Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros · V1 (legacy)
Sep 15, 2026, 8:10 PM EST · final score 2-4 · duration 2h 21m · 78 plays · 566 snapshots · 5 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (3)
08:20:13 PM · inning 1 (early) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
polymarket+3.0%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket
09:27:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.17
kalshi-8.5%sustained_move
polymarket-5.5%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (13s lag) · gap closed 67%
09:38:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.23
kalshi+1.0%sustained_move
polymarket+1.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (13s lag) · gap closed 100%
Play-by-play (78 real plays)
08:12:23 PMT10-0Jensen struck out swinging.
08:14:38 PMT10-0Witt Jr. lined out to right.
08:16:49 PMT10-0Caglianone struck out swinging.
08:19:17 PMB10-1Peña homered to left center (440 feet).
08:20:10 PMB10-1Alvarez flied out to left.
08:20:50 PMB10-1Paredes flied out to center.
08:22:59 PMB10-1Altuve flied out to right.
08:25:40 PMT20-1Garcia grounded out to second.
08:27:29 PMT20-1Pasquantino struck out looking.
08:28:16 PMT20-1Massey grounded out to second.
08:30:46 PMB20-1Diaz hit by pitch.
08:32:36 PMB20-1Varsho grounded into fielder's choice to first, Diaz out at second.
08:34:11 PMB20-1Walker struck out swinging.
08:37:11 PMB20-1Smith grounded out to third.
08:40:19 PMT30-1Rave walked.
08:41:24 PMT30-1Isbel struck out swinging.
08:43:08 PMT30-1Collins struck out swinging.
08:46:28 PMT30-1Jensen struck out swinging.
08:50:18 PMB30-1Wade Jr. grounded out to first.
08:51:07 PMB30-2Peña homered to left (370 feet).
08:53:10 PMB30-2Alvarez walked.
08:56:05 PMB30-2Paredes lined out to left.
08:56:48 PMB30-2Altuve flied out to center.
08:59:31 PMT40-2Witt Jr. singled to center.
09:01:32 PMT40-2Caglianone struck out swinging, Witt Jr. stole second.
09:04:36 PMT40-2Garcia walked.
09:08:46 PMT40-2Pasquantino struck out swinging.
09:10:12 PMT40-2Massey struck out swinging.
09:13:17 PMB40-2Diaz grounded out to shortstop.
09:15:05 PMB40-2Varsho fouled out to first.
09:16:38 PMB40-2Walker struck out looking.
09:20:51 PMT50-2Rave struck out swinging.
09:21:56 PMT50-2Isbel grounded out to second.
09:24:02 PMT50-2Collins walked. Kansas City Royals challenged: call on the field was overturned.
09:26:27 PMT50-2Collins stole second.
09:27:01 PMT51-2Jensen doubled to left, Collins scored.
09:28:50 PMT51-2Witt Jr. grounded out to shortstop.
09:33:00 PMB51-2Smith fouled out to first.
09:33:52 PMB51-2Wade Jr. fouled out to catcher.
09:35:35 PMB51-2Peña singled to center.
09:37:53 PMB51-4Alvarez homered to right (376 feet), Peña scored.
09:41:05 PMB51-4Paredes grounded out to shortstop.
09:43:08 PMT61-4Sousa relieved Brown
09:43:55 PMT61-4Barrosa in left field.
09:45:03 PMT61-4Caglianone lined out to left.
09:46:35 PMT61-4Garcia struck out swinging.
09:48:42 PMT62-4Pasquantino homered to right center (376 feet).
09:49:47 PMT62-4Massey flied out to center.
09:52:28 PMB62-4Altuve grounded out to second.
09:53:57 PMB62-4Diaz lined out to center.
09:55:08 PMB62-4Varsho grounded out to second.
09:57:20 PMT72-4Blubaugh relieved Sousa
09:58:25 PMT72-4Rave grounded out to shortstop.
09:59:07 PMT72-4Isbel flied out to left.
10:01:04 PMT72-4Collins struck out looking.
10:03:54 PMB72-4Erceg relieved Wacha
10:03:54 PMB72-4Walker grounded out to shortstop.
10:06:50 PMB72-4Smith lined out to second.
10:08:41 PMB72-4Barrosa struck out swinging.
10:10:52 PMT82-4Abreu relieved Blubaugh
10:11:14 PMT82-4Jensen flied out to right.
10:11:50 PMT82-4Witt Jr. flied out to center.
10:13:18 PMT82-4Caglianone struck out swinging.
10:15:18 PMB82-4Cuas relieved Erceg
10:16:59 PMB82-4Peña struck out swinging.
10:18:14 PMB82-4Alvarez walked.
10:20:12 PMB82-4Paredes struck out swinging.
10:22:36 PMB82-4Altuve grounded out to third.
10:23:46 PMT92-4Allen at second base.
10:23:46 PMT92-4Hader relieved Abreu
10:24:26 PMT92-4Garcia flied out to right.
10:24:40 PMT92-4Perez hit for Pasquantino
10:26:37 PMT92-4Perez singled to right.
10:27:19 PMT92-4Loftin hit for Massey
10:28:10 PMT92-4Perez to second on wild pitch by Hader.
10:29:08 PMT92-4Loftin popped out to shortstop.
10:29:20 PMT92-4Tolbert hit for Rave
10:31:29 PMT92-4Tolbert struck out swinging.