Baltimore Orioles @ Colorado Rockies · V1 (legacy)
Sep 2, 2026, 3:10 PM EST · final score 5-6 · duration 3h 30m · 116 plays · 842 snapshots · 23 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 11 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (11)
03:46:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.90
kalshi+12.0%partial_reversion
polymarket+11.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi
03:49:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.20
kalshi-7.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
03:58:00 PM · inning 3 (early) · 3 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.10
kalshi+9.0%partial_reversion
polymarket+9.5%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 100%
05:45:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.40
kalshi-49.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-49.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
05:50:00 PM · inning 9 (final) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
kalshi+13.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
05:51:11 PM · inning 9 (final) · 0 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 1.00
polymarket+13.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: polymarket
06:00:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 0 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+17.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+18.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (15s lag) · gap closed 0%
06:04:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_real_event · leverage 1.00
kalshi+2.5%sustained_move
polymarket-1.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 100%
06:12:00 PM · inning 10 (final) · 3 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi+15.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+19.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi (75s lag) · gap closed 0%
06:16:00 PM · inning 11 (final) · 1 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-5.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
06:23:00 PM · inning 11 (final) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.24
kalshi-7.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-7.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
Play-by-play (116 real plays)
03:14:41 PMT10-0Holliday struck out swinging.
03:17:00 PMT10-0Alonso grounded out to shortstop.
03:18:51 PMT10-0Henderson struck out swinging.
03:22:21 PMB10-0McCarthy flied out to right.
03:23:19 PMB10-0Norby popped out to first.
03:24:46 PMB10-0Goodman struck out swinging.
03:27:56 PMT20-0Robert Jr. flied out to right.
03:29:28 PMT20-0Basallo flied out to left.
03:32:23 PMT20-0Mayo singled to center.
03:33:23 PMT20-0Beavers flied out to left.
03:36:26 PMB20-0Rumfield singled to right.
03:37:15 PMB20-0Carrigg grounded into double play, shortstop to second to first, Rumfield out at second.
03:38:46 PMB20-0Beck struck out looking.
03:41:16 PMT30-0Alexander reached on infield single to shortstop.
03:43:30 PMT30-0Cowser struck out swinging.
03:44:28 PMT30-0Holliday singled to right, Alexander to second.
03:45:46 PMT31-0Alonso singled to left, Alexander scored, Holliday to second.
03:46:36 PMT31-0Henderson grounded out to shortstop, Alonso to second, Holliday to third.
03:48:42 PMT33-0Robert Jr. doubled to right, Alonso scored and Holliday scored.
03:49:12 PMT33-0Basallo flied out to left.
03:52:34 PMB33-0Amador singled to left.
03:53:49 PMB33-0Ritter struck out looking.
03:57:00 PMB33-0Tovar struck out swinging.
03:58:45 PMB33-1McCarthy tripled to center, Amador scored, McCarthy out at home on runner's fielder's choice. Baltimore Orioles challenged: call on the field was overturned.
04:02:09 PMT43-1Mayo grounded out to third.
04:02:40 PMT43-1Beavers lined out to right.
04:03:36 PMT43-1Alexander singled to center.
04:06:44 PMT43-1Cowser struck out swinging.
04:10:04 PMB43-1Norby lined out to third.
04:10:35 PMB43-1Goodman doubled to left.
04:12:16 PMB43-1Rumfield grounded out to second, Goodman to third.
04:13:26 PMB43-2Carrigg reached on infield single to third, Goodman scored.
04:14:54 PMB43-2Beck struck out swinging.
04:18:34 PMT53-2Holliday grounded out to shortstop.
04:19:04 PMT53-2Alonso grounded out to third.
04:21:45 PMT53-2Henderson walked.
04:22:40 PMT53-2Robert Jr. grounded out to shortstop.
04:25:28 PMB53-2Amador flied out to right.
04:26:54 PMB53-2Ritter struck out swinging.
04:28:59 PMB53-2Tovar struck out looking. Baltimore Orioles challenged: call on the field was overturned.
04:31:23 PMT63-2Basallo lined out to center.
04:34:16 PMT63-2Mayo safe at first on throwing error by first baseman Rumfield.
04:38:15 PMT63-2Beavers flied out to right.
04:39:28 PMT63-2Alexander grounded out to second.
04:44:10 PMB63-2McCarthy struck out swinging.
04:45:48 PMB63-2Norby struck out looking.
04:47:30 PMB63-2Goodman struck out swinging.
04:50:03 PMT73-2Mejia relieved Sugano
04:51:00 PMT73-2Cowser grounded out to shortstop.
04:51:31 PMT73-2Holliday singled to left.
04:53:46 PMT73-2Alonso walked, Holliday to second.
04:57:04 PMT73-2Henderson lined out to first.
04:57:30 PMT73-2Herget relieved Mejia
05:02:05 PMT73-2Robert Jr. struck out swinging.
05:05:28 PMB73-2Rumfield struck out swinging.
05:07:04 PMB73-2Carrigg singled to left.
05:09:18 PMB73-2Beck grounded out to shortstop, Carrigg to second.
05:10:17 PMB73-2Garcia relieved Rogers
05:12:40 PMB73-2Amador fouled out to third.
05:15:39 PMT83-2Basallo walked.
05:15:45 PMT83-2Kjerstad hit for Mayo
05:17:52 PMT83-2Kjerstad flied out to center.
05:20:29 PMT83-2Beavers lined into double play, to first, Basallo doubled off first.
05:21:36 PMB83-2Encarnacion-Strand at third base.
05:22:49 PMB83-2Johnston hit for Ritter
05:23:43 PMB83-2Johnston struck out swinging.
05:24:14 PMB83-2Moniak hit for Tovar
05:26:19 PMB83-2Moniak fouled out to third.
05:27:26 PMB83-2McCarthy doubled to center.
05:30:08 PMB83-2Cano relieved Garcia
05:31:11 PMB83-2Norby grounded out to second.
05:33:36 PMT93-2McCarthy in center field.
05:33:36 PMT93-2Carrigg at shortstop.
05:33:36 PMT93-2Hill relieved Beck
05:33:36 PMT93-2Amador at second base.
05:33:36 PMT93-2Johnston in right field.
05:33:36 PMT93-2Moniak in left field.
05:35:51 PMT93-2Alexander flied out to left.
05:37:46 PMT93-2Cowser flied out to center.
05:38:30 PMT93-2Holliday lined out to third.
05:39:10 PMB93-2Kittredge relieved Cano
05:44:18 PMB93-2Goodman struck out swinging.
05:45:28 PMB93-2Rumfield flied out to center.
05:45:54 PMB93-2Carrigg doubled to left.
05:47:13 PMB93-2Veen hit for Hill
05:48:24 PMB93-3Veen doubled to center, Carrigg scored.
05:49:24 PMB93-3Walker relieved Kittredge
05:51:20 PMB93-3Amador intentionally walked.
05:53:27 PMB93-3Johnston struck out looking. Baltimore Orioles challenged: call on the field was overturned.
05:56:29 PMT103-3Veen in right field.
05:56:29 PMT103-3Frasso relieved Johnston
05:56:29 PMT103-3Alonso grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Holliday out at third.
05:58:44 PMT103-3Henderson struck out looking. Baltimore Orioles challenged: call on the field was upheld.
05:59:50 PMT103-3Robert Jr. grounded out to shortstop.
06:04:23 PMB103-3Moniak fouled out to third.
06:06:00 PMB103-3Hoppe relieved Walker
06:06:55 PMB103-3McCarthy intentionally walked.
06:10:21 PMB103-3Norby struck out swinging.
06:12:06 PMB103-3Goodman grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, McCarthy out at second.
06:14:43 PMT113-3Castaño relieved Goodman
06:14:43 PMT113-3Castaño relieved Frasso
06:14:43 PMT113-3Castaño relieved B. Sullivan
06:15:10 PMT114-3Basallo singled to left, Robert Jr. scored.
06:15:55 PMT114-3Taveras ran for Basallo
06:17:08 PMT114-3Encarnacion-Strand flied out to center.
06:18:19 PMT114-3Beavers singled to right, Taveras to third.
06:21:37 PMT115-3Alexander singled to center, Taveras scored, Beavers to second.
06:23:20 PMT115-3Cowser grounded into fielder's choice to third, Alexander to second, Beavers out at third.
06:25:25 PMT115-3Holliday struck out looking.
06:28:09 PMB115-3Taveras in right field.
06:28:09 PMB115-3Narváez catching.
06:28:09 PMB115-3Wolfram relieved Hoppe
06:30:28 PMB115-4Rumfield singled to left, Norby scored.
06:33:39 PMB115-4Carrigg struck out swinging.
06:35:08 PMB115-4Veen struck out looking.
06:36:11 PMB115-4Amador hit a ground rule double, Rumfield to third.