-1Vázquez grounded out to second.
03:36:27 PMB53-1Peña flied out to right.
03:37:41 PMB53-1Alvarez grounded out to second.
03:40:33 PMT63-1Arenado struck out looking.
03:41:17 PMT63-1Carroll flied out to center.
03:41:47 PMT63-1Troy flied out to shortstop.
03:45:06 PMB63-1Paredes popped out to second.
03:47:15 PMB63-1Altuve singled to left.
03:50:42 PMB63-1Walker struck out looking. Arizona Diamondbacks challenged: call on the field was overturned.
03:52:46 PMB63-1Velázquez struck out swinging.
03:56:05 PMT73-1McCann lined out to left.
03:57:53 PMT73-1Vargas popped out to shortstop.
03:58:55 PMT73-1Lawlar hit by pitch.
04:02:05 PMT73-1Tawa singled to center, Lawlar to third.
04:04:16 PMT73-1Marte lined out to right.
04:07:33 PMB73-1Morillo relieved Rodriguez
04:09:07 PMB73-1Varsho flied out to center.
04:10:46 PMB73-1Smith struck out looking. Arizona Diamondbacks challenged: call on the field was overturned.
04:11:39 PMB73-1Vázquez singled to center.
04:13:27 PMB73-1Peña hit by pitch, Vázquez to second.
04:17:59 PMB73-1Garcia relieved Morillo
04:18:59 PMB73-1Alvarez fouled out to first.
04:21:15 PMT83-1Ullola relieved Lambert
04:24:22 PMT83-1Moreno doubled to center.
04:25:43 PMT83-1Arenado flied out to right.
04:28:10 PMT83-1Carroll flied out to center, Moreno to third.
04:28:28 PMT83-1Nootbaar hit for Troy
04:30:31 PMT83-1Nootbaar struck out swinging.
04:32:42 PMB83-1Waldschmidt in left field.
04:32:42 PMB83-1Loaisiga relieved Garcia
04:35:02 PMB83-1Paredes struck out swinging.
04:36:23 PMB83-1Altuve doubled to left.
04:37:24 PMB83-1Walker singled to left, Altuve to third.
04:38:44 PMB83-1Wade Jr. hit for Velázquez
04:40:56 PMB83-2Wade Jr. singled to left, Altuve scored, Walker to second.
04:42:40 PMB83-2Allen ran for Walker
04:42:40 PMB83-2Meyers ran for Wade Jr.
04:43:57 PMB83-2Varsho struck out swinging.
04:45:20 PMB83-2Trammell hit for Smith
04:45:20 PMB83-2Trammell flied out to second.
04:47:43 PMT93-2Paredes at first base.
04:47:43 PMT93-2Allen at third base.
04:47:43 PMT93-2Meyers in left field.
04:47:43 PMT93-2Trammell in right field.
04:47:43 PMT93-2Abreu relieved Ullola
04:49:21 PMT93-2McCann singled to left.
04:51:29 PMT93-2Vargas flied out to right.
04:54:05 PMT93-2Lawlar struck out swinging.
04:55:16 PMT93-2Tawa flied out to center.
04:58:05 PMB93-2Ginkel relieved Loaisiga
04:58:11 PMB93-2Diaz hit for Vázquez
05:00:12 PMB93-2Diaz struck out swinging.
05:02:32 PMB93-2Peña struck out swinging.