Athletics @ Seattle Mariners · V1 (legacy)
Sep 3, 2026, 9:40 PM EST · final score 7-4 · duration 3h 26m · 105 plays · 823 snapshots · 26 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (12)
09:57:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_real_event · leverage 0.90
kalshi-7.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
09:58:10 PM · inning 1 (early) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
polymarket+1.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
10:14:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.15
kalshi-11.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-7.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (32s lag)
10:20:12 PM · inning 2 (early) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.25
polymarket-3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
11:16:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-3.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
11:33:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.17
kalshi+4.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
11:43:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.17
kalshi+8.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+7.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (14s lag)
11:49:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.29
kalshi-4.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (14s lag)
12:09:14 AM · inning 7 (late) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.34
polymarket-1.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: polymarket
12:16:00 AM · inning 8 (late) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.34
kalshi+9.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+9.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (17s lag)
12:25:00 AM · inning 8 (late) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.20
kalshi-2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
12:26:15 AM · inning 8 (late) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.20
polymarket+4.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
Play-by-play (105 real plays)
09:43:17 PMT10-0Bolte grounded out to third.
09:43:50 PMT11-0Gelof homered to right center (388 feet).
09:45:49 PMT11-0Butler struck out swinging.
09:47:26 PMT11-0Heim grounded out to third.
09:51:21 PMB11-0Arozarena walked.
09:54:24 PMB11-0Canzone struck out swinging, Arozarena stole second.
09:57:19 PMB11-1Rodríguez doubled to center, Arozarena scored.
09:57:52 PMB11-2Raleigh singled to right, Rodríguez scored.
10:00:55 PMB11-2Naylor struck out swinging.
10:01:53 PMB11-2Young singled to right, Raleigh to third.
10:02:57 PMB11-3Montes singled to left, Raleigh scored, Young to second.
10:05:53 PMB11-3Crawford walked, Montes to second, Young to third.
10:07:58 PMB11-3Rodden struck out swinging.
10:11:52 PMT21-3McNeil walked.
10:12:42 PMT21-3Stefanic singled to left, McNeil to second.
10:13:55 PMT21-3Serven singled to right, Stefanic to second, McNeil to third.
10:15:09 PMT22-3Williams grounded into double play, third to second to first, McNeil scored, Serven out at second, Stefanic to third. Athletics challenged: call on the field was upheld.
10:19:12 PMT22-3Muncy struck out looking.
10:23:36 PMB22-3Arozarena hit by pitch. Seattle Mariners challenged: call on the field was overturned.
10:27:48 PMB22-3Canzone walked, Arozarena to second.
10:28:44 PMB22-3Rodríguez grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Canzone out at second, Arozarena to third.
10:29:32 PMB22-3Rodríguez stole second.
10:31:12 PMB22-3Raleigh struck out swinging.
10:33:22 PMB22-3Naylor grounded out to shortstop.
10:36:27 PMT32-3Bolte singled to center.
10:38:46 PMT32-3Gelof grounded into double play, third to second to first, Bolte out at second.
10:41:50 PMT32-3Butler singled to center.
10:43:59 PMT32-3Heim popped out to third.
10:47:51 PMB32-3Young struck out swinging.
10:49:35 PMB32-3Montes struck out swinging.
10:51:07 PMB32-3Crawford walked.
10:52:39 PMB32-3Rodden walked, Crawford to second.
10:54:43 PMB32-3Arozarena struck out swinging.
10:57:42 PMT42-3McNeil flied out to center.
10:58:51 PMT42-3Stefanic lined out to center.
11:00:05 PMT42-3Serven struck out swinging.
11:02:21 PMB42-3Blewett relieved Perkins
11:02:50 PMB42-3Canzone grounded out to second.
11:03:51 PMB42-3Rodríguez struck out swinging.
11:05:43 PMB42-3Raleigh struck out swinging.
11:09:10 PMT52-3Williams lined out to third.
11:10:19 PMT52-3Muncy popped out to first.
11:11:52 PMT52-3Bolte walked.
11:13:18 PMT52-3Gelof singled to left, Bolte to third.
11:15:11 PMT52-3Gelof stole second.
11:15:38 PMT54-3Butler singled to center, Bolte scored and Gelof scored.
11:16:35 PMT54-3Butler to second on wild pitch by Anderson.
11:17:27 PMT54-3Heim grounded out to shortstop.
11:20:51 PMB54-3Naylor struck out swinging.
11:23:15 PMB54-3Young singled to center.
11:24:01 PMB54-3Montes flied out to left.
11:24:36 PMB54-3Crawford singled to center, Young to second.
11:26:22 PMB54-3Rodden struck out swinging.
11:27:41 PMT64-3Vargas relieved Anderson
11:29:22 PMT64-3McNeil flied out to left.
11:29:50 PMT64-3Walton hit for Stefanic
11:31:43 PMT65-3Walton homered to right center (392 feet).
11:32:37 PMT65-3Serven hit by pitch.
11:34:51 PMT65-3Williams singled to left, Serven to second.
11:36:33 PMT65-3Muncy lined out to right.
11:37:36 PMT65-3Bolte grounded out to second.
11:38:40 PMB65-3Walton at second base.
11:38:40 PMB65-3Roycroft relieved Blewett
11:42:08 PMB65-3Arozarena doubled to left.
11:42:53 PMB65-3Canzone singled to left, Arozarena to third.
11:44:07 PMB65-4Rodríguez grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Arozarena scored, Canzone out at second.
11:46:29 PMB65-4Rodríguez stole second.
11:48:06 PMB65-4Raleigh fouled out to third.
11:48:50 PMB65-4Naylor grounded out to shortstop.
11:50:33 PMT75-4Speier relieved Vargas
11:53:26 PMT75-4Gelof struck out swinging.
11:55:16 PMT75-4Butler struck out swinging.
11:58:14 PMT75-4Heim flied out to center.
12:02:14 AMB75-4Young struck out looking.
12:03:59 AMB75-4Montes struck out swinging.
12:06:05 AMB75-4Crawford walked.
12:08:51 AMB75-4Rodden singled to right, Crawford to third.
12:09:52 AMB75-4Medina relieved Roycroft
12:14:28 AMB75-4Arozarena struck out swinging.
12:15:41 AMT85-4Bazardo relieved Speier
12:17:13 AMT85-4McNeil singled to right.
12:19:24 AMT85-4Walton walked, McNeil to second.
12:21:08 AMT85-4Serven struck out looking.
12:22:18 AMT85-4Williams struck out swinging.
12:24:29 AMT86-4Muncy singled to left, McNeil scored, Walton to second.
12:28:12 AMT86-4Bolte reached on infield single to third, Muncy to second, Walton to third. Umpire review: call on the field was overturned.
12:32:05 AMT86-4Gelof grounded out to third.
12:37:31 AMB86-4Canzone struck out looking.
12:40:19 AMB86-4Rodríguez walked.
12:43:02 AMB86-4Rodríguez stole second.
12:43:56 AMB86-4Raleigh walked.
12:45:43 AMB86-4Naylor flied out to left.
12:47:25 AMB86-4Young struck out swinging.
12:50:10 AMT96-4Milner relieved Bazardo
12:51:43 AMT96-4Butler grounded out to third.
12:52:25 AMT96-4Heim doubled to left.
12:55:11 AMT97-4McNeil doubled to right, Heim scored.
12:55:46 AMT97-4Hernaiz hit for Walton
12:57:14 AMT97-4Hernaiz struck out swinging.
12:59:15 AMT97-4Serven grounded out to third.
01:00:45 AMB97-4Hernaiz at second base.
01:00:45 AMB97-4Harris relieved Medina
01:02:43 AMB97-4Montes struck out swinging.
01:04:22 AMB97-4Crawford grounded out to second.
01:04:32 AMB97-4Ward hit for Rodden