Seattle Mariners @ Colorado Rockies · V1 (legacy)
Sep 19, 2026, 8:10 PM EST · final score 3-5 · duration 2h 49m · 85 plays · 677 snapshots · 10 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (4)
08:20:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi-3.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-3.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (16s lag)
10:02:00 PM · inning 6 (mid) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.19
kalshi-2.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-2.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket (-33s lag) · gap closed 100%
10:22:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-3.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket-4.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi (12s lag)
10:30:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+2.0%sustained_move
polymarket+3.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 100%
Play-by-play (85 real plays)
08:12:43 PMT10-0Crawford struck out swinging.
08:14:54 PMT10-0Arozarena grounded out to shortstop.
08:17:35 PMT10-0Canzone walked.
08:19:37 PMT12-0Raleigh homered to left center (459 feet), Canzone scored.
08:20:44 PMT12-0Rodríguez flied out to left.
08:24:45 PMB12-0McCarthy grounded out to second.
08:26:50 PMB12-0Norby singled to center.
08:28:49 PMB12-0Rumfield struck out swinging.
08:29:27 PMB12-0Goodman flied out to center.
08:32:31 PMT22-0Naylor grounded out to second.
08:33:05 PMT22-0Arroyo singled to center.
08:36:35 PMT22-0Montes grounded out to second, Arroyo to second.
08:38:28 PMT22-0We. Wilson grounded out to shortstop.
08:42:20 PMB22-0Carrigg struck out swinging.
08:44:47 PMB22-0Karros walked.
08:46:37 PMB22-0Moniak struck out swinging.
08:49:31 PMB22-0Veen struck out looking. Seattle Mariners challenged: call on the field was overturned.
08:53:15 PMT32-0Crawford struck out swinging.
08:54:08 PMT33-0Arozarena homered to left center (435 feet).
08:55:37 PMT33-0Canzone singled to center.
08:57:15 PMT33-0Raleigh flied out to right.
08:58:00 PMT33-0Rodríguez singled to right, Canzone to third.
09:01:13 PMT33-0Naylor flied out to center.
09:05:04 PMB33-0Tovar struck out swinging.
09:07:25 PMB33-0McCarthy reached on bunt single to catcher, McCarthy safe at third on throwing error by catcher Raleigh.
09:09:06 PMB33-1Norby flied out to right, McCarthy scored on throwing error by right fielder Canzone.
09:12:00 PMB33-1Rumfield grounded out to first.
09:14:58 PMT43-1Arroyo flied out to center.
09:17:02 PMT43-1Montes lined out to first.
09:19:48 PMT43-1We. Wilson flied out to center.
09:24:32 PMB43-1Goodman popped out to shortstop.
09:27:04 PMB43-1Carrigg popped out to shortstop.
09:28:23 PMB43-1Karros flied out to right.
09:30:46 PMT53-1Frasso relieved Quintana
09:31:32 PMT53-1Crawford grounded out to shortstop.
09:33:18 PMT53-1Arozarena struck out swinging.
09:35:26 PMT53-1Canzone walked.
09:37:15 PMT53-1Raleigh struck out swinging.
09:39:48 PMB53-1Moniak flied out to center.
09:42:48 PMB53-1Veen walked.
09:46:12 PMB53-1Tovar grounded out to second, Veen to second.
09:46:42 PMB53-1McCarthy grounded out to second.
09:50:02 PMT63-1Rodríguez doubled to right.
09:51:06 PMT63-1Naylor grounded out to second, Rodríguez to third.
09:51:44 PMT63-1Arroyo lined into double play, to third, Rodríguez doubled off third.
09:55:09 PMB63-1Norby struck out looking.
09:55:55 PMB63-1Rumfield singled to center.
09:57:25 PMB63-1Goodman singled to left, Rumfield to second.
10:00:29 PMB63-1Vargas relieved Miller
10:00:29 PMB63-1Carrigg grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Goodman out at second, Rumfield to third.
10:01:28 PMB63-1Karros grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Carrigg out at second.
10:02:10 PMT73-1Mejia relieved Frasso
10:05:07 PMT73-1Montes struck out looking.
10:05:51 PMT73-1We. Wilson flied out to right.
10:07:36 PMT73-1Crawford struck out swinging.
10:09:48 PMB73-1Moniak lined out to first.
10:11:56 PMB73-1Veen singled to center.
10:12:56 PMB73-1Amador hit for Tovar
10:16:27 PMB73-1Amador singled to right, Veen to third.
10:19:22 PMB73-1Ferrer relieved Vargas
10:19:22 PMB73-2McCarthy grounded out to pitcher, Veen scored, Amador to second.
10:20:30 PMB73-2Norby reached on infield single to shortstop, Amador to third.
10:21:19 PMB73-3Rumfield singled to center, Amador scored, Norby to third.
10:24:07 PMB73-3Criswell relieved Ferrer
10:25:32 PMB73-3Goodman walked, Rumfield to second.
10:29:23 PMB73-5Carrigg singled to center, Norby scored and Rumfield scored, Goodman to third.
10:31:51 PMB73-5Karros walked, Carrigg to second.
10:33:01 PMB73-5Moniak grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Karros out at second.
10:35:17 PMT83-5McCarthy in center field.
10:35:17 PMT83-5Carrigg at shortstop.
10:35:17 PMT83-5Veen in left field.
10:35:17 PMT83-5Beck in right field.
10:36:33 PMT83-5Arozarena grounded out to first.
10:37:24 PMT83-5Canzone flied out to center.
10:38:24 PMT83-5Raleigh doubled to left.
10:40:22 PMT83-5Rodríguez grounded out to third.
10:41:09 PMB83-5Speier relieved Criswell
10:44:32 PMB83-5Veen struck out swinging.
10:46:01 PMB83-5Beck struck out swinging.
10:47:30 PMB83-5McCarthy safe at first on throwing error by second baseman Arroyo, McCarthy out at second on runner's fielder's choice.
10:49:54 PMT93-5Bernardino relieved Mejia
10:50:38 PMT93-5Naylor grounded out to second.
10:52:16 PMT93-5Arroyo singled to right.
10:54:33 PMT93-5Montes struck out swinging.
10:55:56 PMT93-5Arroyo to second on fielder's indifference.