Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs · V1 (legacy)
Sep 15, 2026, 7:40 PM EST · final score 6-3 · duration 2h 43m · 89 plays · 654 snapshots · 14 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (7)
08:14:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi+10.5%delayed_continuation
polymarket+9.5%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (13s lag)
08:41:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.29
kalshi-2.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
08:42:10 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_SACRIFICE_FLY · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.11
polymarket+2.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
09:07:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 1 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.38
kalshi-9.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-6.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (20s lag) · gap closed 100%
09:29:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi-5.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
09:30:14 PM · inning 7 (late) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
polymarket-4.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
10:15:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 3 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.32
kalshi-3.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-2.4%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
Play-by-play (89 real plays)
07:42:03 PMT10-0Baldwin struck out looking.
07:42:40 PMT10-0Acuña Jr. flied out to right.
07:45:29 PMT10-0Olson singled to right.
07:49:56 PMT10-0Harris II grounded out to second.
07:53:38 PMB10-0Crow-Armstrong struck out swinging.
07:55:03 PMB10-0Suzuki grounded out to shortstop.
07:56:20 PMB10-0Bregman walked.
07:58:27 PMB10-0Taylor walked, Bregman to second.
08:00:21 PMB10-0Hoerner flied out to right.
08:03:52 PMT20-0Dubón grounded out to shortstop.
08:06:10 PMT20-0Riley struck out swinging.
08:08:03 PMT20-0Yastrzemski grounded out to second.
08:10:44 PMB20-0Busch singled to right.
08:12:39 PMB20-0Shaw walked, Busch to second. Atlanta Braves challenged: call on the field was upheld.
08:13:33 PMB20-1Ramirez singled to center, Busch scored, Shaw to second.
08:14:10 PMB20-1Amaya hit sacrifice bunt to pitcher, Ramirez to second, Shaw to third.
08:16:00 PMB20-1Crow-Armstrong grounded into fielder's choice to second, Ramirez to third, Shaw out at home.
08:18:00 PMB20-1Suzuki struck out swinging.
08:21:57 PMT30-1Albies grounded out to shortstop.
08:23:29 PMT30-1Hicklen struck out swinging.
08:24:37 PMT30-1Baldwin grounded out to pitcher.
08:28:23 PMB30-1Bregman popped out to first.
08:29:10 PMB30-1Taylor flied out to center.
08:29:53 PMB30-1Hoerner flied out to right.
08:32:33 PMT40-1Acuña Jr. grounded out to shortstop.
08:34:02 PMT40-1Olson struck out looking. Atlanta Braves challenged: call on the field was upheld.
08:35:25 PMT40-1Harris II grounded out to first.
08:39:12 PMB40-1Busch walked.
08:40:07 PMB40-1Shaw reached on infield single to third, Busch to second.
08:41:33 PMB40-2Ramirez grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Busch scored, Shaw to second, Shaw safe at third on throwing error by shortstop Dubón.
08:42:07 PMB40-3Amaya hit sacrifice fly to left, Shaw scored.
08:42:51 PMB40-3Crow-Armstrong flied out to left.
08:43:29 PMB40-3Suzuki singled to center, Ramirez to second.
08:45:26 PMB40-3Bregman grounded out to shortstop.
08:49:11 PMT50-3Dubón singled to left.
08:51:56 PMT50-3Riley struck out swinging.
08:53:03 PMT50-3Yastrzemski grounded out to shortstop, Dubón to second.
08:55:23 PMT50-3Albies flied out to left.
08:58:05 PMB50-3Taylor grounded out to shortstop.
08:58:58 PMB50-3Hoerner flied out to right.
09:00:06 PMB50-3Busch grounded out to first.
09:03:21 PMT60-3Hicklen struck out swinging.
09:04:07 PMT60-3Baldwin singled to right.
09:05:30 PMT62-3Acuña Jr. homered to left center (371 feet), Baldwin scored.
09:06:38 PMT62-3Olson reached on infield single to third.
09:08:47 PMT62-3Harris II lined out to center.
09:09:34 PMT62-3Palencia relieved Gausman
09:12:04 PMT62-3Dubón flied out to right.
09:15:43 PMB62-3Shaw singled to center.
09:17:16 PMB62-3Ramirez grounded into fielder's choice to first, Shaw out at second.
09:17:57 PMB62-3Amaya flied out to center.
09:20:04 PMB62-3Crow-Armstrong lined out to right.
09:20:35 PMT72-3Webb relieved Palencia
09:23:38 PMT72-3Riley walked.
09:25:31 PMT72-3Yastrzemski fouled out to first.
09:27:14 PMT74-3Albies homered to right center (396 feet), Riley scored.
09:28:28 PMT74-3Hicklen doubled to left.
09:31:00 PMT74-3Baldwin flied out to left.
09:34:44 PMT74-3Cabrera relieved Webb
09:36:57 PMT74-3Acuña Jr. grounded out to third.
09:38:16 PMB74-3Fuentes relieved Pérez
09:40:40 PMB74-3Suzuki struck out looking.
09:44:22 PMB74-3Bregman struck out swinging.
09:45:00 PMB74-3Happ hit for Taylor
09:46:42 PMB74-3Happ flied out to right.
09:49:10 PMT84-3Happ in left field.
09:49:53 PMT84-3Olson grounded out to first.
09:51:20 PMT84-3Harris II struck out swinging.
09:52:52 PMT84-3Dubón walked.
09:54:02 PMT84-3Dubón stole second.
09:54:34 PMT84-3Riley struck out swinging.
09:57:54 PMB84-3Hoerner grounded out to pitcher.
10:00:21 PMB84-3Busch grounded out to first.
10:00:58 PMB84-3Conforto hit for Shaw
10:02:53 PMB84-3Conforto grounded out to second.
10:05:22 PMT94-3Conforto as designated hitter.
10:06:26 PMT94-3Yastrzemski grounded out to second.
10:06:59 PMT94-3Albies singled to right.
10:08:05 PMT94-3Albies stole second.
10:09:52 PMT94-3Albies to third on wild pitch by Cabrera.
10:10:22 PMT94-3Hicklen walked.
10:11:33 PMT94-3Hicklen picked off first. Chicago Cubs challenged: call on the field was overturned.
10:14:19 PMT96-3Baldwin homered to right (376 feet), Albies scored.
10:16:04 PMT96-3Acuña Jr. struck out swinging.
10:18:55 PMB96-3Iglesias relieved Fuentes
10:20:05 PMB96-3Ramirez grounded out to second.
10:20:38 PMB96-3Kelly hit for Amaya
10:21:00 PMB96-3Kelly grounded out to third.
10:23:24 PMB96-3Crow-Armstrong lined out to right.