Miami Marlins @ San Diego Padres · V1 (legacy)
Sep 20, 2026, 4:10 PM EST · final score 3-7 · duration 2h 18m · 83 plays · 551 snapshots · 4 inflection points (through the last real play, inning 9 — nothing after the game actually ended is tradeable)
Team:
Each real market move is detected once per side of the binary contract (home up = away down) — showing inflection points referenced to the away team's contract.
Inning:
showing all innings · shift-click an inning to extend the range
kalshi (away team price)polymarket (away team price)inflection point
Inflection points (2)
04:35:00 PM · inning 2 (early) · 2 out
lead change
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 2 run(s) scored · scoring shape: scored_other · leverage 0.90
kalshi-1.0%overreaction_reversion
polymarket+1.5%sustained_move
Leader: polymarket (-32s lag) · gap closed 100%
05:52:00 PM · inning 7 (late) · 2 out
Triggering play: BATTER_HOME_RUN · 3 run(s) scored · scoring shape: single_play · leverage 0.51
kalshi-2.0%overreaction_reversion
Leader: kalshi
Play-by-play (83 real plays)
04:13:05 PMT10-0Stowers walked.
04:14:55 PMT10-0Lopez grounded into fielder's choice to second, Stowers out at second.
04:16:06 PMT10-0Conine grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Lopez out at second.
04:19:01 PMB10-0Tatis Jr. popped out to shortstop.
04:20:08 PMB10-0Harris popped out to third.
04:21:39 PMB10-0Machado fouled out to catcher.
04:25:32 PMT20-0Hernández flied out to right.
04:26:45 PMT20-0Marsee fouled out to catcher.
04:27:36 PMT20-0Sanoja lined out to left.
04:30:54 PMB20-0France grounded out to pitcher.
04:31:59 PMB20-0Merrill grounded out to third.
04:33:26 PMB20-0Bogaerts singled to right.
04:34:37 PMB20-2Cronenworth homered to right (335 feet), Bogaerts scored.
04:35:55 PMB20-2Taylor singled to center.
04:36:27 PMB20-2Salas flied out to right.
04:40:08 PMT30-2Pauley struck out swinging.
04:41:53 PMT30-2Mack singled to left.
04:44:00 PMT30-2De Los Santos struck out looking.
04:45:22 PMT30-2Stowers grounded out to first.
04:48:21 PMB30-2Tatis Jr. grounded out to second.
04:48:58 PMB30-2Harris singled to right.
04:52:32 PMB30-2Harris to second on a disengagement violation.
04:55:13 PMB30-2Machado struck out swinging.
04:58:23 PMB30-2France grounded out to shortstop.
05:01:27 PMT40-2Lopez struck out swinging.
05:02:33 PMT40-2Conine struck out looking.
05:04:12 PMT40-2Hernández struck out swinging.
05:07:03 PMB40-2Merrill reached on infield single to second, Merrill safe at third on throwing error by second baseman Sanoja.
05:08:00 PMB40-2Bogaerts popped out to second.
05:09:24 PMB40-3Cronenworth doubled to center, Merrill scored.
05:10:10 PMB40-4Taylor doubled to left, Cronenworth scored.
05:13:17 PMB40-4Salas walked.
05:14:44 PMB40-4Tatis Jr. lined out to second.
05:15:48 PMB40-4Harris popped out to shortstop.
05:19:08 PMT50-4Marsee struck out swinging.
05:20:45 PMT50-4Sanoja grounded out to third.
05:21:35 PMT50-4Pauley grounded out to first.
05:24:26 PMB50-4Machado fouled out to first.
05:27:09 PMB50-4France struck out swinging.
05:28:41 PMB50-4Merrill grounded out to second.
05:31:11 PMT60-4Mack grounded out to shortstop.
05:33:15 PMT60-4De Los Santos flied out to right.
05:34:25 PMT60-4Stowers grounded out to first.
05:37:30 PMB60-4Bogaerts grounded out to shortstop.
05:38:29 PMB60-4Cronenworth struck out swinging.
05:40:27 PMB60-4Taylor reached on infield single to shortstop.
05:41:10 PMB60-4Taylor caught stealing second, catcher to shortstop.
05:44:28 PMT70-4Lopez flied out to center.
05:45:01 PMT70-4Conine singled to right.
05:46:15 PMT70-4Hernández grounded into fielder's choice to shortstop, Conine out at second.
05:49:41 PMT70-4Marsee walked, Hernández to second.
05:51:47 PMT73-4Sanoja homered to left center (403 feet), Hernández scored and Marsee scored.
05:54:37 PMT73-4Ramírez hit for Pauley
05:54:37 PMT73-4Hart relieved Buehler
05:56:57 PMT73-4Ramírez walked.
05:58:06 PMT73-4Ruiz hit for Mack
05:58:55 PMT73-4Ruiz popped out to shortstop.
06:02:59 PMB73-4Sanoja at third base.
06:02:59 PMB73-4Ramírez catching.
06:02:59 PMB73-4Serna at second base.
06:02:59 PMB73-4Blalock relieved Alcantara
06:05:19 PMB73-4Salas struck out looking.
06:06:13 PMB73-5Tatis Jr. homered to center (406 feet).
06:06:46 PMB73-5Harris flied out to left.
06:07:45 PMB73-5Machado struck out looking.
06:10:21 PMT83-5Tatis Jr. in right field.
06:10:21 PMT83-5Bowen in left field.
06:10:21 PMT83-5Cronenworth at second base.
06:10:21 PMT83-5Song at third base.
06:10:21 PMT83-5Rodriguez relieved Hart
06:10:54 PMT83-5De Los Santos flied out to left.
06:12:43 PMT83-5Stowers singled to right.
06:13:20 PMT83-5Lopez grounded into double play, third to second to first, Stowers out at second.
06:16:51 PMB83-5France lined out to center.
06:18:11 PMB83-5Merrill struck out looking.
06:19:31 PMB83-5Bogaerts walked.
06:20:08 PMB83-7Bogaerts stole second.
06:21:24 PMB83-7Cronenworth homered to right center (391 feet), Bogaerts scored.
06:22:30 PMB83-7Song grounded out to first.
06:24:50 PMT93-7Miller relieved Rodriguez
06:25:53 PMT93-7Conine fouled out to third.
06:26:45 PMT93-7Hernández grounded out to second.
06:27:40 PMT93-7Marsee fouled out to catcher.