Miami Marlins @ Kansas City Royals · V1 (legacy)
Sep 1, 2026, 7:40 PM EST · final score 6-3 · duration 2h 23m · 84 plays · 572 snapshots · 3 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (1)
07:59:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
kalshi+3.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+3.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi (12s lag)
Play-by-play (84 real plays)
07:41:47 PMT10-0Stowers struck out swinging.
07:42:53 PMT10-0Conine struck out swinging.
07:44:11 PMT10-0Hernández walked.
07:45:01 PMT10-0Marsee lined out to right.
07:47:46 PMB10-0Jensen singled to right.
07:49:52 PMB10-0Witt Jr. grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Jensen out at second.
07:50:56 PMB10-0Caglianone struck out swinging.
07:53:34 PMT20-0Caissie reached on infield single to second.
07:54:36 PMT20-0Lopez flied out to center.
07:56:22 PMT20-0Mack struck out swinging.
07:57:44 PMT22-0Pauley homered to right (391 feet), Caissie scored.
07:59:26 PMT22-0Sanoja singled to left.
08:01:07 PMT22-0Stowers struck out swinging.
08:04:22 PMB22-0Perez grounded out to first.
08:05:11 PMB22-0Pasquantino flied out to left.
08:07:04 PMB22-0Loftin struck out looking. Miami Marlins challenged: call on the field was overturned.
08:10:40 PMT32-0Conine walked.
08:12:11 PMT32-0Hernández struck out swinging.
08:13:06 PMT32-0Marsee lined out to second.
08:17:17 PMB32-0Rojas grounded out to shortstop.
08:19:27 PMB32-0Collins grounded out to pitcher.
08:20:20 PMB32-0Isbel grounded out to first.
08:24:44 PMT42-0Caissie flied out to left.
08:25:49 PMT42-0Lopez grounded out to third.
08:26:49 PMT42-0Mack grounded out to second.
08:29:54 PMB42-0Jensen flied out to right.
08:31:20 PMB42-0Witt Jr. struck out swinging.
08:32:57 PMB42-0Caglianone walked.
08:33:58 PMB42-0Caglianone to second on wild pitch by Phillips.
08:34:49 PMB42-0Perez flied out to right.
08:37:29 PMT52-0Pauley grounded out to first.
08:39:02 PMT52-0Sanoja flied out to center.
08:40:04 PMT53-0Stowers homered to right (412 feet).
08:40:44 PMT53-0Conine lined out to center.
08:44:07 PMB53-0Pasquantino walked.
08:46:23 PMB53-0Loftin flied out to center.
08:47:24 PMB53-0Rojas flied out to right.
08:49:21 PMB53-0Collins struck out swinging.
08:52:29 PMT63-0Hernández struck out swinging.
08:54:30 PMT63-0Marsee grounded out to second.
08:55:20 PMT63-0Caissie grounded out to second.
08:56:55 PMB63-0Faucher relieved Phillips
09:00:29 PMB63-0Isbel lined out to third.
09:02:07 PMB63-0Jensen grounded out to second.
09:03:39 PMB63-0Witt Jr. singled to center.
09:04:27 PMB63-0Witt Jr. stole second, Witt Jr. safe at third on throwing error by catcher Mack.
09:05:08 PMB63-0Caglianone grounded out to first.
09:07:32 PMT73-0Lopez singled to left.
09:08:50 PMT73-0Mack singled to right, Lopez to third.
09:10:12 PMT75-0Pauley tripled to right, Lopez scored and Mack scored.
09:12:53 PMT75-0Gose relieved Dobnak
09:13:31 PMT76-0Sanoja singled to left, Pauley scored.
09:15:30 PMT76-0Sanoja to second on wild pitch by Gose.
09:16:31 PMT76-0Stowers popped out to shortstop.
09:18:10 PMT76-0Conine grounded out to third.
09:18:59 PMT76-0Hernández lined out to left.
09:20:26 PMB76-0Vodnik relieved Faucher
09:22:11 PMB76-0Perez flied out to right.
09:23:13 PMB76-0Pasquantino struck out swinging.
09:24:26 PMB76-0Loftin struck out looking.
09:25:31 PMT86-0Hoffman relieved Gose
09:28:19 PMT86-0Marsee hit by pitch.
09:32:18 PMT86-0Caissie struck out swinging.
09:33:47 PMT86-0Serna hit for Lopez
09:33:47 PMT86-0Serna grounded into double play, pitcher to second to first, Marsee out at second.
09:35:59 PMB86-0Serna at second base.
09:35:59 PMB86-0Navarreto catching.
09:35:59 PMB86-0Sanoja at shortstop.
09:36:12 PMB86-0Rojas singled to right.
09:37:32 PMB86-0Collins walked, Rojas to second.
09:40:57 PMB86-0Isbel flied out to center, Rojas to third.
09:42:26 PMB86-1Jensen doubled to left, Rojas scored, Collins to third.
09:43:19 PMB86-2Witt Jr. hit sacrifice fly to left, Collins scored, Jensen to third.
09:47:36 PMB86-2Caglianone flied out to left.
09:48:49 PMT96-2McGee relieved Hoffman
09:51:51 PMT96-2Navarreto fouled out to catcher.
09:54:37 PMT96-2Pauley struck out swinging.
09:55:15 PMT96-2Sanoja lined out to shortstop.
09:57:40 PMB96-2Zuber relieved Vodnik
09:58:25 PMB96-2Perez grounded out to second.
09:59:12 PMB96-2Pasquantino popped out to shortstop.
10:00:23 PMB96-3Loftin homered to left (413 feet).
10:01:05 PMB96-3Rojas singled to right.
10:02:35 PMB96-3Rojas to second on fielder's indifference.