Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox · V1 (legacy)
Sep 5, 2026, 7:10 PM EST · final score 6-4 · duration 2h 44m · 91 plays · 656 snapshots · 16 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (8)
07:24:00 PM · inning 1 (early) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.90
kalshi-6.0%sustained_move
polymarket-6.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi (15s lag)
08:09:00 PM · inning 4 (mid) · 3 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.29
kalshi-8.0%partial_reversion
polymarket-8.0%partial_reversion
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 0%
08:21:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 1 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.29
kalshi+24.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket+27.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (13s lag) · gap closed 0%
08:26:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 1 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 1.00
kalshi+2.5%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+2.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (13s lag) · gap closed 0%
08:39:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
lead change
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 1.00
kalshi-3.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi
08:45:00 PM · inning 5 (mid) · 2 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.29
kalshi+9.0%sustained_move
Leader: kalshi
09:08:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 0 out
Triggering play: BATTER_DOUBLE · 1 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.20
kalshi-6.0%delayed_continuation
polymarket-8.0%delayed_continuation
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 0%
09:21:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 0 out
No qualifying triggering play identified · scoring shape: no_score · leverage 0.20
kalshi+2.5%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+2.5%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi (14s lag) · gap closed 100%
Play-by-play (91 real plays)
07:11:31 PMT10-0Keaschall grounded out to third.
07:13:44 PMT10-0Culpepper grounded out to third.
07:14:45 PMT10-0Jeffers grounded out to first.
07:19:07 PMB10-0Antonacci walked.
07:21:16 PMB10-0Vargas grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Antonacci out at second.
07:23:32 PMB10-2Murakami homered to left (346 feet), Vargas scored.
07:24:42 PMB10-2Benintendi lined out to first.
07:26:22 PMB10-3C. Montgomery homered to right (372 feet).
07:28:23 PMB10-3B. Montgomery fouled out to catcher.
07:30:59 PMT20-3Bell flied out to center.
07:32:51 PMT20-3Lewis fouled out to right.
07:33:56 PMT20-3Clemens grounded out to first.
07:36:23 PMB20-3Meidroth flied out to center.
07:38:05 PMB20-3Peters struck out swinging.
07:38:44 PMB20-3Rogers grounded out to third.
07:43:58 PMT30-3Lee struck out swinging.
07:45:05 PMT30-3Gonzalez safe at first on throwing error by third baseman Vargas.
07:47:06 PMT30-3Kreidler struck out swinging.
07:48:34 PMT30-3Keaschall flied out to center.
07:50:49 PMB30-3Antonacci flied out to left.
07:52:01 PMB30-3Vargas struck out swinging.
07:54:04 PMB30-3Murakami struck out looking.
07:56:56 PMT40-3Culpepper singled to left.
07:58:17 PMT40-3Jeffers struck out looking.
07:59:37 PMT40-3Bell doubled to left, Culpepper to third.
08:03:07 PMT40-3Lewis walked.
08:05:26 PMT41-3Clemens grounded into fielder's choice to second, Culpepper scored, Lewis out at second, Bell to third.
08:08:06 PMT42-3Lee doubled to left, Bell scored, Clemens to third.
08:09:48 PMT42-3Gonzalez grounded out to third.
08:12:13 PMB42-3Benintendi flied out to left.
08:14:08 PMB42-3C. Montgomery struck out swinging.
08:15:17 PMB42-3B. Montgomery grounded out to shortstop.
08:19:01 PMT52-3Kreidler hit by pitch.
08:19:43 PMT52-3Keaschall singled to right, Kreidler to second.
08:23:20 PMT52-3Culpepper grounded into fielder's choice to third, Keaschall to second, Kreidler out at third.
08:24:54 PMT55-3Jeffers homered to left (415 feet), Keaschall scored and Culpepper scored.
08:26:26 PMT55-3Bell singled to left.
08:27:25 PMT55-3Richards relieved Kay
08:31:01 PMT55-3Lewis flied out to center.
08:33:15 PMT55-3Clemens grounded out to second.
08:36:18 PMB55-3Meidroth singled to center.
08:37:08 PMB55-3Peters lined out to center.
08:38:57 PMB55-3Rogers struck out looking.
08:41:28 PMB55-3Meidroth stole second.
08:42:56 PMB55-3Antonacci walked.
08:44:44 PMB55-4Vargas singled to left, Meidroth scored, Antonacci to second.
08:46:15 PMB55-4Murakami struck out swinging.
08:51:00 PMT65-4Lee flied out to center.
08:52:38 PMT65-4Newcomb relieved Richards
08:53:55 PMT65-4Larnach hit for Gonzalez
08:54:40 PMT65-4Larnach struck out swinging.
08:55:43 PMT65-4Kreidler grounded out to second.
08:57:01 PMB65-4Funderburk relieved Bradley
08:58:28 PMB65-4Grichuk hit for Benintendi
08:58:28 PMB65-4Larnach in left field.
08:58:28 PMB65-4Grichuk fouled out to right.
08:59:36 PMB65-4C. Montgomery flied out to right.
09:01:41 PMB65-4B. Montgomery struck out swinging.
09:03:10 PMT75-4Grichuk as designated hitter.
09:04:06 PMT75-4Keaschall singled to left.
09:07:57 PMT76-4Culpepper doubled to right, Keaschall scored.
09:08:37 PMT76-4Jeffers flied out to center.
09:10:38 PMT76-4Bell flied out to right, Culpepper to third.
09:11:27 PMT76-4Lewis flied out to center.
09:12:37 PMB76-4Hoffman relieved Funderburk
09:15:57 PMB76-4Meidroth struck out swinging.
09:17:00 PMB76-4Peters doubled to right.
09:17:57 PMB76-4Teel hit for Rogers
09:19:30 PMB76-4Teel struck out swinging.
09:20:11 PMB76-4Antonacci grounded out to second.
09:21:39 PMT86-4Teel catching.
09:21:39 PMT86-4Schweitzer relieved Newcomb
09:23:26 PMT86-4Clemens walked.
09:25:30 PMT86-4Lee lined into double play, center to first, Clemens doubled off first.
09:26:36 PMT86-4Larnach struck out swinging.
09:28:50 PMB86-4Clemens in left field.
09:28:50 PMB86-4Jenkins in center field.
09:28:50 PMB86-4Kreidler at second base.
09:29:17 PMB86-4Vargas flied out to right.
09:30:07 PMB86-4Minter relieved Hoffman
09:34:08 PMB86-4Murakami struck out swinging.
09:37:55 PMB86-4Grichuk doubled to right.
09:41:00 PMB86-4C. Montgomery struck out swinging.
09:42:16 PMT96-4Davis relieved Schweitzer
09:43:25 PMT96-4Kreidler flied out to left.
09:45:56 PMT96-4Keaschall popped out to third.
09:48:30 PMT96-4Culpepper lined out to center.
09:50:50 PMB96-4Gómez relieved Minter
09:51:26 PMB96-4B. Montgomery grounded out to third.
09:52:45 PMB96-4Meidroth struck out swinging.
09:53:50 PMB96-4Peters popped out to first.